D. Brekalo
(ast. A. Griezmann)
52'
4'
(ast. D. Poreba)
P. Dithejane
(pen.)
69'
R. Lewandowski
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Orlando City SC a 44% win probability (draw 22%, Chicago Fire 33%). The final result was Orlando City SC 1–2 Chicago Fire.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
4
4
Shots on target
3
1.62
Actual xG
1.30
1
Saves
3
57%
Possession
43%
3
Corners
2
12
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
4'
ast. D. Poreba ·
P. Dithejane⚽
W. Cartagena
/ Z. Taifi
43'
T. Spicer
/ M. Pasalic
43'
A. Gomez
/ Tiago
43'
⚽D. Brekalo
· ast. A. Griezmann
52'
Luis Otavio
57'
61'
R. Lod
/
D. Poreba
61'
V. Radojevic
/
A. Gutman
61'
M. Haile-Selassie
/
J. Bamba
J. Ellis
/ D. Dike
64'
R. Jansson
67'
69'
(pen.)
R. Lewandowski⚽
G. Dorsey
/ E. Atuesta
78'
80'
V. Radojevic
83'
S. Rogers
/
R. Lewandowski
89'
S. Rogers
Pre-match prediction
44.59%
Orlando
22.02%
X
33.39%
Chicago ←
we assigned to the actual result (Chicago Fire)
33.39%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.84
1.62
-0.22
1.44
1.30
-0.14
Orlando City SC dominated by xG (1.62 vs 1.30).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
71
Maxime Crépeau
86'
G
Maxime Crépeau
86'
G
3
Adrián Marín
43'
D
Adrián Marín
43'
D
6
Robin Jansson
86'
D
Robin Jansson
86'
D
4
David Brekalo
1 ⚽
86'
D
David Brekalo
1 ⚽
86'
D
24
G. Dorsey
78'
D
G. Dorsey
78'
D
5
Luis Otávio
86'
M
Luis Otávio
86'
M
16
W. Cartagena
43'
M
W. Cartagena
43'
M
14
T. Spicer
43'
M
T. Spicer
43'
M
7
A. Griezmann
1 👟
86'
M
A. Griezmann
1 👟
86'
M
77
Iván Angulo
86'
M
Iván Angulo
86'
M
22
Justin Ellis
64'
F
Justin Ellis
64'
F
Bench
9
Daryl Dike
22'
F
Daryl Dike
22'
F
20
Eduard Atuesta
8'
M
Eduard Atuesta
8'
M
23
Harvey Sarajian
F
Harvey Sarajian
F
57
Iago
D
Iago
D
12
Javier Otero
G
Javier Otero
G
35
Joran Gerbet
M
Joran Gerbet
M
87
Marco Pašalić
43'
F
Marco Pašalić
43'
F
11
Tiago Souza
43'
F
Tiago Souza
43'
F
19
Zakaria Taifi
43'
M
Zakaria Taifi
43'
M
1
Chris Brady
86'
G
Chris Brady
86'
G
15
Andrew Gutman
61'
D
Andrew Gutman
61'
D
3
Jack Elliott
86'
D
Jack Elliott
86'
D
16
Joel Waterman
86'
D
Joel Waterman
86'
D
24
Jonathan Dean
86'
D
Jonathan Dean
86'
D
6
A. Salétros
86'
M
A. Salétros
86'
M
42
Dje Tah D'Avilla
86'
M
Dje Tah D'Avilla
86'
M
29
David Poreba
1 👟
61'
M
David Poreba
1 👟
61'
M
19
Jonathan Bamba
61'
F
Jonathan Bamba
61'
F
9
R. Lewandowski
1 ⚽
83'
F
R. Lewandowski
1 ⚽
83'
F
12
P. Dithejane
1 ⚽
86'
F
P. Dithejane
1 ⚽
86'
F
Bench
20
Jason Shokalook
F
Jason Shokalook
F
44
Josh Cohen
G
Josh Cohen
G
2
Leonardo Barroso
D
Leonardo Barroso
D
7
Maren Haile-Selassie
25'
M
Maren Haile-Selassie
25'
M
22
Mauricio Pineda
D
Mauricio Pineda
D
17
Robin Lod
25'
M
Robin Lod
25'
M
5
Samuel Rogers
3'
D
Samuel Rogers
3'
D
47
Samuel Williams
M
Samuel Williams
M
14
Viktor Radojević
25'
D
Viktor Radojević
25'
D
Best on the pitch
Chris Brady
G · Chicago
8.30
· 32 pass
R. Lewandowski
F · Chicago
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 27 pass
A. Griezmann
M · Orlando
8.00
1 👟
2 shots
· 41 pass
Jack Elliott
D · Chicago
7.60
· 66 pass
David Brekalo
D · Orlando
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 51 pass
Joel Waterman
D · Chicago
7.50
· 58 pass
Orlando City SC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxime Crépeau | G | 86 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Adrián Marín | D | 43 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 40 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Robin Jansson | D | 86 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 64 | 58% | — | 1 | — |
| David Brekalo | D | 86 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 51 | 46% | — | — | — |
| G. Dorsey | D | 78 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| Luis Otávio | M | 86 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 75 | 70% | — | 1 | — |
| W. Cartagena | M | 43 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 30 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Spicer | M | 43 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| A. Griezmann | M | 86 | 8.00 | — | 1 | 2 | 41 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| Iván Angulo | M | 86 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 42% | 3 | — | — |
| Justin Ellis | F | 64 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Daryl Dike | F | 22 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Eduard Atuesta | M | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Marco Pašalić | F | 43 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Tiago Souza | F | 43 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Zakaria Taifi | M | 43 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
Chicago Fire — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Brady | G | 86 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Andrew Gutman | D | 61 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 32 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Jack Elliott | D | 86 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 66 | 60% | 2 | — | — |
| Joel Waterman | D | 86 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 58 | 55% | 2 | — | — |
| Jonathan Dean | D | 86 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 34 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Salétros | M | 86 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 33 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Dje Tah D'Avilla | M | 86 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| David Poreba | M | 61 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 16 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Jonathan Bamba | F | 61 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Lewandowski | F | 83 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 27 | 21% | — | — | — |
| P. Dithejane | F | 86 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 16 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Maren Haile-Selassie | M | 25 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Robin Lod | M | 25 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Samuel Rogers | D | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Viktor Radojević | D | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Orlando City SC vs Chicago Fire?
The final score was Orlando City SC 1–2 Chicago Fire.
What did the model predict before Orlando City SC vs Chicago Fire?
The model assigned 44% probability to a Orlando City SC win, 22% to a draw, and 33% to an Chicago Fire win.