Operario-PR 2–6 Nautico Recife — pre-match prediction — Brasileirão Série B — May 16, 2026

← Brasileirão Série B

Brasileirão Série B · Regular Season - 9 May 16, 2026 21:00

Operario-PR

#6 · 25 pts

2 – 6

Final score

Nautico Recife

#12 · 20 pts

Pablo (ast. Aylon) 7'

Boschilia 67' (pen.)

27' (ast. Vinicius) Derek

45'+1 (ast. Vinicius) Reginaldo

53' (ast. Victor Andrade) Vinicius

63' (ast. Paulo Sergio) Junior Todinho

68' (ast. Wenderson) Dodo

90'+2 (ast. Junior Todinho) Paulo Sergio

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Operario-PR a 35% win probability (draw 35%, Nautico Recife 29%). The final result was Operario-PR 2–6 Nautico Recife.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

2.50

Actual xG

2.18

Saves

46%

Possession

54%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

🟥 Red cards

Match Events

⚽Pablo · ast. Aylon

Boschilia

24'

27'

ast. Vinicius · Derek⚽

28'

Paulo Sergio / Derek ↕

43'

Wanderson

45'+1

ast. Vinicius · Reginaldo⚽

↕ Pedro Vilhena / Gabriel Feliciano

46'

↕ Aylon / H. Pereira

46'

53'

ast. Victor Andrade · Vinicius⚽

↕ Moraes / Matheus Trindade

57'

↕ J. Pool / Felipe Augusto

58'

61'

Junior Todinho / Victor Andrade ↕

63'

ast. Paulo Sergio · Junior Todinho⚽

⚽Boschilia (pen.)

67'

68'

ast. Wenderson · Dodo⚽

↕ Neto Paraiba / Caio Dantas

76'

77'

Matheus Ribeiro / Wenderson ↕

H. Pereira

78'

Leonai Souza / Dodo ↕

78'

Samuel Felix / Luiz Felipe ↕

Klaus

84'

H. Pereira

90'+1

H. Pereira

90'+1

90'+2

ast. Junior Todinho · Paulo Sergio⚽

Pre-match prediction

35.04%

Operario-PR

35.43%

29.53%

Nautico ←

we assigned to the actual result (Nautico Recife) 29.53% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Operario-PR

0.90

2.50

+1.6

Nautico

0.84

2.18

+1.34

Operario-PR dominated by xG (2.50 vs 2.18). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Vila Nova	15	28
2	Novorizontino	15	27
3	Criciuma	15	27
4	São Bernardo	15	25
5	Juventude	15	25
6	Operario-PR	15	25
7	Fortaleza EC	15	25
8	Sport Recife	15	25
9	Athletic Club	15	22
10	Goias	15	21
11	Atletico Goianiense	15	21
12	Nautico Recife	15	20
13	Cuiaba	15	20
14	Ceara	15	17
15	Botafogo SP	14	16
16	CRB	14	16
17	Londrina	15	15
18	Avai	15	13
19	Ponte Preta	15	8
20	America Mineiro	15	6

