Europa League
· League Stage - 1
September 16, 2026 18:45
J. Balkovec
88'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Omonia Nicosia a 44% win probability (draw 26%, Celta Vigo 29%). The final result was Omonia Nicosia 1–0 Celta Vigo.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
10
5
Shots on target
5
0.32
Actual xG
1.14
4
Saves
4
47%
Possession
53%
3
Corners
9
6
Tackles
7
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
56'
H. Gonzalez
/
F. Jutgla
56'
W. Swedberg
/
C. Driouech
M. Tankovic
/ L. Brouwers
63'
68'
W. Swedberg
72'
H. Alvarez
/
P. Duran
72'
A. Febas
/
H. Burcio
S. Coulibaly
/ A. Kakoullis
75'
78'
B. Iglesias
/
A. Nunez
⚽J. Balkovec
88'
Costa Ewandro
/ F. Tanase
90'+3
J. Montnor
/ M. Mayambela
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
44.0%
Omonia ←
26.9%
X
29.1%
Celta
we assigned to the actual result (Omonia Nicosia)
44.0%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.56
0.32
-1.24
0.87
1.14
+0.27
Celta Vigo dominated by xG (1.14 vs 0.32).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
40
Fabiano
G
29
J. Balkovec
1 ⚽
D
37
Ľ. Šatka
D
5
S. Coulibaly
D
S. Coulibaly
D
93
J. Duverne
D
14
M. Marić
M
74
P. Andreou
M
7
J. Montnor
M
22
M. Tankovic
63'
M
11
Ewandro
M
99
L. Diony
75'
F
Bench
9
A. Kakoullis
16'
F
82
Andreas Christou
D
85
A. Neophytou
F
90
C. Konstantinidis
D
92
C. Panagiotis
M
17
F. Tănase
M
20
L. Brouwers
28'
M
77
L. Négo
D
21
M. Mayambela
F
78
Pantelis Michail
G
27
S. Simič
D
1
T. Kaminski
G
13
I. Radu
G
I. Radu
G
3
Marcos Alonso
D
Marcos Alonso
D
2
C. Starfelt
D
C. Starfelt
D
20
Javi Rodríguez
D
Javi Rodríguez
D
24
C. Driouech
56'
M
C. Driouech
56'
M
5
Sergio Carreira
M
Sergio Carreira
M
8
Miguel Román
M
Miguel Román
M
15
Álvaro Núñez
78'
M
Álvaro Núñez
78'
M
30
H. Burcio
72'
F
H. Burcio
72'
F
9
Ferran Jutglà
56'
F
Ferran Jutglà
56'
F
11
Pablo Durán
72'
F
Pablo Durán
72'
F
Bench
1
A. Bayındır
G
A. Bayındır
G
4
A. Faye
D
A. Faye
D
14
Aleix Febas
19'
M
Aleix Febas
19'
M
7
Borja Iglesias
13'
F
Borja Iglesias
13'
F
23
Hugo Álvarez
19'
M
Hugo Álvarez
19'
M
16
Hugo González
35'
F
Hugo González
35'
F
6
I. Moriba
M
I. Moriba
M
22
Javi Galán
D
Javi Galán
D
17
Javi Rueda
D
Javi Rueda
D
21
S. Cáceres
D
S. Cáceres
D
19
W. Swedberg
35'
F
W. Swedberg
35'
F
18
Yoel Lago
D
Yoel Lago
D
Best on the pitch
J. Balkovec
D · Omonia
8.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 68 pass
J. Duverne
D · Omonia
7.90
1 shots
· 32 pass
S. Coulibaly
D · Omonia
7.70
2 shots
· 69 pass
I. Radu
G · Celta
7.70
· 10 pass
Fabiano
G · Omonia
7.50
· 22 pass
Ľ. Šatka
D · Omonia
7.20
· 57 pass
Omonia Nicosia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fabiano | G | 91 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | — | — | — |
| J. Balkovec | D | 91 | 8.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 68 | 54% | — | — | — |
| Ľ. Šatka | D | 91 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 57 | 54% | — | — | — |
| S. Coulibaly | D | 91 | 7.70 | — | — | 2 | 69 | 65% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Duverne | D | 91 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Marić | M | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 73 | 67% | — | — | — |
| P. Andreou | M | 91 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 53 | 47% | — | — | — |
| J. Montnor | M | 91 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Tankovic | M | 63 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Ewandro | M | 91 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Diony | F | 75 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| A. Kakoullis | F | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| L. Brouwers | M | 28 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
Celta Vigo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Radu | G | 91 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Marcos Alonso | D | 91 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 93 | 88% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Starfelt | D | 91 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 74 | 73% | — | — | — |
| Javi Rodríguez | D | 91 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 90 | 86% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Driouech | M | 56 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Sergio Carreira | M | 91 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 44% | — | — | — |
| Miguel Román | M | 91 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 58 | 52% | — | — | — |
| Álvaro Núñez | M | 78 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 38% | — | — | — |
| H. Burcio | F | 72 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 41 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Ferran Jutglà | F | 56 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Pablo Durán | F | 72 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Aleix Febas | M | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Borja Iglesias | F | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Hugo Álvarez | M | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Hugo González | F | 35 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| W. Swedberg | F | 35 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Omonia Nicosia vs Celta Vigo?
The final score was Omonia Nicosia 1–0 Celta Vigo.
What did the model predict before Omonia Nicosia vs Celta Vigo?
The model assigned 44% probability to a Omonia Nicosia win, 26% to a draw, and 29% to an Celta Vigo win.