USL Championship
· Group Stage
October 04, 2026 04:00
O. Sylla
5'
(pen.)
(pen.)
61'
S. Lletget
65'
(ast. S. Lletget)
Z. Farnsworth
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Orange County SC a 37% win probability (draw 25%, Monterey Bay 36%). The final result was Orange County SC 1–2 Monterey Bay. In 1 previous meetings, Orange County SC have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Monterey Bay.
Match statistics
Match Events
⚽O. Sylla
(pen.)
5'
32'
R. Nakamura
T. Brewitt
45'+1
46'
W. Leggett
/
D. Otoya
J. Lindsey
/ N. Benalcazar
46'
61'
(pen.)
S. Lletget⚽
K. Partida
/ S. Kelly
62'
64'
Judson
/
R. Nakamura
65'
ast. S. Lletget ·
Z. Farnsworth⚽
M. Palomino
/ B. Cambridge
68'
L. MacKinnon
/ Y. Bazini
68'
74'
Q. Elliot
75'
J. Belmar
/
J. Garcia
C. Hegardt
80'
M. War
/ E. Zubak
80'
81'
W. Leggett
89'
A. Villasana
/
S. Ritchie
89'
F. Canete
/
I. Paul
90'+3
N. Ross
Pre-match prediction
37.29%
Orange
25.82%
X
36.89%
Monterey ←
we assigned to the actual result (Monterey Bay)
36.89%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.17
—
—
1.31
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Orange County SC vs Monterey Bay?
The final score was Orange County SC 1–2 Monterey Bay.
What did the model predict before Orange County SC vs Monterey Bay?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Orange County SC win, 25% to a draw, and 36% to an Monterey Bay win.