Orange County SC 2–3 Louisville City — pre-match prediction — USL Championship — August 16, 2026

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USL Championship · Group Stage August 16, 2026 04:00

Orange County SC

#9 · 39 pts

2 – 3

Final score

Louisville City

#4 · 47 pts

O. Sylla 70'

Y. Bazini 81' (pen.)

6' (ast. T. Showunmi) R. Serrano

48' (ast. Q. Huerman) R. Serrano

68' (ast. Q. Huerman) C. Donovan

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Orange County SC a 49% win probability (draw 21%, Louisville City 29%). The final result was Orange County SC 2–3 Louisville City.

Match statistics

Match Events

ast. T. Showunmi · R. Serrano⚽

45'+1

Z. Duncan

46'

T. Davila / Z. Duncan ↕

↕ E. Solis / M. Palomino

46'

48'

ast. Q. Huerman · R. Serrano⚽

64'

C. Donovan / T. Showunmi ↕

64'

S. Totsch / J. Morris ↕

68'

ast. Q. Huerman · C. Donovan⚽

↕ C. Hegardt / E. Zubak

68'

⚽O. Sylla

70'

71'

J. Wilson / R. Serrano ↕

79'

E. Perez / S. Gleadle ↕

⚽Y. Bazini (pen.)

81'

↕ S. Kelly / N. Ciotta

81'

↕ B. Cambridge / M. Bunbury

81'

↕ R. Doghman / J. Castro

90'

Pre-match prediction

49.59%

Orange

21.17%

29.24%

Louisville ←

we assigned to the actual result (Louisville City) 29.24% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Orange

1.99

—

Louisville

1.41

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	New Mexico United	30	52
2	Sacramento Republic	30	51
3	El Paso Locomotive	30	50
4	Lexington	30	48
5	Colorado Springs	30	47
6	San Antonio	30	45
7	FC Tulsa	30	43
8	Phoenix Rising	30	40
9	Orange County SC	30	39
10	Oakland Roots	30	38
11	Las Vegas Lights	30	36
12	Monterey Bay	30	24

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Orange County SC vs Louisville City?

The final score was Orange County SC 2–3 Louisville City.

What did the model predict before Orange County SC vs Louisville City?

The model assigned 49% probability to a Orange County SC win, 21% to a draw, and 29% to an Louisville City win.