MLS · Regular Season - 19 August 16, 2026 01:30 Denka Big Swan Stadium, Niigata

Orlando City SC

#6 · 31 pts

1 – 1

Final score

FC Cincinnati

#7 · 31 pts

T. Spicer (ast. J. Ellis) 48'

23' P. Bucha

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Orlando City SC a 46% win probability (draw 20%, FC Cincinnati 33%). The final result was Orlando City SC 1–1 FC Cincinnati. In 2 previous meetings, Orlando City SC have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for FC Cincinnati.

Match statistics

5

Shots on target

3

1.96

Actual xG

1.35

50%

Possession

50%

10

Corners

5

Match Events

23'

P. Bucha⚽

R. Jansson

29'

↕ B. Rhein / A. Gomez

39'

46'

T. Anunga / O. Nwobodo ↕

↕ J. Gerbet / M. Pasalic

46'

⚽T. Spicer · ast. J. Ellis

48'

55'

Evander

↕ J. Ellis / W. Cartagena

61'

66'

K. Smith / S. Gidi ↕

80'

A. Jabbari / T. Barlow ↕

80'

K. Mboma / B. J. Ramirez Leon ↕

↕ T. Spicer / D. Dike

82'

85'

M. Miazga

90'

T. Hadebe / M. Miazga ↕

Pre-match prediction

46.07%

Orlando

20.61%

X ←

33.32%

FC

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 20.61% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Orlando

2.12

1.96

-0.16

FC

1.82

1.35

-0.47

Orlando City SC dominated by xG (1.96 vs 1.35). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Nashville SC	24	53
2	Inter Miami	24	44
3	New England Revolution	24	40
4	Chicago Fire	23	39
5	Charlotte	24	39
6	Orlando City SC	24	31
7	FC Cincinnati	23	31
8	Philadelphia Union	24	30
9	New York City FC	24	29
10	Toronto FC	24	29
11	DC United	23	28
12	New York Red Bulls	24	27
13	Columbus Crew	24	23
14	Atlanta United FC	24	22
15	CF Montreal	24	21