Orense SC 2–3 Independiente del Valle — pre-match prediction — LigaPro — July 26, 2026

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LigaPro · Regular Season - 22 July 26, 2026 22:45 Estadio 9 de Mayo, Machala

Orense SC

#13 · 33 pts

2 – 3

Final score

Independiente del Valle

#1 · 71 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Independiente del Valle

M. Parrales (ast. M. Bermudez) 53'

S. Vasquez (ast. E. Pluas) 64'

27' (ast. J. Viacava) D. Guagua

61' H. Quintana

63' (ast. J. Angulo) M. Perello

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Independiente del Valle a 70% win probability (draw 15%, Orense SC 14%). The final result was Orense SC 2–3 Independiente del Valle. In 1 previous meetings, Orense SC have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Independiente del Valle.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

Saves

57%

Possession

43%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

27'

ast. J. Viacava · D. Guagua⚽

43'

R. Briones

R. Jaramilo

43'

45'+1

D. Guagua

46'

A. Rodriguez / E. Pata ↕

↕ R. Jaramilo / E. Pluas

46'

M. Carabajal / R. Schunke ↕

⚽M. Parrales · ast. M. Bermudez

53'

↕ M. Parrales / A. Mena

54'

57'

H. Quintana / R. Briones ↕

57'

J. Sornoza / D. Guagua ↕

61'

H. Quintana⚽

63'

ast. J. Angulo · M. Perello⚽

⚽S. Vasquez · ast. E. Pluas

64'

P. Velasco

74'

M. Parrales

74'

↕ M. Bermudez / E. S. Zambrano Pesantez

76'

79'

E. Quintero / M. Perello ↕

81'

J. Viacava

↕ G. Rostagno / C. Ortiz

83'

A. Herrera

90'+2

Pre-match prediction

14.15%

Orense

15.09%

70.76%

Independiente ←

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Independiente del Valle) 70.76% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Orense

0.53

—

Independiente

2.38

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	29	71
2	Aucas	30	50
3	Universidad Catolica	29	48
4	Macara	29	48
5	LDU de Quito	30	46
6	Barcelona SC	29	43
7	Libertad	29	41
8	Leones del Norte	29	39
9	Guayaquil City FC	30	39
10	Mushuc Runa SC	30	38
11	Emelec	29	36
12	Deportivo Cuenca	30	36
13	Orense SC	29	33
14	Tecnico Universitario	29	29
15	Delfin SC	29	27
16	Manta FC	30	21

Lineups

Orense SC 4-3-3

J. Ortiz G 6.70

B. Caicedo D 6.00

M. Quiñonez D 6.50

A. Lorenzo D 6.20

P. Velasco D 6.20

R. Jaramillo 45' M 6.70

G. Rostagno 83' M 6.70

S. Vasquez 1 ⚽ M 7.00

Michael Alessandro Bermúdez Reyes 76' F 7.50

M. Parrales 1 ⚽ 54' F 7.30

A. Herrera F 6.70

Bench

Á. Mena 40' F 6.70

B. Quiñonez D

C. OrtÃz 11' M 6.30

David Quintero F

E. Hernandez M

E. Pluas 1 👟 49' M 6.90

Erick Zambrano 18' M 6.90

G. Achilier D

L. Garces F

R. Silva G

S. Callegari D

S. Mairongo M

Independiente del Valle 4-1-4-1

A. Quintana G 6.20

G. Cortéz D 6.50

J. Viacava 1 👟 D 6.20

R. Schunke 45' D 6.90

J. Espinoza D 7.00

J. Méndez M 7.20

Emerson Ivan Pata Rodríguez 45' M 6.20

R. Briones 57' M 6.70

Darwin Guagua 57' M 7.30

M. Perelló 1 ⚽ 79' M 7.20

J. Angulo 1 👟 F 7.50

Bench

Andy René Velasco García D

A. Rodríguez 49' F 6.60

Daykol Alejandro Romero Padilla D

D. Reasco F

Eduardo David Bores Díaz G

E. Quintero 15' M 6.20

H. Quintana 1 ⚽ 37' M 8.50

J. Alcívar M

J. Sornoza 37' M 6.30

L. Loor D

M. Carabajal 49' D 6.50

Y. Vásquez F

Best on the pitch

H. Quintana

M · Independiente

8.50

1 ⚽

1 shots · 13 pass

J. Angulo

F · Independiente

7.50

1 👟

1 shots · 13 pass

Michael Alessandro Bermúdez Reyes

F · Orense

7.50

3 shots · 14 pass

Darwin Guagua

M · Independiente

7.30

1 shots · 17 pass

M. Parrales

F · Orense

7.30

1 ⚽

1 shots · 13 pass

M. Perelló

M · Independiente

7.20

1 ⚽

1 shots · 16 pass

Orense SC — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
J. Ortiz	G	94	6.70	—	—	—	18	13%	1	—	—
B. Caicedo	D	94	6.00	—	—	1	34	26%	1	—	—
M. Quiñonez	D	94	6.50	—	—	1	44	35%	—	—	—
A. Lorenzo	D	94	6.20	—	—	—	34	25%	2	—	—
P. Velasco	D	94	6.20	—	—	—	42	33%	—	1	—
R. Jaramillo	M	45	6.70	—	—	1	28	24%	1	1	—
G. Rostagno	M	83	6.70	—	—	—	36	30%	1	—	—
S. Vasquez	M	94	7.00	1	—	4	39	33%	—	—	—
Michael Alessandro Bermúdez Reyes	F	76	7.50	—	—	3	14	12%	—	—	—
M. Parrales	F	54	7.30	1	—	1	13	13%	1	1	—
A. Herrera	F	94	6.70	—	—	3	20	14%	1	1	—
Á. Mena	F	40	6.70	—	—	—	30	29%	—	—	—
C. OrtÃz	M	11	6.30	—	—	—	9	8%	—	—	—
E. Pluas	M	49	6.90	—	1	—	36	31%	1	—	—
Erick Zambrano	M	18	6.90	—	—	—	7	4%	2	—	—

Independiente del Valle — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
A. Quintana	G	94	6.20	—	—	—	29	18%	—	—	—
G. Cortéz	D	94	6.50	—	—	—	24	19%	—	—	—
J. Viacava	D	94	6.20	—	1	—	36	24%	1	1	—
R. Schunke	D	45	6.90	—	—	1	29	21%	—	—	—
J. Espinoza	D	94	7.00	—	—	—	26	20%	—	—	—
J. Méndez	M	94	7.20	—	—	—	48	41%	3	—	—
Emerson Ivan Pata Rodríguez	M	45	6.20	—	—	3	10	8%	—	—	—
R. Briones	M	57	6.70	—	—	—	13	12%	2	1	—
Darwin Guagua	M	57	7.30	—	—	1	17	9%	2	1	—
M. Perelló	M	79	7.20	1	—	1	16	8%	1	—	—
J. Angulo	F	94	7.50	—	1	1	13	12%	—	—	—
A. Rodríguez	F	49	6.60	—	—	—	9	6%	2	—	—
E. Quintero	M	15	6.20	—	—	—	1	—	1	—	—
H. Quintana	M	37	8.50	1	—	1	13	10%	—	—	—
J. Sornoza	M	37	6.30	—	—	—	9	8%	—	—	—
M. Carabajal	D	49	6.50	—	—	—	8	6%	1	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Orense SC vs Independiente del Valle?

The final score was Orense SC 2–3 Independiente del Valle.

What did the model predict before Orense SC vs Independiente del Valle?

The model assigned 14% probability to a Orense SC win, 15% to a draw, and 70% to an Independiente del Valle win.