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Liga BetPlay · Clausura - 14 October 10, 2026 03:10 Estadio Palogrande, Manizales
Once Caldas
#5 · 33 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Llaneros
#14 · 17 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Once Caldas
Jorge Cardona (ast. Daniel Londono) 68'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Once Caldas a 67% win probability (draw 16%, Llaneros 15%). The final result was Once Caldas 1–0 Llaneros. In 1 previous meetings, Once Caldas have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Llaneros.

Match statistics
15
Total shots
10
4
Shots on target
5
0.74
Actual xG
1.58
5
Saves
3
60%
Possession
40%
5
Corners
4
7
Tackles
5
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
Jefry Zapata
33'
35'
Juan Castilla
45'
Luis Miranda / Jimmy Medranda ↕
Juan Cuesta
51'
55'
Carlos Cortés
61'
65'
(missed pen.) Carlos Cortés⚽
⚽Jorge Cardona · ast. Daniel Londono
68'
72'
Yorleys Mena / Carlos Cortés ↕
73'
Francisco Meza
75'
Jhon Vasquez
80'
85'
Joel Jesús Contreras Torres / Juan Ramirez ↕
↕ Felipe Gomez / Edwin Torres
88'
↕ Michael Barrios / Helieyker Guzman
88'
90'+1
Marlon Sierra / Frank Castaneda ↕
90'+1
Neider Ospina / Juan Castilla ↕
↕ Andrés Roa / Tomas García
90'+5
↕ Jader Quinones / Mateo Zuleta García
90'+8
Pre-match prediction
67.83%
Once ←
16.62%
X
15.55%
Llaneros
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Once Caldas) 67.83% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Once
2.59
0.74
-1.85
Llaneros
1.09
1.58
+0.49
Llaneros dominated by xG (1.58 vs 0.74). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 19 40
2 Junior Junior 19 35
3 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 19 34
4 America de Cali America de Cali 19 33
5 Once Caldas Once Caldas 19 33
6 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 19 31
7 Santa Fe Santa Fe 19 29
8 Internacional de Bogota Internacional de Bogota 19 28
9 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 19 27
10 Millonarios Millonarios 19 26
11 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 19 26
12 Águilas Doradas Águilas Doradas 19 26
13 Bucaramanga Bucaramanga 19 23
14 Llaneros Llaneros 19 22
15 Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC 19 22
16 Jaguares Jaguares 19 18
17 Alianza Valledupar Alianza Valledupar 19 17
18 Chico Chico 19 17
19 Cucuta Cucuta 19 16
20 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 19 10
Lineups
Once Caldas Once Caldas 4-2-3-1
99 Felipe Parra Felipe Parra G 8.30
33 Juan Patiño Juan Patiño D 7.43
30 Daniel Londoño Daniel Londoño 1 👟 D 7.98
2 Jorge Cardona Jorge Cardona 1 ⚽ D 8.67
22 Juan David Cuesta Juan David Cuesta D 7.30
42 Jader Quinones Jader Quinones M 6.89
5 Juan Pablo Nieto Juan Pablo Nieto M 7.14
9 Pipe Gómez Pipe Gómez 88' M 7.20
20 A. Roa A. Roa M 7.08
7 Michael Barrios Michael Barrios 88' M 6.54
14 Jefry Zapata Jefry Zapata F 6.77
Bench
29 E. Torres E. Torres 2' F 6.52
21 Helieyker Guzman Helieyker Guzman 2' F 6.64
18 Jeider Riquett Jeider Riquett D 0.00
