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MLS · Regular Season - 30 October 18, 2026 01:30 Exploria Stadium, Orlando
Orlando City SC
#7 · 41 pts
4 – 1
Final score
DC United
#13 · 33 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Orlando City SC
Antoine Griezmann (ast. Martin Ojeda) 15'
Martin Ojeda (ast. Antoine Griezmann) 22'
Antoine Griezmann 50'
Marco Pašalić (ast. Justin Ellis) 90'+5
(pen.) 45'+2 Tai Baribo
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Orlando City SC a 70% win probability (draw 13%, DC United 15%). The final result was Orlando City SC 4–1 DC United. In 1 previous meetings, Orlando City SC have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for DC United.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
15
7
Shots on target
4
2.62
Actual xG
2.60
3
Saves
3
59%
Possession
41%
1
Corners
8
19
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽Antoine Griezmann · ast. Martin Ojeda
15'
⚽Martin Ojeda · ast. Antoine Griezmann
22'
Luis Otávio Costa de Aquino
38'
45'+2
(pen.) Tai Baribo⚽
45'
Jackson Hopkins / Jared Stroud ↕
↕ Wilder Cartagena / Joran Gerbet
45'
⚽Antoine Griezmann
50'
65'
Oscar Avilez / Brandon Servania ↕
↕ Eduard Atuesta / Adrián Marín
70'
↕ Luis Otávio Costa de Aquino / Braian Ojeda
70'
↕ Daryl Dike / Justin Ellis
70'
77'
Kimito Nono
78'
Matti Peltola / Silvan Hefti ↕
78'
Nathan Ordaz / João Gabriel Martins Peglow ↕
82'
Jackson Hopkins
↕ Martin Ojeda / Marco Pašalić
86'
89'
Tai Baribo
⚽Marco Pašalić · ast. Justin Ellis
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
70.84%
Orlando ←
13.52%
X
15.65%
DC
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Orlando City SC) 70.84% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Orlando
3.65
2.62
-1.03
DC
1.67
2.60
+0.93
xG dominance was balanced (2.62 – 2.60). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 30 67
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 30 55
3 New England Revolution New England Revolution 30 52
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 30 48
5 Charlotte Charlotte 30 47
6 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 30 46
7 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 30 41
8 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 30 39
9 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 30 36
10 Toronto FC Toronto FC 30 36
11 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 30 35
12 New York City FC New York City FC 30 34
13 DC United DC United 30 33
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 30 30
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 30 25
Lineups
Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 4-2-3-1
71 M. Crépeau M. Crépeau G 6.83
77 I. Angulo I. Angulo D 6.70
57 Iago Iago D 7.05
4 D. Brekalo D. Brekalo D 6.84
19 Z. Taifi Z. Taifi D 6.64
16 W. Cartagena W. Cartagena 45' M 6.68
5 Luis Otávio Luis Otávio 70' M 6.33
10 M. Ojeda M. Ojeda 1 ⚽ 1 👟 86' M 9.00
7 A. Griezmann A. Griezmann 2 ⚽ 1 👟 M 9.60
20 E. Atuesta E. Atuesta 70' M 7.09
9 D. Dike D. Dike 70' F 6.30
Bench
3 Adrián Marín Adrián Marín 20' D 6.44
