Columbus Crew - Orlando City SC
US Open Cup
September 17, 2026 01:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
34.92%
Win
Columbus Crew
24.77%
Draw
40.31%
Win
Orlando City SC
1.56
1.8
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(9.91%)
1X2 Result
1
35%
X
25%
2
40%
Double Chance
1X
60%
X2
65%
12
75%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
88%
Over 2.5
75%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Orlando City SC a 40% win probability, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Columbus Crew. Expected goals are 1.6 for Columbus Crew and 1.8 for Orlando City SC (total 3.4), with a 87% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.91% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Columbus Crew have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Orlando City SC.
Season Stats
3W
0D
0L
3W
0D
0L
Averages per game
2.7
Goals
3.0
0.3
Conceded
1.3
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
67%
67%
O 2.5
67%
33%
BTTS
67%
67%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ
Based on the last 3 matches in US Open Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
2W
0D
0L
· at home
2W
0D
0L
· away
2.5
gls/g
2.5
0.5
Conceded
1.5
100%
Win %
100%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
50%
O 1.5
50%
50%
O 2.5
50%
50%
O 3.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%
50%
Clean Sht
50%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Columbus Crew
Orlando City SC →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 5.4% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| 2 | 4.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| 3 | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Columbus Crew
Attack
33
Defence
52
Form
43
Orlando City SC
Attack
47
Defence
56
Form
57
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
1
Draw
0
13 Apr 2026
1–1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Columbus Crew vs Orlando City SC?
The model gives Columbus Crew a 34% win probability, 24% for a draw, and 40% for an Orlando City SC win.
How many goals are expected in Columbus Crew vs Orlando City SC?
Expected goals: Columbus Crew 1.6, Orlando City SC 1.8 (total 3.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 87%.
What is the most likely score in Columbus Crew vs Orlando City SC?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.91%.