21'
(ast. F. Pizzini)
J. Ruiz
90'+6
(ast. L. Fragozo)
S. Quintero
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Orense SC a 30% win probability (draw 42%, Emelec 26%). The final result was Orense SC 0–2 Emelec. In 1 previous meetings, Orense SC have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Emelec.
Match statistics
1
Shots on target
5
0.35
Actual xG
1.79
59%
Possession
41%
5
Corners
1
Match Events
21'
ast. F. Pizzini ·
J. Ruiz⚽
23'
I. Guerrico
S. Mina
25'
G. Rostagno
32'
P. Velasco
36'
P. Velasco
36'
P. Velasco
36'
G. Rostagno
/ B. Quinonez
46'
M. Parrales
/ M. Bermudez
55'
59'
I. Guerrico
59'
I. Guerrico
62'
A. Mina
/
F. Pizzini
A. Mena
/ D. Quintero
72'
E. S. Zambrano Pesantez
/ L. Garces
72'
76'
J. Cevallos
/
G. Napoli
76'
S. Valencia
/
A. Mina
A. Herrera
79'
S. Vasquez
82'
B. Caicedo
/ B. Vinan
85'
86'
S. Quintero
/
L. Klimowicz
86'
L. Fragozo
/
J. Ruiz
90'+6
ast. L. Fragozo ·
S. Quintero⚽
J. Ortiz
90'
Pre-match prediction
30.53%
Orense
42.5%
X
26.97%
Emelec ←
we assigned to the actual result (Emelec)
26.97%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.53
0.35
-0.18
0.54
1.79
+1.25
Emelec dominated by xG (1.79 vs 0.35).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Orense SC vs Emelec?
The final score was Orense SC 0–2 Emelec.
What did the model predict before Orense SC vs Emelec?
The model assigned 30% probability to a Orense SC win, 42% to a draw, and 26% to an Emelec win.