USL Championship
· Group Stage
August 09, 2026 04:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Orange County SC, result Tampa Bay Rowdies wins
(pen.)
24'
M. Myers
58'
(ast. M. Myers)
M. Micaletto
89'
(ast. E. Conway)
K. Henderlong
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Orange County SC a 61% win probability (draw 16%, Tampa Bay Rowdies 22%). The final result was Orange County SC 0–3 Tampa Bay Rowdies.
Match statistics
Match Events
16'
L. Hilton
24'
(pen.)
M. Myers⚽
R. Doghman
37'
46'
L. Wyke
/
L. Hilton
53'
L. Wyke
58'
ast. M. Myers ·
M. Micaletto⚽
61'
Pedro Becker
/
L. Perez
A. Marinch
/ E. Zubak
61'
R. Doghman
/ M. Palomino
70'
C. Hegardt
/ B. Cambridge
71'
71'
E. Conway
/
M. Micaletto
71'
C. Antley
/
D. Acoff
E. Zubak
83'
85'
K. Henderlong
/
R. Cicerone
O. Sylla
/ J. Castro
89'
89'
ast. E. Conway ·
K. Henderlong⚽
E. Solis
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
61.11%
Orange
16.68%
X
22.21%
Tampa ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Tampa Bay Rowdies)
22.21%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.89
—
—
1.54
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Orange County SC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
The final score was Orange County SC 0–3 Tampa Bay Rowdies.
What did the model predict before Orange County SC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
The model assigned 61% probability to a Orange County SC win, 16% to a draw, and 22% to an Tampa Bay Rowdies win.