71'
D. Rosero
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Once Caldas a 52% win probability (draw 23%, America de Cali 23%). The final result was Once Caldas 0–1 America de Cali. In 2 previous meetings, Once Caldas have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for America de Cali.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
12
5
Shots on target
5
0.59
Actual xG
1.36
4
Saves
5
47%
Possession
53%
3
Corners
5
3
Tackles
6
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
15'
J. Escobar
M. Barrios
24'
35'
45'+1
L. Quinones
J. A. Zapata Ramirez
45'
50'
D. Rosero
51'
Y. Guzman
J. Alvarado
/ J. Quinones
62'
68'
Y. Quintero
/
J. Escobar
68'
A. Ramos
/
T. Angel
A. Roa
/ M. Zuleta
70'
P. Gomez
/ D. Moreno
70'
71'
D. Rosero⚽
76'
E. Tortolero
/
L. Quinones
J. Quinones
80'
83'
B. Cordoba
/
M. Castillo
83'
D. Mina
/
J. Palacios
M. Barrios
/ E. Torres
83'
Pre-match prediction
52.85%
Once
23.19%
X
23.96%
America ←
we assigned to the actual result (America de Cali)
23.96%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.82
0.59
-1.23
1.09
1.36
+0.27
America de Cali dominated by xG (1.36 vs 0.59).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
99
J. Parra
G
J. Parra
G
3
A. Correa
D
A. Correa
D
30
D. Londoño
D
D. Londoño
D
2
J. Cardona
D
J. Cardona
D
22
J. Cuesta
D
J. Cuesta
D
23
A. Colorado
M
A. Colorado
M
7
M. Barrios
82'
M
M. Barrios
82'
M
15
J. Alvarado
62'
M
J. Alvarado
62'
M
9
Pipe Gómez
71'
M
Pipe Gómez
71'
M
20
A. Roa
70'
M
A. Roa
70'
M
14
J. Zapata
45'
F
J. Zapata
45'
F
Bench
17
D. Moreno
19'
F
D. Moreno
19'
F
29
E. Torres
8'
F
E. Torres
8'
F
21
H. Guzman
F
H. Guzman
F
16
J. Castaño
D
J. Castaño
D
42
J. Quiñónes
28'
M
J. Quiñónes
28'
M
25
Juan Gallego
G
Juan Gallego
G
5
Juan Pablo Nieto
M
Juan Pablo Nieto
M
28
M. Zuleta
20'
M
M. Zuleta
20'
M
19
T. García
M
T. García
M
1
Jean
G
Jean
G
30
O. Bertel
D
O. Bertel
D
3
Dany Rosero
1 ⚽
D
Dany Rosero
1 ⚽
D
24
C. Tovar
D
C. Tovar
D
13
Mateo Castillo Márquez
83'
D
Mateo Castillo Márquez
83'
D
88
Tilman Palacios
83'
M
Tilman Palacios
83'
M
5
J. Escobar
68'
M
J. Escobar
68'
M
15
R. Carrascal
M
R. Carrascal
M
23
L. Quiñones
77'
M
L. Quiñones
77'
M
21
T. Ángel
68'
F
T. Ángel
68'
F
10
Yeison Guzmán
F
Yeison Guzmán
F
Bench
20
Adrián Ramos
22'
F
Adrián Ramos
22'
F
44
Brayan Córdoba
13'
D
Brayan Córdoba
13'
D
77
E. Tortolero
13'
M
E. Tortolero
13'
M
12
J. Montoya
G
J. Montoya
G
6
José Cavadia
M
José Cavadia
M
35
Kevin Angulo
F
Kevin Angulo
F
14
M. Mina
13'
D
M. Mina
13'
D
18
Yani Quintero
22'
M
Yani Quintero
22'
M
Best on the pitch
Dany Rosero
D · America
8.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 41 pass
L. Quiñones
M · America
7.30
1 shots
· 29 pass
D. Londoño
D · Once
7.30
1 shots
· 53 pass
J. Cardona
D · Once
7.30
· 34 pass
Jean
G · America
7.30
· 23 pass
R. Carrascal
M · America
7.20
2 shots
· 69 pass
Once Caldas — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Parra | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 39 | 25% | — | — | — |
| A. Correa | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 37 | 33% | — | — | — |
| D. Londoño | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 46% | — | — | — |
| J. Cardona | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Cuesta | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Colorado | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 29% | — | — | — |
| M. Barrios | M | 82 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 19% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Alvarado | M | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Pipe Gómez | M | 71 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 32 | 29% | — | — | — |
| A. Roa | M | 70 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 25% | — | — | — |
| J. Zapata | F | 45 | 5.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | — | — | 1 |
| D. Moreno | F | 19 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| E. Torres | F | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| J. Quiñónes | M | 28 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 23% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Zuleta | M | 20 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
America de Cali — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jean | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 22% | — | — | — |
| O. Bertel | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Dany Rosero | D | 90 | 8.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 41 | 40% | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. Tovar | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 41% | — | — | — |
| Mateo Castillo Márquez | D | 83 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Tilman Palacios | M | 83 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | — | — | — |
| J. Escobar | M | 68 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 30% | — | 1 | — |
| R. Carrascal | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 69 | 60% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Quiñones | M | 77 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 25% | 1 | 1 | — |
| T. Ángel | F | 68 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 23 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Yeison Guzmán | F | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 5 | 59 | 44% | — | 1 | — |
| Adrián Ramos | F | 22 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Brayan Córdoba | D | 13 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 12% | — | — | — |
| E. Tortolero | M | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
| M. Mina | D | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Yani Quintero | M | 22 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Once Caldas vs America de Cali?
The final score was Once Caldas 0–1 America de Cali.
What did the model predict before Once Caldas vs America de Cali?
The model assigned 52% probability to a Once Caldas win, 23% to a draw, and 23% to an America de Cali win.