Orlando City SC 4–1 Charlotte — pre-match prediction — MLS — April 23, 2026

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MLS · Regular Season - 9 April 23, 2026 01:30 City Football Station, Tochigi

Orlando City SC

#7 · 34 pts

4 – 1

Final score

Charlotte

#4 · 43 pts

Luis Otavio (ast. Z. Taifi) 21'

M. Ojeda (ast. J. Ellis) 49'

M. Ojeda 61'

I. Gomez (ast. I. Angulo) 87'

33' (ast. P. Biel) M. Agyemang

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Charlotte a 41% win probability (draw 26%, Orlando City SC 31%). The final result was Orlando City SC 4–1 Charlotte.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

0.90

Actual xG

1.57

Saves

43%

Possession

57%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

⚽Luis Otavio · ast. Z. Taifi

21'

I. Angulo

24'

33'

ast. P. Biel · M. Agyemang⚽

41'

A. Westwood

Luis Otavio

41'

M. Ojeda

45'+2

⚽M. Ojeda · ast. J. Ellis

49'

59'

H. Toffolo

⚽M. Ojeda

61'

Tiago

65'

73'

K. A. Calderon Vargas / R. Aloko ↕

73'

A. Goodwin / I. Toklomati ↕

73'

B. Bronico / L. de la Torre ↕

↕ Tiago / T. Reid-Brown

74'

↕ Z. Taifi / I. Gomez

78'

I. Gomez

79'

80'

D. Schnegg / H. Toffolo ↕

80'

D. Diani / A. Westwood ↕

⚽I. Gomez · ast. I. Angulo

87'

↕ Luis Otavio / C. Guske

90'+3

↕ J. Ellis / B. Rhein

90'+3

↕ I. Angulo / H. Sarajian

90'+3

Pre-match prediction

31.78%

Orlando ←

26.55%

41.67%

Charlotte

we assigned to the actual result (Orlando City SC) 31.78% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Orlando

1.49

0.90

-0.59

Charlotte

2.10

1.57

-0.53

Charlotte dominated by xG (1.57 vs 0.90). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	60
2	New England Revolution	27	46
3	Inter Miami	27	46
4	Charlotte	27	43
5	Chicago Fire	26	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	34
8	New York Red Bulls	27	33
9	New York City FC	27	33
10	FC Cincinnati	26	33
11	DC United	26	30
12	Columbus Crew	27	29
13	Toronto FC	27	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	27
15	CF Montreal	27	24

Lineups

Orlando City SC 5-3-2

M. Crépeau G 7.60

I. Angulo 1 👟 89' D 6.90

D 7.50

R. Jansson D 7.20

Iago D 6.70

Z. Taifi 1 👟 78' D 7.30

Tiago 74' M 6.60

Luis Otávio 1 ⚽ 89' M 8.30

Braian Ojeda M 6.90

M. Ojeda 2 ⚽ F 9.20

Justin Ellis 1 👟 89' F 6.90

Bench

Colin Guske 1' M

Ignacio Gómez 1 ⚽ 12' M 7.60

N. Miller D

Tahir Reid-Brown 16' D 6.70

Y. Tsukada F

Charlotte 4-2-3-1

K. Kahlina G 5.70

H. Toffolo 80' D 6.20

A. Privett D 6.20

M. Agyemang 1 ⚽ D 7.30

N. Byrne D 6.20

L. de la Torre 73' M 6.50

A. Westwood 80' M 7.50

W. Zaha M 6.60

Pep Biel 1 👟 M 6.20

R. Aloko 73' M 5.90

I. Toklomati Giorno 73' F 6.30

Bench

A. Goodwin 17' F 5.90

B. Bronico 17' M 6.70

D. Diani 10' M 6.50

D. Schnegg 10' D 7.30

J. Neeley D

K. Vargas 17' F 6.60

L. Abada F

Tyger Smalls F

Best on the pitch

M. Ojeda

F · Orlando

9.20

2 ⚽

4 shots · 46 pass

Luis Otávio

M · Orlando

8.30

1 ⚽

1 shots · 41 pass

M. Crépeau

G · Orlando

7.60

· 18 pass

Ignacio Gómez

M · Orlando

7.60

1 ⚽

1 shots · 3 pass

D · Orlando

7.50

· 65 pass

A. Westwood

M · Charlotte

7.50

1 shots · 63 pass

Orlando City SC — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
M. Crépeau	G	90	7.60	—	—	—	18	13%	—	—	—
I. Angulo	D	89	6.90	—	1	1	36	33%	2	1	—
	D	90	7.50	—	—	—	65	57%	4	—	—
R. Jansson	D	90	7.20	—	—	—	51	46%	1	—	—
Iago	D	90	6.70	—	—	—	36	30%	—	—	—
Z. Taifi	D	78	7.30	—	1	1	24	23%	2	—	—
Tiago	M	74	6.60	—	—	1	27	21%	—	1	—
Luis Otávio	M	89	8.30	1	—	1	41	35%	3	1	—
Braian Ojeda	M	90	6.90	—	—	—	46	42%	3	—	—
M. Ojeda	F	90	9.20	2	—	4	46	42%	—	1	—
Justin Ellis	F	89	6.90	—	1	1	29	24%	1	—	—
Colin Guske	M	1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Ignacio Gómez	M	12	7.60	1	—	1	3	3%	1	1	—
Tahir Reid-Brown	D	16	6.70	—	—	—	6	4%	—	—	—

Charlotte — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
K. Kahlina	G	90	5.70	—	—	—	27	25%	—	—	—
H. Toffolo	D	80	6.20	—	—	—	57	55%	1	1	—
A. Privett	D	90	6.20	—	—	—	75	71%	1	—	—
M. Agyemang	D	90	7.30	1	—	2	65	59%	1	—	—
N. Byrne	D	90	6.20	—	—	—	51	46%	1	—	—
L. de la Torre	M	73	6.50	—	—	—	50	47%	—	—	—
A. Westwood	M	80	7.50	—	—	1	63	55%	—	1	—
W. Zaha	M	90	6.60	—	—	—	58	53%	2	—	—
Pep Biel	M	90	6.20	—	1	1	41	38%	1	—	—
R. Aloko	M	73	5.90	—	—	4	11	6%	—	—	—
I. Toklomati Giorno	F	73	6.30	—	—	—	14	12%	—	—	—
A. Goodwin	F	17	5.90	—	—	1	2	2%	—	—	—
B. Bronico	M	17	6.70	—	—	—	14	13%	—	—	—
D. Diani	M	10	6.50	—	—	—	11	11%	—	—	—
D. Schnegg	D	10	7.30	—	—	—	10	9%	—	—	—
K. Vargas	F	17	6.60	—	—	1	10	10%	1	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Orlando City SC vs Charlotte?

The final score was Orlando City SC 4–1 Charlotte.

What did the model predict before Orlando City SC vs Charlotte?

The model assigned 31% probability to a Orlando City SC win, 26% to a draw, and 41% to an Charlotte win.