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Columbus Crew - Orlando City SC

US Open Cup September 17, 2026 01:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
34.92%
Win
Columbus Crew
24.77%
Draw
40.31%
Win
Orlando City SC
1.56
Expected xG
1.8

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (9.91%)
1X2 Result
1 35%
X 25%
2 40%
Double Chance
1X 60%
X2 65%
12 75%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 88%
Over 2.5 75%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Orlando City SC a 40% win probability, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Columbus Crew. Expected goals are 1.6 for Columbus Crew and 1.8 for Orlando City SC (total 3.4), with a 87% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.91% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Columbus Crew have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Orlando City SC.

Season Stats

Columbus Crew
3W 0D 0L
Orlando City SC
3W 0D 0L
Averages per game
2.7
Goals
3.0
0.3
Conceded
1.3
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
67%
67%
O 2.5
67%
33%
BTTS
67%
67%
Clean Sht
33%
Based on the last 3 matches in US Open Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
Columbus Crew
2W 0D 0L · at home
Orlando City SC
2W 0D 0L · away
2.5
gls/g
2.5
0.5
Conceded
1.5
100%
Win %
100%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
50%
O 1.5
50%
50%
O 2.5
50%
50%
O 3.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%
50%
Clean Sht
50%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Columbus Crew Orlando City SC →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.5% 6.2% 5.6% 3.4% 1.5% 0.6%
1 5.4% 9.7% 8.8% 5.3% 2.4% 0.9%
2 4.2% 7.6% 6.9% 4.1% 1.9% 0.7%
3 2.2% 4.0% 3.6% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3%
4 0.9% 1.5% 1.4% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1%

Recent form

W New York City FC 1–0
W One Knoxville 4–1
W Richmond Kickers 0–3
Home clean sheet (120 days) 27%
W Atlanta United FC 4–1
W New England Revolution 3–4
W Naples 0–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 22%

Playing profile

Columbus Crew Columbus Crew
Attack
33
Defence
52
Form
43
Orlando City SC Orlando City SC
Attack
47
Defence
56
Form
57
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Columbus Crew
1
Draw
0
Orlando City SC
13 Apr 2026 MLS 1–1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Columbus Crew vs Orlando City SC?
The model gives Columbus Crew a 34% win probability, 24% for a draw, and 40% for an Orlando City SC win.
How many goals are expected in Columbus Crew vs Orlando City SC?
Expected goals: Columbus Crew 1.6, Orlando City SC 1.8 (total 3.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 87%.
What is the most likely score in Columbus Crew vs Orlando City SC?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.91%.