8 B. Ojeda B. Ojeda 20' M 6.22
23 Harvey Sarajian Harvey Sarajian F 0.00
12 Javier Otero Javier Otero G 0.00
35 Joran Gerbet Joran Gerbet 45' M 6.87
22 Justin Ellis Justin Ellis 1 👟 20' F 7.10
87 Marco Pasalic Marco Pasalic 1 ⚽ 4' F 7.39
21 N. Miller N. Miller D 0.00
11 Tiago Tiago F 0.00
DC United DC United 4-4-2
1 S. Johnson S. Johnson G 5.99
6 K. Kurokawa K. Kurokawa D 6.63
15 K. Rowles K. Rowles D 5.61
13 S. Nealis S. Nealis D 6.34
5 S. Hefti S. Hefti 78' D 6.50
7 Peglow Peglow 78' M 6.04
21 A. Dozzell A. Dozzell M 6.38
2 K. Nono K. Nono M 5.51
8 J. Stroud J. Stroud 45' M 5.82
23 B. Servania B. Servania 65' F 6.49
9 T. Baribo T. Baribo 1 ⚽ F 5.62
Bench
26 A. Bono A. Bono G 0.00
12 C. Antley C. Antley D 0.00
48 Gavin Turner Gavin Turner M 0.00
25 J. Hopkins J. Hopkins 45' M 5.65
40 K. Castillo K. Castillo M 0.00
4 M. Peltola M. Peltola 12' D 5.76
27 Nikola Markovic Nikola Markovic D 0.00
22 N. Ordaz N. Ordaz 12' F 6.43
32 O. Avilez O. Avilez 25' F 6.20
Best on the pitch
A. Griezmann
A. Griezmann
M · Orlando
9.60
2 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 54 pass
M. Ojeda
M. Ojeda
M · Orlando
9.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 35 pass
Marco Pasalic
Marco Pasalic
F · Orlando
7.39
1 ⚽
1 shots
Justin Ellis
Justin Ellis
F · Orlando
7.10
1 👟
· 11 pass
E. Atuesta
E. Atuesta
M · Orlando
7.09
· 48 pass
Iago
Iago
D · Orlando
7.05
1 shots · 82 pass
Orlando City SC Orlando City SC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Crépeau G 90 6.83 — — 0 26 20% 0 — —
I. Angulo D 90 6.70 — — 4 51 45% 2 — —
Iago D 90 7.05 — — 1 82 77% 1 — —
D. Brekalo D 90 6.84 — — 0 87 78% 2 — —
Z. Taifi D 90 6.64 — — 0 41 32% 2 — —
W. Cartagena M 45 6.68 — — 0 48 44% 0 — —
Luis Otávio M 70 6.33 — — 0 43 39% 1 1 —
M. Ojeda M 86 9.00 1 1 2 35 30% 0 — —
A. Griezmann M 90 9.60 2 1 3 54 45% 2 — —
E. Atuesta M 70 7.09 — — 0 48 42% 1 — —
D. Dike F 70 6.30 — — 2 19 10% 2 — —
Adrián Marín D 20 6.44 — — 0 12 11% 2 — —
B. Ojeda M 20 6.22 — — 0 14 13% 1 — —
Joran Gerbet M 45 6.87 — — 0 40 39% 2 — —
Justin Ellis F 20 7.10 — 1 0 11 9% 1 — —
Marco Pasalic F 4 7.39 1 — 1 0 0% 0 — —
DC United DC United — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Johnson G 90 5.99 — — 0 13 7% 0 — —
K. Kurokawa D 90 6.63 — — 0 38 36% 1 — —
K. Rowles D 90 5.61 — — 3 55 45% 0 — —
S. Nealis D 90 6.34 — — 1 41 35% 1 — —
S. Hefti D 78 6.50 — — 1 16 10% 2 — —
Peglow M 78 6.04 — — 1 41 32% 2 — —
A. Dozzell M 90 6.38 — — 0 57 50% 0 — —
K. Nono M 90 5.51 — — 1 51 43% 2 1 —
J. Stroud M 45 5.82 — — 0 8 3% 1 — —
B. Servania F 65 6.49 — — 0 16 11% 2 — —
T. Baribo F 90 5.62 1 — 7 13 13% 0 1 —
J. Hopkins M 45 5.65 — — 1 9 9% 0 1 —
M. Peltola D 12 5.76 — — 0 15 10% 0 — —
N. Ordaz F 12 6.43 — — 0 6 6% 0 — —
O. Avilez F 25 6.20 — — 0 10 10% 3 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Orlando City SC vs DC United?
The final score was Orlando City SC 4–1 DC United.
What did the model predict before Orlando City SC vs DC United?
The model assigned 70% probability to a Orlando City SC win, 13% to a draw, and 15% to an DC United win.