12 Jesús Camargo Jesús Camargo G 0.00
16 Juan Castaño Juan Castaño D 0.00
28 Mateo Zuleta Mateo Zuleta 1' M 0.00
19 Tomas García Tomas García 1' M 0.00
Llaneros Llaneros 4-1-4-1
22 Roameth Romaña Roameth Romaña G 6.04
94 Jimmy Medranda Jimmy Medranda 45' D 6.96
21 Francisco Meza Francisco Meza D 6.56
2 Howell Mena Howell Mena D 6.92
20 Brandon Chury Brandon Chury D 6.53
13 Juan Castilla Juan Castilla 89' M 6.28
32 Frank Castañeda Frank Castañeda 89' M 6.85
33 Kelvin Osorio Kelvin Osorio M 6.69
8 Juan Ramirez Juan Ramirez 85' M 6.45
95 Jhon Vásquez Jhon Vásquez 75' M 6.03
9 Carlos Cortés Carlos Cortés 72' F 5.89
Bench
23 Alejandro Moralez Alejandro Moralez D 0.00
70 Joel Contreras Joel Contreras 5' F 6.24
12 Juan Loaiza Juan Loaiza G 0.00
7 Luis Miranda Luis Miranda 45' F 6.26
6 Marlon Sierra Marlon Sierra 1' M 0.00
10 Neider Ospina Neider Ospina 1' F 0.00
17 Yorleys Mena Yorleys Mena 18' F 6.39
Best on the pitch
Jorge Cardona
Jorge Cardona
D · Once
8.67
1 ⚽
1 shots · 48 pass
Felipe Parra
Felipe Parra
G · Once
8.30
· 28 pass
Daniel Londoño
Daniel Londoño
D · Once
7.98
1 👟
1 shots · 61 pass
Juan Patiño
Juan Patiño
D · Once
7.43
1 shots · 46 pass
Juan David Cuesta
Juan David Cuesta
D · Once
7.30
· 47 pass
Pipe Gómez
Pipe Gómez
M · Once
7.20
2 shots · 46 pass
Once Caldas Once Caldas — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Felipe Parra G 90 8.30 — — 0 28 22% 0 — —
Juan Patiño D 90 7.43 — — 1 46 41% 0 — —
Daniel Londoño D 90 7.98 — 1 1 61 57% 0 — —
Jorge Cardona D 90 8.67 1 — 1 48 44% 0 — —
Juan David Cuesta D 90 7.30 — — 0 47 42% 0 1 —
Jader Quinones M 98 6.89 — — 0 51 49% 0 — —
Juan Pablo Nieto M 90 7.14 — — 1 63 60% 1 — —
Pipe Gómez M 88 7.20 — — 2 46 40% 1 — —
A. Roa M 95 7.08 — — 1 32 25% 2 — —
Michael Barrios M 88 6.54 — — 1 15 11% 1 — —
Jefry Zapata F 90 6.77 — — 6 13 10% 1 1 —
E. Torres F 2 6.52 — — 0 5 3% 0 — —
Helieyker Guzman F 2 6.64 — — 1 4 4% 1 — —
Mateo Zuleta M 1 0.00 — — 0 1 1% 0 — —
Tomas García M 1 0.00 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
Llaneros Llaneros — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Roameth Romaña G 90 6.04 — — 0 32 16% 0 — —
Jimmy Medranda D 45 6.96 — — 1 23 22% 0 — —
Francisco Meza D 90 6.56 — — 0 52 46% 1 1 —
Howell Mena D 90 6.92 — — 1 31 26% 0 — —
Brandon Chury D 90 6.53 — — 0 14 13% 0 — —
Juan Castilla M 89 6.28 — — 0 27 23% 1 1 —
Frank Castañeda M 89 6.85 — — 1 20 16% 0 — —
Kelvin Osorio M 90 6.69 — — 1 20 17% 1 — —
Juan Ramirez M 85 6.45 — — 0 27 24% 1 — —
Jhon Vásquez M 75 6.03 — — 2 5 3% 0 — 1
Carlos Cortés F 72 5.89 — — 3 9 8% 1 1 —
Joel Contreras F 5 6.24 — — 0 5 4% 0 — —
Luis Miranda F 45 6.26 — — 0 14 11% 0 — —
Marlon Sierra M 1 0.00 — — 0 5 4% 0 — —
Neider Ospina F 1 0.00 — — 0 8 7% 0 — —
Yorleys Mena F 18 6.39 — — 1 3 2% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Once Caldas vs Llaneros?
The final score was Once Caldas 1–0 Llaneros.
What did the model predict before Once Caldas vs Llaneros?
The model assigned 67% probability to a Once Caldas win, 16% to a draw, and 15% to an Llaneros win.