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Omonia Nicosia - Benfica

Europa League October 22, 2026 21:00
#16 · 3 pts
vs
#7 · 3 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.06%
Win
Omonia Nicosia
19.27%
Draw
45.67%
Win
Benfica
1.94
Expected xG
2.28

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–2 (7.42%)
1X2 Result
1 35%
X 19%
2 46%
Double Chance ✓ 100.0% hit rate (14 picks)
1X 54%
X2 65%
12 81%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 91%
Over 2.5 82%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Benfica a 45% win probability, against 19% for a draw and 35% for Omonia Nicosia. Expected goals are 1.9 for Omonia Nicosia and 2.3 for Benfica (total 4.2), with a 90% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–2 at 7.42% probability.

Season Stats

Omonia Nicosia
3W 1D 1L
Benfica
5W 1D 1L
Averages per game
1.4
Goals
3.0
0.8
Conceded
0.9
3.5
Shots OT
9.0
2.5
Corners
6.0
50%
Poss.
61%
Percentages
40%
O 1.5
100%
20%
O 2.5
71%
40%
BTTS
71%
40%
Clean Sht
29%
ℹ Based on the last 7 matches in Europa League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
29%
O 3.5
54%
BTTS
Omonia Nicosia
3W 0D 0L · at home
Benfica
2W 1D 1L · away
2.0
gls/g
1.8
0.7
Conceded
1.0
100%
Win %
50%
100%
Win or Draw
75%
33%
O 1.5
100%
33%
O 2.5
50%
33%
O 3.5
25%
33%
BTTS
75%
67%
Clean Sht
25%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 4
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Omonia Nicosia Benfica →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.5% 3.3% 3.8% 2.9% 1.7% 0.8%
1 2.8% 6.5% 7.4% 5.6% 3.2% 1.5%
2 2.8% 6.3% 7.2% 5.5% 3.1% 1.4%
3 1.8% 4.1% 4.7% 3.5% 2.0% 0.9%
4 0.9% 2.0% 2.3% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4%
5 0.3% 0.8% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%

Recent form

W Celta Vigo 1–0
W St. Truiden 4–2
L St. Truiden 1–0
W Lincoln Red Imps FC 1–0
D Lincoln Red Imps FC 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 41%
W AC Milan 0–2
W Aarhus 1–3
W Aarhus 3–1
D Heart Of Midlothian 1–1
W Heart Of Midlothian 6–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 40%

Playing profile

Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia
Attack
42
Defence
82
Form
56
Benfica Benfica
Attack
63
Defence
75
Form
74
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Juventus Juventus 1 3
2 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 1 3
3 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 1 3
4 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 1 3
5 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 1 3
6 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 1 3
7 Benfica Benfica 1 3
8 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 1 3
9 OFI OFI 1 3
10 Bournemouth Bournemouth 1 3
11 Lyon Lyon 1 3
12 Torreense Torreense 1 3
13 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 1 3
14 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 1 3
15 Sunderland Sunderland 1 3
16 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 1 3
17 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 1 1
18 Rennes Rennes 1 1
19 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 1 1
20 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 1 1
21 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 1 0
22 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 1 0
23 Anderlecht Anderlecht 1 0
24 Lillestrom Lillestrom 1 0
25 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 1 0
26 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 1 0
27 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 1 0
28 Celtic Celtic 1 0
29 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 1 0
30 AC Milan AC Milan 1 0
31 Celje Celje 1 0
32 Marseille Marseille 1 0
33 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 1 0
34 Plzen Plzen 1 0
35 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 1 0
36 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 1 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica?
The model gives Omonia Nicosia a 35% win probability, 19% for a draw, and 45% for an Benfica win.
How many goals are expected in Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica?
Expected goals: Omonia Nicosia 1.9, Benfica 2.3 (total 4.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 90%.
What is the most likely score in Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica?
1–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 7.42%.