L. Sanchez
(ast. J. A. Zapata Ramirez)
46'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Once Caldas a 38% win probability (draw 26%, Atletico Nacional 35%). The final result was Once Caldas 1–0 Atletico Nacional.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
10
8
Shots on target
5
1.43
Actual xG
1.47
4
Saves
7
45%
Possession
55%
9
Corners
4
6
Tackles
5
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
J. Castano
36'
⚽L. Sanchez
· ast. J. A. Zapata Ramirez
46'
46'
N. Rodriguez
/
D. Asprilla
52'
A. Morelos
L. Sanchez
58'
67'
E. Cardona
/
A. Sarmiento
67'
J. Zapata
/
M. Uribe
75'
M. Moreno
/
E. Bello
D. Moreno
/ H. Guzman
75'
A. Roa
/ J. Quinones
75'
L. Sanchez
/ J. Beltran
83'
P. Gomez
/ J. Alvarado
84'
J. A. Zapata Ramirez
86'
J. A. Zapata Ramirez
/ J. Cardona
90'+3
90'
J. Zapata
Pre-match prediction
38.56%
Once ←
26.43%
X
35.01%
Atletico
we assigned to the actual result (Once Caldas)
38.56%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.19
1.43
+0.24
1.22
1.47
+0.25
xG dominance was balanced (1.43 – 1.47).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
99
G
33
Juan Patiño
D
Juan Patiño
D
18
D
16
J. Castaño
D
J. Castaño
D
22
J. Cuesta
D
J. Cuesta
D
88
Robert Mejía
M
Robert Mejía
M
20
A. Roa
74'
M
A. Roa
74'
M
9
Pipe Gómez
84'
M
Pipe Gómez
84'
M
10
Luis Sánchez
1 ⚽
83'
M
Luis Sánchez
1 ⚽
83'
M
14
J. Zapata
1 👟
89'
M
J. Zapata
1 👟
89'
M
17
D. Moreno
75'
F
D. Moreno
75'
F
Bench
21
Helieyker Guzman
15'
F
Helieyker Guzman
15'
F
15
J. Alvarado
10'
M
J. Alvarado
10'
M
2
J. Cardona
1'
D
J. Cardona
1'
D
42
J. Quiñónes
16'
M
J. Quiñónes
16'
M
15
G
20
D
16
William Tesillo
D
William Tesillo
D
28
Simon Garcia
D
Simon Garcia
D
6
A. Román
D
A. Román
D
8
Matheus Uribe
67'
M
Matheus Uribe
67'
M
21
J. Campuzano
M
J. Campuzano
M
29
A. Sarmiento
67'
M
A. Sarmiento
67'
M
9
A. Morelos
M
A. Morelos
M
18
E. Bello
74'
M
E. Bello
74'
M
27
Dairon Asprilla
45'
F
Dairon Asprilla
45'
F
Bench
4
César Haydar
D
César Haydar
D
10
E. Cardona
23'
M
E. Cardona
23'
M
80
Juan Zapata
23'
M
Juan Zapata
23'
M
7
Marlos Moreno
16'
F
Marlos Moreno
16'
F
Best on the pitch
G · Atletico
9.50
· 33 pass
G · Once
8.20
· 27 pass
Robert Mejía
M · Once
7.90
· 48 pass
Luis Sánchez
M · Once
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 30 pass
J. Zapata
M · Once
7.90
1 👟
3 shots
· 21 pass
Juan Patiño
D · Once
7.50
2 shots
· 33 pass
Once Caldas — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 18% | — | — | — | |
| Juan Patiño | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 33 | 27% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | 2 | — | — | |
| J. Castaño | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 25% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Cuesta | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Robert Mejía | M | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 48 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Roa | M | 74 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 37% | — | — | — |
| Pipe Gómez | M | 84 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 36 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Luis Sánchez | M | 83 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 30 | 30% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Zapata | M | 89 | 7.90 | — | 1 | 3 | 21 | 18% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D. Moreno | F | 75 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Helieyker Guzman | F | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| J. Alvarado | M | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| J. Cardona | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Quiñónes | M | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Atletico Nacional — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 9.50 | — | — | — | 33 | 30% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 26% | — | — | — | |
| William Tesillo | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 49 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| Simon Garcia | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 58% | — | — | — |
| A. Román | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 26 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| Matheus Uribe | M | 67 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Campuzano | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 60 | 58% | — | — | — |
| A. Sarmiento | M | 67 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| A. Morelos | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 25% | — | 1 | — |
| E. Bello | M | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Dairon Asprilla | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| E. Cardona | M | 23 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Juan Zapata | M | 23 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| Marlos Moreno | F | 16 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Once Caldas vs Atletico Nacional?
The final score was Once Caldas 1–0 Atletico Nacional.
What did the model predict before Once Caldas vs Atletico Nacional?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Once Caldas win, 26% to a draw, and 35% to an Atletico Nacional win.