Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 22
August 16, 2026 16:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Operario-PR, result Avai wins
Vinicius Mingotti
(ast. A. Torres)
90'+1
90'+6
Jefferson Maciel
90'+8
Wallison
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Operario-PR a 58% win probability (draw 23%, Avai 18%). The final result was Operario-PR 1–2 Avai. In 1 previous meetings, Operario-PR have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Avai.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
7
5
Shots on target
3
0.83
Actual xG
1.59
1
Saves
4
68%
Possession
32%
6
Corners
0
8
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
7'
(missed pen.)
F. Vizeu⚽
11'
F. Vizeu
26'
Paulo Vitor
Joseph
45'+2
Mikael Doka
/ Maguinho
49'
Aylon
/ Maxwell
63'
Gabriel Feliciano
/ Vinicius Mingotti
63'
70'
Wallison
/
Joao Vitor
70'
Isaias
/
Leo Chu
71'
Gabriel Cipriano
/
Thayllon
Matheus Trindade
/ A. Torres
74'
Pablo
/ Neto Paraiba
74'
75'
Ze Ricardo
/
Paulo Vitor
81'
Jean Lucas
/
F. Vizeu
⚽Vinicius Mingotti
· ast. A. Torres
90'+1
90'+6
Jefferson Maciel⚽
90'+8
Wallison⚽
90'+10
Wallison
Pre-match prediction
58.81%
Operario-PR
23.0%
X
18.19%
Avai ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Avai)
18.19%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.71
0.83
-0.88
0.79
1.59
+0.8
Avai dominated by xG (1.59 vs 0.83).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
33
Vagner
G
Vagner
G
27
Gabriel Feliciano
63'
D
Gabriel Feliciano
63'
D
16
Miranda
D
Miranda
D
43
Joseph
D
Joseph
D
2
Mikael Doka
49'
D
Mikael Doka
49'
D
39
Matheus Trindade
74'
M
Matheus Trindade
74'
M
6
Moraes
M
Moraes
M
20
Vinícius Diniz
M
Vinícius Diniz
M
10
Boschilia
M
Boschilia
M
11
Aylon
63'
M
Aylon
63'
M
92
Pablo
74'
F
Pablo
74'
F
Bench
7
Á. Quiñones
1 👟
26'
F
Á. Quiñones
1 👟
26'
F
99
Caio Dantas
F
Caio Dantas
F
32
Charles
M
Charles
M
1
Elias Martello Curzel
G
Elias Martello Curzel
G
5
Índio
M
Índio
M
8
J. Zuluaga
M
J. Zuluaga
M
44
Klaus
D
Klaus
D
26
Maguinho
51'
D
Maguinho
51'
D
77
Maxwell
37'
F
Maxwell
37'
F
88
Neto Paraíba
26'
M
Neto Paraíba
26'
M
30
Pedro Vilhena
M
Pedro Vilhena
M
9
Vinícius Mingotti
1 ⚽
37'
F
Vinícius Mingotti
1 ⚽
37'
F
94
Bruno Ferreira
G
Bruno Ferreira
G
40
Reynaldo
D
Reynaldo
D
3
Allyson
D
Allyson
D
38
Jefferson Maciel
1 ⚽
D
Jefferson Maciel
1 ⚽
D
56
William Fernando
M
William Fernando
M
8
Luiz Henrique
M
Luiz Henrique
M
25
Paulo Vitor
75'
M
Paulo Vitor
75'
M
22
João Vitor Cardoso de Souza
70'
M
João Vitor Cardoso de Souza
70'
M
7
Léo Chú
70'
F
Léo Chú
70'
F
11
Felipe Vizeu
81'
F
Felipe Vizeu
81'
F
43
Thayllon Roberth
71'
F
Thayllon Roberth
71'
F
Bench
14
Daniel Penha
M
Daniel Penha
M
36
DG
D
DG
D
23
Gabriel Cipriano
29'
F
Gabriel Cipriano
29'
F
15
Guilherme Vargas
D
Guilherme Vargas
D
1
Igor Bohn
G
Igor Bohn
G
20
IsaÃas Pereira
30'
F
IsaÃas Pereira
30'
F
10
Jean Lucas
19'
M
Jean Lucas
19'
M
9
Léo Gamalho
F
Léo Gamalho
F
5
Romildo Del Piage
M
Romildo Del Piage
M
2
Wallison
1 ⚽
30'
D
Wallison
1 ⚽
30'
D
95
Wenderson
M
Wenderson
M
77
Zé Ricardo
25'
M
Zé Ricardo
25'
M
Best on the pitch
Wallison
D · Avai
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 6 pass
Boschilia
M · Operario-PR
7.50
3 shots
· 82 pass
Moraes
M · Operario-PR
7.30
· 34 pass
Vinícius Mingotti
F · Operario-PR
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 11 pass
Matheus Trindade
M · Operario-PR
7.00
2 shots
· 39 pass
Aylon
M · Operario-PR
7.00
· 30 pass
Operario-PR — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vagner | G | 100 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Feliciano | D | 63 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Miranda | D | 100 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 64 | 63% | 2 | — | — |
| Joseph | D | 100 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 76 | 74% | — | 1 | — |
| Mikael Doka | D | 49 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Matheus Trindade | M | 74 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 39 | 36% | — | — | — |
| Moraes | M | 100 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 30% | 3 | — | — |
| Vinícius Diniz | M | 100 | 6.60 | — | — | 4 | 61 | 54% | — | — | — |
| Boschilia | M | 100 | 7.50 | — | — | 3 | 82 | 75% | — | — | — |
| Aylon | M | 63 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 30 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Pablo | F | 74 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Á. Quiñones | F | 26 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Maguinho | D | 51 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Maxwell | F | 37 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Neto Paraíba | M | 26 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Vinícius Mingotti | F | 37 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
Avai — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruno Ferreira | G | 100 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Reynaldo | D | 100 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 28 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Allyson | D | 100 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Jefferson Maciel | D | 100 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 32 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| William Fernando | M | 100 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Luiz Henrique | M | 100 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Paulo Vitor | M | 75 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 21% | 3 | 1 | — |
| João Vitor Cardoso de Souza | M | 70 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Léo Chú | F | 70 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Felipe Vizeu | F | 81 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| Thayllon Roberth | F | 71 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Cipriano | F | 29 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| IsaÃas Pereira | F | 30 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Jean Lucas | M | 19 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Wallison | D | 30 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| Zé Ricardo | M | 25 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Operario-PR vs Avai?
The final score was Operario-PR 1–2 Avai.
What did the model predict before Operario-PR vs Avai?
The model assigned 58% probability to a Operario-PR win, 23% to a draw, and 18% to an Avai win.