M. Zuleta
(ast. J. D. Cuesta Santos)
81'
84'
(ast. D. Catano)
B. Perlaza
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Once Caldas a 36% win probability (draw 30%, Independiente Medellin 33%). The final result was Once Caldas 1–1 Independiente Medellin.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
10
1
Shots on target
3
0.64
Actual xG
0.67
3
Saves
0
55%
Possession
45%
3
Corners
5
5
Tackles
14
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
10'
E. Larrosa
K. Tamayo
/ J. Patino
46'
46'
D. Catano
/
E. Mena Perea
46'
B. Perlaza
/
D. Moreno
63'
A. Serna
L. Sanchez
/ J. Alvarado
67'
D. Quinones
/ M. Zuleta
67'
68'
Yony Gonzalez
/
J. Montano
68'
H. Palacios
/
F. Fabra
J. Cardona
/ K. A. Cuesta Rodriguez
78'
79'
D. Moreno
/
A. Serna
⚽M. Zuleta
· ast. J. D. Cuesta Santos
81'
84'
ast. D. Catano ·
B. Perlaza⚽
86'
D. Catano
M. Zuleta
88'
R. Mejia
90'+4
K. A. Cuesta Rodriguez
90'
J. Quinones
/ A. Roa
90'
Pre-match prediction
36.49%
Once
30.51%
X ←
33.0%
Independiente
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
30.51%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.03
0.64
-0.39
1.52
0.67
-0.85
xG dominance was balanced (0.64 – 0.67).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
99
G
30
K. Tamayo
45'
D
2
Jorge Cardona
78'
D
Jorge Cardona
78'
D
16
J. Castaño
D
J. Castaño
D
22
Juan David Cuesta
1 👟
D
Juan David Cuesta
1 👟
D
88
Robert Mejía
M
Robert Mejía
M
9
Pipe Gómez
M
Pipe Gómez
M
10
Luis Sánchez
67'
M
Luis Sánchez
67'
M
42
Jader Quinones
89'
M
Jader Quinones
89'
M
70
D. Quinones
67'
M
17
D. Moreno
F
D. Moreno
F
Bench
20
Andrés Roa
1'
M
Andrés Roa
1'
M
21
Helieyker Guzman
F
Helieyker Guzman
F
15
Jaime Alvarado
23'
M
Jaime Alvarado
23'
M
33
Juan Patiño
45'
D
Juan Patiño
45'
D
23
K. A. Cuesta Rodriguez
12'
M
28
Mateo Zuleta
1 ⚽
23'
M
Mateo Zuleta
1 ⚽
23'
M
1
G
33
Daniel Londoño
D
Daniel Londoño
D
24
José Ortiz
D
José Ortiz
D
2
Léyser Chaverra
D
Léyser Chaverra
D
18
F. Fabra
68'
M
F. Fabra
68'
M
6
Didier Moreno
45'
M
Didier Moreno
45'
M
8
Alexis Serna
79'
M
Alexis Serna
79'
M
26
Esneyder Mena
45'
M
Esneyder Mena
45'
M
20
John Edwin Montaño
68'
F
John Edwin Montaño
68'
F
9
E. Larrosa
F
13
F. Chaverra
F
F. Chaverra
F
Bench
14
Baldomero Perlaza
1 ⚽
45'
M
Baldomero Perlaza
1 ⚽
45'
M
10
Daniel Cataño
1 👟
45'
M
Daniel Cataño
1 👟
45'
M
31
D. Moreno
11'
M
25
Eder Chaux
G
Eder Chaux
G
16
Halam Loboa
M
Halam Loboa
M
30
Hayen Palacios
22'
D
Hayen Palacios
22'
D
5
Luis Escorcia
D
Luis Escorcia
D
11
Y. González
22'
F
Y. González
22'
F
Best on the pitch
Mateo Zuleta
M · Once
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 8 pass
Baldomero Perlaza
M · Independiente
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 15 pass
Jorge Cardona
D · Once
7.30
· 40 pass
Daniel Londoño
D · Independiente
7.30
· 61 pass
Didier Moreno
M · Independiente
6.90
· 28 pass
Léyser Chaverra
D · Independiente
6.90
· 32 pass
Once Caldas — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 42 | 31% | — | — | — | |
| K. Tamayo | D | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Jorge Cardona | D | 78 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 40 | 35% | — | — | — |
| J. Castaño | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Juan David Cuesta | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 29 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Robert Mejía | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 39 | 33% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Pipe Gómez | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Luis Sánchez | M | 67 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Jader Quinones | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Quinones | M | 67 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Moreno | F | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Andrés Roa | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jaime Alvarado | M | 23 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Juan Patiño | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| K. A. Cuesta Rodriguez | M | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| Mateo Zuleta | M | 23 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
Independiente Medellin — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | — | — | — | |
| Daniel Londoño | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 61 | 52% | 3 | — | — |
| José Ortiz | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| Léyser Chaverra | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Fabra | M | 68 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Didier Moreno | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Alexis Serna | M | 79 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 33% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Esneyder Mena | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| John Edwin Montaño | F | 68 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| E. Larrosa | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 7% | — | 1 | — |
| F. Chaverra | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Baldomero Perlaza | M | 45 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 15 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Daniel Cataño | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 18 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
| D. Moreno | M | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Hayen Palacios | D | 22 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. González | F | 22 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Once Caldas vs Independiente Medellin?
The final score was Once Caldas 1–1 Independiente Medellin.
What did the model predict before Once Caldas vs Independiente Medellin?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Once Caldas win, 30% to a draw, and 33% to an Independiente Medellin win.