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USL Championship · Group Stage August 23, 2026 04:00
1 – 5
Final score
Model wrong — prediction Orange County SC, result FC Tulsa wins
C. Hegardt (ast. T. Espy) 47'
4' A. Ordonez
20' A. Ordonez
55' (ast. Ian) A. Ordonez
69' D. Pierre
72' (ast. G. Colli) L. Dorsey
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Orange County SC a 55% win probability (draw 26%, FC Tulsa 18%). The final result was Orange County SC 1–5 FC Tulsa. In 1 previous meetings, Orange County SC have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for FC Tulsa.

Match statistics
Match Events
4'
A. Ordonez
20'
A. Ordonez
28'
J. Sangwa
33'
J. Kocevski
39'
J. Webber
E. Zubak / C. Hegardt
46'
E. Solis / R. Doghman
46'
C. Hegardt · ast. T. Espy
47'
55'
ast. Ian · A. Ordonez
B. Cambridge / L. MacKinnon
62'
63'
L. Dorsey / R. Cabral
63'
K. Elmedkhar / A. Ordonez
63'
W. Eisner / J. Sangwa
G. Tubbs
68'
69'
D. Pierre
T. Espy / M. Palomino
69'
72'
ast. G. Colli · L. Dorsey
O. Sylla / M. Bunbury
78'
86'
W. Wilson / G. Colli
87'
A. Clarke / D. Pierre
90'+3
W. Wilson
90'+4
A. Cissoko
Pre-match prediction
55.15%
Orange
26.01%
X
18.84%
FC ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (FC Tulsa) 18.84% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Orange
1.43
FC
0.63
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 24 48
2 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 24 40
3 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 25 38
4 Detroit City Detroit City 22 37
5 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 23 34
6 Louisville City Louisville City 24 33
7 Rhode Island Rhode Island 22 32
8 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 22 30
9 Miami FC Miami FC 24 24
10 Loudoun United Loudoun United 23 20
10 Birmingham Birmingham 9 10
11 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 22 19
12 Brooklyn Brooklyn 22 17
13 Sporting JAX Sporting JAX 24 14
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Orange County SC vs FC Tulsa?
The final score was Orange County SC 1–5 FC Tulsa.
What did the model predict before Orange County SC vs FC Tulsa?
The model assigned 55% probability to a Orange County SC win, 26% to a draw, and 18% to an FC Tulsa win.