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Liga BetPlay · Apertura - 15 April 03, 2026 03:30 Estadio Palogrande, Manizales
Once Caldas
#5 · 33 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Independiente Medellin
#3 · 15 pts
M. Zuleta (ast. J. D. Cuesta Santos) 81'
84' (ast. D. Catano) B. Perlaza
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Once Caldas a 36% win probability (draw 30%, Independiente Medellin 33%). The final result was Once Caldas 1–1 Independiente Medellin.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
10
1
Shots on target
3
0.64
Actual xG
0.67
3
Saves
0
55%
Possession
45%
3
Corners
5
5
Tackles
14
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
10'
E. Larrosa
↕ K. Tamayo / J. Patino
46'
46'
D. Catano / E. Mena Perea ↕
46'
B. Perlaza / D. Moreno ↕
63'
A. Serna
↕ L. Sanchez / J. Alvarado
67'
↕ D. Quinones / M. Zuleta
67'
68'
Yony Gonzalez / J. Montano ↕
68'
H. Palacios / F. Fabra ↕
↕ J. Cardona / K. A. Cuesta Rodriguez
78'
79'
D. Moreno / A. Serna ↕
⚽M. Zuleta · ast. J. D. Cuesta Santos
81'
84'
ast. D. Catano · B. Perlaza⚽
86'
D. Catano
M. Zuleta
88'
R. Mejia
90'+4
K. A. Cuesta Rodriguez
90'
↕ J. Quinones / A. Roa
90'
Pre-match prediction
36.49%
Once
30.51%
X ←
33.0%
Independiente
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 30.51% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Once
1.03
0.64
-0.39
Independiente
1.52
0.67
-0.85
xG dominance was balanced (0.64 – 0.67). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 19 40
2 Junior Junior 19 35
3 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 19 34
4 America de Cali America de Cali 19 33
5 Once Caldas Once Caldas 19 33
6 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 19 31
7 Santa Fe Santa Fe 19 29
8 Internacional de Bogota Internacional de Bogota 19 28
9 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 19 27
10 Millonarios Millonarios 19 26
11 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 19 26
12 Águilas Doradas Águilas Doradas 19 26
13 Bucaramanga Bucaramanga 19 23
14 Llaneros Llaneros 19 22
15 Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC 19 22
16 Jaguares Jaguares 19 18
17 Alianza Valledupar Alianza Valledupar 19 17
18 Chico Chico 19 17
19 Cucuta Cucuta 19 16
20 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 19 10
Lineups
Once Caldas Once Caldas 4-1-4-1
99
G 6.70
30 K. Tamayo K. Tamayo 45' D 6.50
2 J. Cardona J. Cardona 78' D 7.30
16 J. Castaño J. Castaño D 6.70
22 J. Cuesta J. Cuesta 1 👟 D 6.60
88 Robert Mejía Robert Mejía M 6.60
9 Pipe Gómez Pipe Gómez M 6.70
10 L. Sánchez L. Sánchez 67' M 6.90
42 J. Quiñónes J. Quiñónes 89' M 6.90
70 Déinner Quiñones Déinner Quiñones 67' M 6.60
17 D. Moreno D. Moreno F 6.60
Bench
20 A. Roa A. Roa 1' M
21 H. Guzman H. Guzman F
15 J. Alvarado J. Alvarado 23' M 6.60
33 J. Patiño J. Patiño 45' D 6.20
23 K. Cuesta K. Cuesta 12' M 6.30
28 M. Zuleta M. Zuleta 1 ⚽ 23' M 7.70
Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 3-4-3
1
G 6.30
33 D. Londoño D. Londoño D 7.30
24 José Ortiz José Ortiz D 6.90
2 L. Chaverra L. Chaverra D 6.90
18 F. Fabra F. Fabra 68' M 6.20
6 D. Moreno D. Moreno 45' M 6.90
8 Alexis Serna Alexis Serna 79' M 6.70
26 E. Mena E. Mena 45' M 6.60
20 J. Montaño J. Montaño 68' F 6.30
9
E. Larrosa F 6.90
13 F. Chaverra F. Chaverra F 6.90
Bench
14 B. Perlaza B. Perlaza 1 ⚽ 45' M 7.60
10 Daniel Cataño Daniel Cataño 1 👟 45' M 6.50
31 D. Moreno D. Moreno 11' M 6.50
25 E. Chaux E. Chaux G
16 H. Loboa H. Loboa M
30 H. Palacios H. Palacios 22' D 6.50
5 L. Escorcia L. Escorcia D
11 Y. González Y. González 22' F 6.60
Best on the pitch
M. Zuleta
M. Zuleta
M · Once
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 8 pass
B. Perlaza
B. Perlaza
M · Independiente
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 15 pass
J. Cardona
J. Cardona
D · Once
7.30
· 40 pass
D. Londoño
D. Londoño
D · Independiente
7.30
· 61 pass
D. Moreno
D. Moreno
M · Independiente
6.90
· 28 pass
L. Chaverra
L. Chaverra
D · Independiente
6.90
· 32 pass
Once Caldas Once Caldas — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.70 — — — 42 31% — — —
K. Tamayo D 45 6.50 — — — 12 11% — — —
J. Cardona D 78 7.30 — — — 40 35% — — —
J. Castaño D 90 6.70 — — 1 45 33% — — —
J. Cuesta D 90 6.60 — 1 — 29 26% 1 — —
Robert Mejía M 90 6.60 — — — 39 33% 1 1 —
Pipe Gómez M 90 6.70 — — 1 34 32% — — —
L. Sánchez M 67 6.90 — — 1 38 30% — — —
J. Quiñónes M 89 6.90 — — 1 32 29% 1 — —
Déinner Quiñones M 67 6.60 — — — 18 15% 2 — —
D. Moreno F 90 6.60 — — 1 26 21% — — —
A. Roa M 1 — — — — — — — — —
J. Alvarado M 23 6.60 — — — 19 17% — — —
J. Patiño D 45 6.20 — — 1 14 12% — — —
K. Cuesta M 12 6.30 — — — 7 6% — 1 —
M. Zuleta M 23 7.70 1 — 1 8 6% — 1 —
Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.30 — — — 16 12% — — —
D. Londoño D 90 7.30 — — — 61 52% 3 — —
José Ortiz D 90 6.90 — — — 37 33% 2 — —
L. Chaverra D 90 6.90 — — — 32 25% 2 — —
F. Fabra M 68 6.20 — — — 18 11% 1 — —
D. Moreno M 45 6.90 — — — 28 25% — — —
Alexis Serna M 79 6.70 — — 1 36 33% 3 1 —
E. Mena M 45 6.60 — — 2 8 5% 1 — —
J. Montaño F 68 6.30 — — — 17 12% — — —
E. Larrosa F 90 6.90 — — 2 10 7% — 1 —
F. Chaverra F 90 6.90 — — 2 28 23% 1 — —
B. Perlaza M 45 7.60 1 — 1 15 14% — — —
Daniel Cataño M 45 6.50 — 1 1 18 13% — 1 —
D. Moreno M 11 6.50 — — — 6 6% — — —
H. Palacios D 22 6.50 — — 1 3 2% 1 — —
Y. González F 22 6.60 — — — 4 2% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Once Caldas vs Independiente Medellin?
The final score was Once Caldas 1–1 Independiente Medellin.
What did the model predict before Once Caldas vs Independiente Medellin?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Once Caldas win, 30% to a draw, and 33% to an Independiente Medellin win.