First Division
· Championship Group - 34
May 10, 2026 17:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Omonia Nicosia, result Draw
S. Coulibaly
76'
(pen.)
30'
H. Milicevic
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Omonia Nicosia a 70% win probability (draw 16%, AEK Larnaca 12%). The final result was Omonia Nicosia 1–1 AEK Larnaca. In 4 previous meetings, Omonia Nicosia have won 3 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for AEK Larnaca.
Match statistics
4
Shots on target
3
2.60
Actual xG
0.84
56%
Possession
44%
5
Corners
1
Match Events
S. Simic
30'
30'
(pen.)
H. Milicevic⚽
Ewandro
32'
38'
Ledes Gustavo
45'+2
Miramon
58'
D. Ivanovic
60'
D. Ivanovic
61'
H. Milicevic
62'
Jimmy Suarez
/
Ledes Gustavo
62'
R. Bajic
/
Miramon
M. Maric
/ S. Jovetic
64'
C. Eiting
/ A. Christou
64'
71'
G. Naoum
/
R. Mudrazija
⚽S. Coulibaly
76'
A. Dionkou
/ J. Balkovec
79'
M. Odubajo
/ M. Mayambela
79'
88'
C. Thoma
/
Mathias Gonzalez
88'
C. Loukaidis
/
A. Cardero
Pre-match prediction
70.91%
Omonia
16.17%
X ←
12.92%
AEK
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
16.17%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.81
2.60
-0.21
0.83
0.84
+0.01
Omonia Nicosia dominated by xG (2.60 vs 0.84).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
98
Charalampos Kyriakidis
G
28
Moses Odubajo
D
5
Senou Coulibaly
1 ⚽
D
27
Stefan Simic
D
2
Alpha Diounkou
D
Alpha Diounkou
D
14
Mateo Marić
M
6
Carel Eiting
M
7
Willy Semedo
M
Willy Semedo
M
22
Muamer Tanković
M
11
Ewandro
M
Ewandro
M
19
R. Mmaee
F
R. Mmaee
F
Bench
82
Andreas Christou
M
85
A. Neophytou
F
A. Neophytou
F
20
Evangelos Andreou
M
40
Fabiano
G
Fabiano
G
23
Francis Uzoho
G
21
G. Masouras
D
G. Masouras
D
31
I. Kousoulos
M
I. Kousoulos
M
29
J. Balkovec
D
J. Balkovec
D
18
Mihlali Mayambela
M
44
N. Eraković
M
N. Eraković
M
8
S. Jovetić
F
S. Jovetić
F
10
T. Chatzigiovanis
M
T. Chatzigiovanis
M
51
A. Paraskevas
G
A. Paraskevas
G
2
Petros Ioannou
D
25
C. Kyriakou
M
C. Kyriakou
M
15
Hrvoje Miličević
1 ⚽
D
9
Đorđe Ivanović
M
17
Pere Pons
M
7
Gus Ledes
M
21
Jorge Miramón
M
32
R. Mudražija
M
R. Mudražija
M
86
Álex Cardero
M
41
Mathías González
F
Bench
14
Ángel García
D
35
Christodoulos Thoma
M
36
Christos Loukaidis
F
37
David Gerasimou
F
29
Giorgos Naoum
M
6
Jimmy Suárez
M
12
Kewin Komar
G
42
Maximos Petoussis
D
11
Riad Bajić
F
1
Z. Alomerović
G
Z. Alomerović
G
Omonia Nicosia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charalampos Kyriakidis | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Moses Odubajo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Senou Coulibaly | D | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stefan Simic | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alpha Diounkou | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mateo Marić | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carel Eiting | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Willy Semedo | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Muamer Tanković | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ewandro | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Mmaee | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
AEK Larnaca — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Paraskevas | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Petros Ioannou | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Kyriakou | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hrvoje Miličević | D | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Đorđe Ivanović | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pere Pons | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gus Ledes | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jorge Miramón | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Mudražija | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Álex Cardero | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mathías González | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Omonia Nicosia vs AEK Larnaca?
The final score was Omonia Nicosia 1–1 AEK Larnaca.
What did the model predict before Omonia Nicosia vs AEK Larnaca?
The model assigned 70% probability to a Omonia Nicosia win, 16% to a draw, and 12% to an AEK Larnaca win.