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USL Championship · Group Stage September 06, 2026 03:00
#9 · 39 pts
1 – 1
Final score
#2 · 51 pts
C. Hegardt (ast. R. Doghman) 61'
83' (ast. M. Rodriguez) A. Essel
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sacramento Republic a 44% win probability (draw 25%, Orange County SC 30%). The final result was Orange County SC 1–1 Sacramento Republic. In 1 previous meetings, Orange County SC have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Sacramento Republic.

Match statistics
Match Events
19'
T. Wolff
⚽C. Hegardt · ast. R. Doghman
61'
62'
K. Edwards / C. Jennings ↕
62'
A. Midence / B. Willey ↕
66'
M. Malango / T. Wolff ↕
66'
T. Leibold / R. Spaulding ↕
↕ L. MacKinnon / M. Bunbury
69'
71'
D. Crisostomo
O. Sylla
75'
S. Kelly
79'
81'
A. Essel / F. Kleemann ↕
↕ O. Sylla / T. Espy
82'
↕ C. Hegardt / M. Palomino
83'
83'
ast. M. Rodriguez · A. Essel⚽
T. Brewitt
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
30.77%
Orange
25.08%
X ←
44.15%
Sacramento
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 25.08% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Orange
1.10
—
—
Sacramento
1.47
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 New Mexico United New Mexico United 30 52
2 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic 30 51
3 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 30 50
4 Lexington Lexington 30 48
5 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 30 47
6 San Antonio San Antonio 30 45
7 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa 30 43
8 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising 30 40
9 Orange County SC Orange County SC 30 39
10 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots 30 38
11 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 30 36
12 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay 30 24
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Orange County SC vs Sacramento Republic?
The final score was Orange County SC 1–1 Sacramento Republic.
What did the model predict before Orange County SC vs Sacramento Republic?
The model assigned 30% probability to a Orange County SC win, 25% to a draw, and 44% to an Sacramento Republic win.