Omiya Ardija - Albirex Niigata
Weather at kick-off
☁️
Overcast
29.6°C
💨 9 km/h
· Mexico City
⚡ Pre-match analysis
39.69%
Win
Omiya Ardija
38.15%
Draw
22.16%
Win
Albirex Niigata
0.92
0.61
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
0–0
(23.03%)
1X2 Result
1
40%
X
38%
2
22%
Double Chance
1X
78%
X2
60%
12
62%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
68%
Over 2.5
46%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Omiya Ardija a 39% win probability, against 38% for a draw and 22% for Albirex Niigata. Expected goals are 0.9 for Omiya Ardija and 0.6 for Albirex Niigata (total 1.5), with a 67% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–0 at 23.03% probability.
Season Stats
6W
1D
8L
6W
5D
4L
Averages per game
1.8
Goals
0.9
1.7
Conceded
0.8
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
47%
87%
O 2.5
33%
87%
BTTS
40%
13%
Clean Sht
47%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in J2 League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
21%
O 3.5
51%
BTTS
6W
0D
4L
· at home
3W
3D
3L
· away
2.3
gls/g
0.9
1.4
Conceded
1.0
60%
Win %
33%
60%
Win or Draw
67%
100%
O 1.5
67%
100%
O 2.5
33%
30%
O 3.5
11%
80%
BTTS
22%
20%
Clean Sht
56%
0%
Failed to Score
44%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Omiya Ardija
Albirex Niigata →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 21.8% | 13.2% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 20.0% | 12.1% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | — |
| 2 | 9.2% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
| 3 | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Omiya Ardija
Attack
47
Defence
57
Form
57
Albirex Niigata
Attack
24
Defence
79
Form
53
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Placement matches - Final
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Kanazawa
|
1 | 3 |
| 2 |
Omiya Ardija
|
1 | 3 |
| 3 |
Tochigi SC
|
1 | 3 |
| 4 |
Oita Trinita
|
1 | 3 |
| 5 |
Sagan Tosu
|
1 | 3 |
| 6 |
Fujieda MYFC
|
1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Vanraure Hachinohe
|
1 | 1 |
| 8 |
Imabari
|
1 | 1 |
| 9 |
Jubilo Iwata
|
1 | 1 |
| 10 |
Osaka
|
1 | 1 |
| 11 |
Albirex Niigata
|
1 | 1 |
| 12 |
Consadole Sapporo
|
1 | 1 |
| 13 |
Kochi United
|
1 | 0 |
| 14 |
Kitakyushu
|
1 | 0 |
| 15 |
Montedio Yamagata
|
1 | 0 |
| 16 |
Shonan Bellmare
|
1 | 0 |
| 17 |
Ehime FC
|
1 | 0 |
| 18 |
Thespakusatsu Gunma
|
1 | 0 |
What's at stake · Placement matches - Final
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #2 | #1 |
| → Omiya Ardija | #1 | #11 |
| → Draw | #1 | #7 |
| → Albirex Niigata | #3 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Omiya Ardija vs Albirex Niigata?
The model gives Omiya Ardija a 39% win probability, 38% for a draw, and 22% for an Albirex Niigata win.
How many goals are expected in Omiya Ardija vs Albirex Niigata?
Expected goals: Omiya Ardija 0.9, Albirex Niigata 0.6 (total 1.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 67%.
What is the most likely score in Omiya Ardija vs Albirex Niigata?
0–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 23.03%.