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MLS · Regular Season - 8 April 19, 2026 03:30
Orlando City SC
#12 · 13 pts
0 – 1
Final score
Houston Dynamo
#8 · 18 pts
75' H. Herrera

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Houston Dynamo a 39% win probability (draw 28%, Orlando City SC 32%). The final result was Orlando City SC 0–1 Houston Dynamo.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
11
3
Shots on target
5
1.11
Actual xG
1.54
4
Saves
3
60%
Possession
40%
4
Corners
3
13
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
E. Atuesta
18'
29'
Felipe Andrade
46'
J. Maurer / J. Bond ↕
↕ T. Spicer / J. Ellis
58'
63'
Artur / D. Samassekou ↕
63'
S. Vines / F. Negri ↕
75'
H. Herrera⚽
78'
J. Maurer
↕ Z. Taifi / H. Sarajian
80'
80'
A. Bouzat / H. Herrera ↕
B. Ojeda
90'+6
↕ E. Atuesta / I. Gomez
90'
90'
I. Aliyu / L. Ennali ↕
Pre-match prediction
32.74%
Orlando
28.08%
X
39.18%
Houston ←
we assigned to the actual result (Houston Dynamo) 39.18% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Orlando
1.48
1.11
-0.38
Houston
2.01
1.54
-0.47
Houston Dynamo dominated by xG (1.54 vs 1.11). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 12 29
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 12 27
2 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 13 29
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 13 25
3 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 11 24
3 New England Revolution New England Revolution 12 22
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 12 20
4 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 12 22
5 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 13 21
5 New York City FC New York City FC 13 18
6 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 13 21
6 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 13 18
7 DC United DC United 13 16
7 FC Dallas FC Dallas 13 19
8 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 12 18
8 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 13 16
9 Charlotte Charlotte 13 15
9 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 13 16
10 San Diego San Diego 13 16
10 Toronto FC Toronto FC 12 14
11 CF Montreal CF Montreal 12 13
11 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 13 16
12 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 13 13
12 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 12 14
13 Austin Austin 13 14
13 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 13 12
14 St. Louis City St. Louis City 12 12
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 12 10
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 12 8
15 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 13 6
Lineups
Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 3-4-1-2
71 Maxime Crépeau Maxime Crépeau G 6.60
3
D 8.70
6 Robin Jansson Robin Jansson D 7.20
57 Iago Silva Iago Silva D 7.20
77 Iván Angulo Iván Angulo M 6.30
8 Braian Ojeda Braian Ojeda M 6.60
20 Eduard Atuesta Eduard Atuesta 89' M 6.70
19 Zakaria Taifi Zakaria Taifi 80' M 6.70
10 Martín Ojeda Martín Ojeda F 7.00
11 Tiago Souza Tiago Souza F 6.50
14 Tyrese Spicer Tyrese Spicer 58' F 6.90
Bench
25
C. Guske M
80
I. Gomez 1' M
22 Justin Ellis Justin Ellis 32' F 6.20
5 Luis Otávio Luis Otávio M
21
N. Miller D
29 Tahir Reid-Brown Tahir Reid-Brown D
Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 4-4-1-1
31 Jonathan Bond Jonathan Bond 45' G 6.60
21 Franco Negri Franco Negri 63' D 6.90
34 Agustin Resch Agustin Resch D 7.20
3
D 7.60
36 Felipe Andrade Felipe Andrade D 7.20
19 Mateusz Bogusz Mateusz Bogusz M 7.20
16 Héctor Herrera Héctor Herrera 1 ⚽ 80' M 8.20
18 Diadié Samassékou Diadié Samassékou 63' M 7.50
11 Lawrence Ennali Lawrence Ennali 89' M 7.00
20 Guilherme Guilherme F 7.30
10 Ezequiel Ponce Ezequiel Ponce F 6.20
Bench
30 Agustín Bouzat Agustín Bouzat 10' M 6.70
6 Artur Artur 27' M 7.00
14 Duane Holmes Duane Holmes M
28 Erik Sviatchenko Erik Sviatchenko D
24 Ibrahim Aliyu Ibrahim Aliyu 1' F
1
J. Maurer 45' G 6.90
17 Nick Markanich Nick Markanich F
9 Ondrej Lingr Ondrej Lingr M
13 Sam Vines Sam Vines 27' D 6.90
Best on the pitch
D · Orlando
8.70
· 80 pass
Héctor Herrera
Héctor Herrera
M · Houston
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 37 pass
D · Houston
7.60
· 30 pass
Diadié Samassékou
Diadié Samassékou
M · Houston
7.50
1 shots · 20 pass
Guilherme
Guilherme
F · Houston
7.30
3 shots · 45 pass
Robin Jansson
Robin Jansson
D · Orlando
7.20
· 74 pass
Orlando City SC Orlando City SC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Maxime Crépeau G 90 6.60 — — — 12 10% — — —
D 90 8.70 — — — 80 72% 4 — —
Robin Jansson D 90 7.20 — — — 74 70% — — —
Iago Silva D 90 7.20 — — 2 66 61% 2 — —
Iván Angulo M 90 6.30 — — 1 48 41% 2 — —
Braian Ojeda M 90 6.60 — — 1 66 61% 1 1 —
Eduard Atuesta M 89 6.70 — — — 51 45% 3 1 —
Zakaria Taifi M 80 6.70 — — — 14 11% 1 — —
Martín Ojeda F 90 7.00 — — 1 33 29% — — —
Tiago Souza F 90 6.50 — — 2 13 10% — — —
Tyrese Spicer F 58 6.90 — — 2 11 7% — — —
I. Gomez M 1 — — — — 7 5% — — —
Justin Ellis F 32 6.20 — — 1 6 5% — — —
Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Jonathan Bond G 45 6.60 — — — 10 8% — — —
Franco Negri D 63 6.90 — — — 33 30% 1 — —
Agustin Resch D 90 7.20 — — — 29 28% 1 — —
D 90 7.60 — — — 30 26% — — —
Felipe Andrade D 90 7.20 — — 2 18 15% 2 1 —
Mateusz Bogusz M 90 7.20 — — 3 30 27% 2 — —
Héctor Herrera M 80 8.20 1 — 1 37 32% — — —
Diadié Samassékou M 63 7.50 — — 1 20 19% 1 — —
Lawrence Ennali M 89 7.00 — — — 18 12% 1 — —
Guilherme F 90 7.30 — — 3 45 37% — — —
Ezequiel Ponce F 90 6.20 — — 1 23 18% — — —
Agustín Bouzat M 10 6.70 — — — 2 2% — — —
Artur M 27 7.00 — — — 12 10% 1 — —
Ibrahim Aliyu F 1 — — — — 3 2% 1 — —
J. Maurer G 45 6.90 — — — 11 5% — 1 —
Sam Vines D 27 6.90 — — — 6 6% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Orlando City SC vs Houston Dynamo?
The final score was Orlando City SC 0–1 Houston Dynamo.
What did the model predict before Orlando City SC vs Houston Dynamo?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Orlando City SC win, 28% to a draw, and 39% to an Houston Dynamo win.