Lineups

Operario-PR 4-1-4-1

Vagner G 5.30

Moraes 57' D 6.50

Jhan Pool Torres 58' D 6.70

Klaus D 5.60

Mikael Doka D 5.90

Índio M 6.20

Pedro Vilhena 45' M 6.90

Boschilia 1 ⚽ M 7.20

100

Neto Paraíba 76' M 7.20

Aylon 1 👟 45' M 6.90

Pablo 1 ⚽ F 7.30

Bench

André Simplicio D

Caio Dantas 14' F 6.70

Charles M

Eduardo Franzon Mosconi F

Edwin Torres F

Elias Martello G

Favero M

Felipe Augusto 32' F 6.60

Gabriel Feliciano 45' D 6.20

Hildeberto Pereira 46' F 6.30

Kauã Henrique F

Matheus Trindade 33' M 6.20

Nautico Recife 4-2-3-1

Muriel G 7.20

Igor Fernandes D 6.70

Betão D 6.50

Wanderson D 6.70

Reginaldo 1 ⚽ D 6.90

Wenderson 1 👟 77' M 7.20

Luiz Felipe 78' M 6.00

Victor Andrade 1 👟 61' M 6.90

Dodozinho 1 ⚽ 78' M 8.00

Vinícius 1 ⚽ 2 👟 M 8.70

Derek Freitas 1 ⚽ 28' F 7.20

Bench

Arnaldo D

Auremir M

Gastón Guruceaga G

Kevyn F

Leonai 12' M 6.70

Mateus Silva D

Matheus Ribeiro 13' D 6.70

Paulo Sérgio 1 ⚽ 1 👟 62' F 7.30

Samuel 12' M 6.70

Todinho 1 ⚽ 1 👟 29' F 8.30

Vitinho M

Yuri D

Best on the pitch

Vinícius

M · Nautico

8.70

1 ⚽ 2 👟

1 shots · 43 pass

Todinho

F · Nautico

8.30

1 ⚽ 1 👟

1 shots · 13 pass

Dodozinho

M · Nautico

8.00

1 ⚽

3 shots · 22 pass

Paulo Sérgio

F · Nautico

7.30

1 ⚽ 1 👟

3 shots · 16 pass

Pablo

F · Operario-PR

7.30

1 ⚽

4 shots · 22 pass

Derek Freitas

F · Nautico

7.20

1 ⚽

2 shots · 5 pass

Operario-PR — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Vagner	G	90	5.30	—	—	—	24	17%	—	—	—
Moraes	D	57	6.50	—	—	1	15	14%	4	—	—
Jhan Pool Torres	D	58	6.70	—	—	—	21	17%	3	—	—
Klaus	D	90	5.60	—	—	—	40	26%	3	1	—
Mikael Doka	D	90	5.90	—	—	1	39	34%	2	—	—
Índio	M	90	6.20	—	—	1	36	31%	1	—	—
Pedro Vilhena	M	45	6.90	—	—	—	11	10%	4	—	—
Boschilia	M	90	7.20	1	—	3	32	24%	2	1	—
Neto Paraíba	M	76	7.20	—	—	1	25	17%	2	—	—
Aylon	M	45	6.90	—	1	1	10	7%	—	—	—
Pablo	F	90	7.30	1	—	4	22	16%	—	—	—
Caio Dantas	F	14	6.70	—	—	—	2	2%	1	—	—
Felipe Augusto	F	32	6.60	—	—	—	8	8%	1	—	—
Gabriel Feliciano	D	45	6.20	—	—	—	19	15%	1	—	—
Hildeberto Pereira	F	46	6.30	—	—	1	9	6%	—	2	1
Matheus Trindade	M	33	6.20	—	—	—	6	4%	—	—	—

Nautico Recife — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Muriel	G	90	7.20	—	—	—	27	21%	—	—	—
Igor Fernandes	D	90	6.70	—	—	—	31	26%	3	—	—
Betão	D	90	6.50	—	—	1	34	27%	3	—	—
Wanderson	D	90	6.70	—	—	—	38	22%	5	1	—
Reginaldo	D	90	6.90	1	—	1	42	35%	1	—	—
Wenderson	M	77	7.20	—	1	—	32	31%	2	—	—
Luiz Felipe	M	78	6.00	—	—	—	38	25%	—	—	—
Victor Andrade	M	61	6.90	—	1	2	18	14%	1	—	—
Dodozinho	M	78	8.00	1	—	3	22	18%	1	—	—
Vinícius	M	90	8.70	1	2	1	43	35%	—	—	—
Derek Freitas	F	28	7.20	1	—	2	5	4%	—	—	—
Leonai	M	12	6.70	—	—	—	11	10%	1	—	—
Matheus Ribeiro	D	13	6.70	—	—	—	2	1%	1	—	—
Paulo Sérgio	F	62	7.30	1	1	3	16	14%	—	—	—
Samuel	M	12	6.70	—	—	—	6	6%	—	—	—
Todinho	F	29	8.30	1	1	1	13	12%	1	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Operario-PR vs Nautico Recife?

The final score was Operario-PR 2–6 Nautico Recife.

What did the model predict before Operario-PR vs Nautico Recife?

The model assigned 35% probability to a Operario-PR win, 35% to a draw, and 29% to an Nautico Recife win.