75'
H. Herrera
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Houston Dynamo a 39% win probability (draw 28%, Orlando City SC 32%). The final result was Orlando City SC 0–1 Houston Dynamo.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
11
3
Shots on target
5
1.11
Actual xG
1.54
4
Saves
3
60%
Possession
40%
4
Corners
3
13
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
E. Atuesta
18'
29'
Felipe Andrade
46'
J. Maurer
/
J. Bond
T. Spicer
/ J. Ellis
58'
63'
Artur
/
D. Samassekou
63'
S. Vines
/
F. Negri
75'
H. Herrera⚽
78'
J. Maurer
Z. Taifi
/ H. Sarajian
80'
80'
A. Bouzat
/
H. Herrera
B. Ojeda
90'+6
E. Atuesta
/ I. Gomez
90'
90'
I. Aliyu
/
L. Ennali
Pre-match prediction
32.74%
Orlando
28.08%
X
39.18%
Houston ←
we assigned to the actual result (Houston Dynamo)
39.18%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.48
1.11
-0.38
2.01
1.54
-0.47
Houston Dynamo dominated by xG (1.54 vs 1.11).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
71
M. Crépeau
G
M. Crépeau
G
3
D
6
Robin Jansson
D
Robin Jansson
D
57
Iago Silva
D
77
Iván Angulo
M
Iván Angulo
M
8
Braian Ojeda
M
Braian Ojeda
M
20
Eduard Atuesta
89'
M
Eduard Atuesta
89'
M
19
Zakaria Taifi
80'
M
Zakaria Taifi
80'
M
10
M. Ojeda
F
M. Ojeda
F
11
Tiago Souza
F
Tiago Souza
F
14
Tyrese Spicer
58'
F
Tyrese Spicer
58'
F
Bench
25
C. Guske
M
80
I. Gomez
1'
M
22
Justin Ellis
32'
F
Justin Ellis
32'
F
5
Luis Otávio
M
Luis Otávio
M
21
N. Miller
D
29
Tahir Reid-Brown
D
Tahir Reid-Brown
D
31
Jonathan Bond
45'
G
Jonathan Bond
45'
G
21
Franco Negri
63'
D
Franco Negri
63'
D
34
Agustin Resch
D
Agustin Resch
D
3
D
36
Felipe Andrade
D
Felipe Andrade
D
19
Mateusz Bogusz
M
Mateusz Bogusz
M
16
Héctor Herrera
1 ⚽
80'
M
Héctor Herrera
1 ⚽
80'
M
18
Diadié Samassékou
63'
M
Diadié Samassékou
63'
M
11
Lawrence Ennali
89'
M
Lawrence Ennali
89'
M
20
Guilherme
F
Guilherme
F
10
Ezequiel Ponce
F
Ezequiel Ponce
F
Bench
30
A. Bouzat
10'
M
A. Bouzat
10'
M
6
Artur
27'
M
Artur
27'
M
14
Duane Holmes
M
Duane Holmes
M
28
Erik Sviatchenko
D
Erik Sviatchenko
D
24
Ibrahim Aliyu
1'
F
Ibrahim Aliyu
1'
F
1
J. Maurer
45'
G
17
Nick Markanich
F
Nick Markanich
F
9
Ondrej Lingr
M
Ondrej Lingr
M
13
Sam Vines
27'
D
Sam Vines
27'
D
Best on the pitch
D · Orlando
8.70
· 80 pass
Héctor Herrera
M · Houston
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 37 pass
D · Houston
7.60
· 30 pass
Diadié Samassékou
M · Houston
7.50
1 shots
· 20 pass
Guilherme
F · Houston
7.30
3 shots
· 45 pass
Robin Jansson
D · Orlando
7.20
· 74 pass
Orlando City SC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Crépeau | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 8.70 | — | — | — | 80 | 72% | 4 | — | — | |
| Robin Jansson | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 74 | 70% | — | — | — |
| Iago Silva | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 66 | 61% | 2 | — | — |
| Iván Angulo | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| Braian Ojeda | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 66 | 61% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Eduard Atuesta | M | 89 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 51 | 45% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Zakaria Taifi | M | 80 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Ojeda | F | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Tiago Souza | F | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Tyrese Spicer | F | 58 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| I. Gomez | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Justin Ellis | F | 32 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
Houston Dynamo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Bond | G | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Franco Negri | D | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Agustin Resch | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 30 | 26% | — | — | — | |
| Felipe Andrade | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 15% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Mateusz Bogusz | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 30 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| Héctor Herrera | M | 80 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 37 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Diadié Samassékou | M | 63 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Lawrence Ennali | M | 89 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 18 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Guilherme | F | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 3 | 45 | 37% | — | — | — |
| Ezequiel Ponce | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 18% | — | — | — |
| A. Bouzat | M | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Artur | M | 27 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Ibrahim Aliyu | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Maurer | G | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| Sam Vines | D | 27 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Orlando City SC vs Houston Dynamo?
The final score was Orlando City SC 0–1 Houston Dynamo.
What did the model predict before Orlando City SC vs Houston Dynamo?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Orlando City SC win, 28% to a draw, and 39% to an Houston Dynamo win.