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USL Championship · Group Stage September 06, 2026 03:00
1 – 1
Final score
C. Hegardt (ast. R. Doghman) 61'
83' (ast. M. Rodriguez) A. Essel
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sacramento Republic a 44% win probability (draw 25%, Orange County SC 30%). The final result was Orange County SC 1–1 Sacramento Republic. In 1 previous meetings, Orange County SC have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Sacramento Republic.

Match statistics
Match Events
19'
T. Wolff
C. Hegardt · ast. R. Doghman
61'
62'
K. Edwards / C. Jennings
62'
A. Midence / B. Willey
66'
M. Malango / T. Wolff
66'
T. Leibold / R. Spaulding
L. MacKinnon / M. Bunbury
69'
71'
D. Crisostomo
O. Sylla
75'
S. Kelly
79'
81'
A. Essel / F. Kleemann
O. Sylla / T. Espy
82'
C. Hegardt / M. Palomino
83'
83'
ast. M. Rodriguez · A. Essel
T. Brewitt
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
30.77%
Orange
25.08%
X ←
44.15%
Sacramento
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 25.08% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Orange
1.10
Sacramento
1.47
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 24 48
2 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 24 40
3 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 25 38
4 Detroit City Detroit City 22 37
5 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 23 34
6 Louisville City Louisville City 24 33
7 Rhode Island Rhode Island 22 32
8 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 22 30
9 Miami FC Miami FC 24 24
10 Loudoun United Loudoun United 23 20
10 Birmingham Birmingham 9 10
11 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 22 19
12 Brooklyn Brooklyn 22 17
13 Sporting JAX Sporting JAX 24 14
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Orange County SC vs Sacramento Republic?
The final score was Orange County SC 1–1 Sacramento Republic.
What did the model predict before Orange County SC vs Sacramento Republic?
The model assigned 30% probability to a Orange County SC win, 25% to a draw, and 44% to an Sacramento Republic win.