✗Model wrong — prediction Once Caldas, result Draw
E. Torres
(ast. M. Barrios)
81'
90'
(ast. J. A. Bermudez Correa)
Y. Quinones
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Once Caldas a 69% win probability (draw 20%, Deportivo Pereira 10%). The final result was Once Caldas 1–1 Deportivo Pereira. In 1 previous meetings, Once Caldas have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Deportivo Pereira.
Match statistics
23
Total shots
5
12
Shots on target
2
2.07
Actual xG
0.39
2
Saves
11
63%
Possession
37%
12
Corners
0
9
Tackles
16
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
1
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
J. Quinones
/ D. Moreno
46'
A. Colorado
48'
57'
J. A. Bermudez Correa
/
E. Moreno
57'
M. Diaz
/
M. Perez
60'
S. Urrea
65'
Y. Quinones
/
A. Plata
69'
J. A. Bermudez Correa
J. Cardona
72'
P. Gomez
/ E. Torres
73'
⚽E. Torres
· ast. M. Barrios
81'
J. A. Zapata Ramirez
/ J. Alvarado
83'
J. A. Zapata Ramirez
83'
J. Patino
85'
85'
Y. Quinones
90'+1
S. Zuluaga
M. Zuleta
90'+2
90'
ast. J. A. Bermudez Correa ·
Y. Quinones⚽
90'
D. Ortiz
/
J. Largacha
Pre-match prediction
69.61%
Once
20.17%
X ←
10.22%
Deportivo
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
20.17%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.81
2.07
+0.26
0.45
0.39
-0.06
Once Caldas dominated by xG (2.07 vs 0.39).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
99
Felipe Parra
G
Felipe Parra
G
33
Juan Patiño
D
Juan Patiño
D
30
Daniel Londoño
D
Daniel Londoño
D
2
Jorge Cardona
D
Jorge Cardona
D
22
Juan David Cuesta
D
Juan David Cuesta
D
5
Juan Pablo Nieto
M
Juan Pablo Nieto
M
23
Andres Colorado
M
Andres Colorado
M
9
Pipe Gómez
73'
M
Pipe Gómez
73'
M
42
Jader Quinones
45'
M
Jader Quinones
45'
M
7
Michael Barrios
1 👟
M
Michael Barrios
1 👟
M
14
Jefry Zapata
83'
F
Jefry Zapata
83'
F
Bench
17
Dayro Moreno
45'
F
Dayro Moreno
45'
F
29
E. Torres
1 ⚽
17'
F
E. Torres
1 ⚽
17'
F
21
Helieyker Guzman
F
Helieyker Guzman
F
15
Jaime Alvarado
13'
M
Jaime Alvarado
13'
M
18
Jeider Riquett
D
Jeider Riquett
D
12
Jesús Camargo
G
Jesús Camargo
G
16
Juan Castaño
D
Juan Castaño
D
28
Mateo Zuleta
M
Mateo Zuleta
M
19
Tomas García
M
Tomas García
M
1
Yimy Gómez
G
Yimy Gómez
G
25
Fabio Delgado
D
Fabio Delgado
D
15
Santiago Aguilar
D
Santiago Aguilar
D
2
Sebastián Urrea
D
Sebastián Urrea
D
20
Jordy Monroy
D
Jordy Monroy
D
24
Miguel Palacios
M
Miguel Palacios
M
21
Walmer Pacheco
M
Walmer Pacheco
M
14
Ederson Moreno
57'
M
Ederson Moreno
57'
M
7
Anderson Plata
65'
M
Anderson Plata
65'
M
11
Jhon Largacha
89'
F
Jhon Largacha
89'
F
18
Marco Pérez
57'
F
Marco Pérez
57'
F
Bench
6
Danilo Ortiz
1'
D
Danilo Ortiz
1'
D
16
Eber Moreno
D
Eber Moreno
D
8
Felipe Mosquera
F
Felipe Mosquera
F
5
Jorge Bermúdez
1 👟
33'
M
Jorge Bermúdez
1 👟
33'
M
29
Manuel Alejandro Diaz Hernandez
33'
F
Manuel Alejandro Diaz Hernandez
33'
F
33
Samuel Atehortua
G
Samuel Atehortua
G
34
Santiago Álzate
F
Santiago Álzate
F
23
Tobias Bovone
D
Tobias Bovone
D
13
Yuber Quiñones
1 ⚽
25'
F
Yuber Quiñones
1 ⚽
25'
F
Best on the pitch
Yimy Gómez
G · Deportivo
8.00
· 35 pass
E. Torres
F · Once
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 8 pass
Walmer Pacheco
M · Deportivo
7.60
1 shots
· 42 pass
Yuber Quiñones
F · Deportivo
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 16 pass
Fabio Delgado
D · Deportivo
7.50
· 30 pass
Michael Barrios
M · Once
7.50
1 👟
2 shots
· 30 pass
Once Caldas — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Felipe Parra | G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 30 | 25% | 0 | — | — |
| Juan Patiño | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 39% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Daniel Londoño | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 3 | 66 | 61% | 0 | — | — |
| Jorge Cardona | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 46% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Juan David Cuesta | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 56 | 52% | 1 | — | — |
| Juan Pablo Nieto | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 4 | 81 | 77% | 2 | — | — |
| Andres Colorado | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 53 | 48% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Pipe Gómez | M | 73 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 53 | 47% | 2 | — | — |
| Jader Quinones | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 27% | 0 | — | — |
| Michael Barrios | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 2 | 30 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Jefry Zapata | F | 83 | 7.00 | — | — | 5 | 25 | 23% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Dayro Moreno | F | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Torres | F | 17 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| Jaime Alvarado | M | 13 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
Deportivo Pereira — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yimy Gómez | G | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 35 | 25% | 0 | — | — |
| Fabio Delgado | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 30 | 27% | 0 | — | — |
| Santiago Aguilar | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Sebastián Urrea | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 47 | 43% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jordy Monroy | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| Miguel Palacios | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Walmer Pacheco | M | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 36% | 4 | — | — |
| Ederson Moreno | M | 57 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 22 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
| Anderson Plata | M | 65 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Jhon Largacha | F | 89 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Marco Pérez | F | 57 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| Danilo Ortiz | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| Jorge Bermúdez | M | 33 | 6.30 | — | 1 | — | 16 | 15% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Manuel Alejandro Diaz Hernandez | F | 33 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| Yuber Quiñones | F | 25 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 16 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pereira?
The final score was Once Caldas 1–1 Deportivo Pereira.
What did the model predict before Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pereira?
The model assigned 69% probability to a Once Caldas win, 20% to a draw, and 10% to an Deportivo Pereira win.