75'
H. Herrera
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Houston Dynamo a 39% win probability (draw 28%, Orlando City SC 32%). The final result was Orlando City SC 0–1 Houston Dynamo.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
11
3
Shots on target
5
1.11
Actual xG
1.54
4
Saves
3
60%
Possession
40%
4
Corners
3
13
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
E. Atuesta
18'
29'
Felipe Andrade
46'
J. Maurer
/
J. Bond
T. Spicer
/ J. Ellis
58'
63'
Artur
/
D. Samassekou
63'
S. Vines
/
F. Negri
75'
H. Herrera⚽
78'
J. Maurer
Z. Taifi
/ H. Sarajian
80'
80'
A. Bouzat
/
H. Herrera
B. Ojeda
90'+6
E. Atuesta
/ I. Gomez
90'
90'
I. Aliyu
/
L. Ennali
Pre-match prediction
32.74%
Orlando
28.08%
X
39.18%
Houston ←
we assigned to the actual result (Houston Dynamo)
39.18%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.48
1.11
-0.38
2.01
1.54
-0.47
Houston Dynamo dominated by xG (1.54 vs 1.11).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
71
M. Crépeau
G
M. Crépeau
G
3
D
6
R. Jansson
D
R. Jansson
D
57
Iago
D
Iago
D
77
I. Angulo
M
I. Angulo
M
8
Braian Ojeda
M
Braian Ojeda
M
20
E. Atuesta
89'
M
E. Atuesta
89'
M
19
Z. Taifi
80'
M
Z. Taifi
80'
M
10
M. Ojeda
F
M. Ojeda
F
11
Tiago
F
Tiago
F
14
T. Spicer
58'
F
T. Spicer
58'
F
Bench
25
Colin Guske
M
Colin Guske
M
80
Ignacio Gómez
1'
M
Ignacio Gómez
1'
M
22
Justin Ellis
32'
F
Justin Ellis
32'
F
5
Luis Otávio
M
Luis Otávio
M
21
N. Miller
D
N. Miller
D
29
Tahir Reid-Brown
D
Tahir Reid-Brown
D
31
J. Bond
45'
G
J. Bond
45'
G
21
F. Negri
63'
D
F. Negri
63'
D
34
A. Resch
D
A. Resch
D
3
D
36
Felipe Andrade
D
Felipe Andrade
D
19
M. Bogusz
M
M. Bogusz
M
16
H. Herrera
1 ⚽
80'
M
H. Herrera
1 ⚽
80'
M
18
D. Samassékou
63'
M
D. Samassékou
63'
M
11
L. Ennali
89'
M
L. Ennali
89'
M
20
Guilherme
F
Guilherme
F
10
E. Ponce
F
E. Ponce
F
Bench
30
A. Bouzat
10'
M
A. Bouzat
10'
M
24
A. Ibrahim
1'
F
A. Ibrahim
1'
F
6
Artur
27'
M
Artur
27'
M
14
D. Holmes
M
D. Holmes
M
28
E. Sviatchenko
D
E. Sviatchenko
D
1
J. Maurer
45'
G
17
N. Markanich
F
N. Markanich
F
9
O. Lingr
M
O. Lingr
M
13
S. Vines
27'
D
S. Vines
27'
D
Best on the pitch
D · Orlando
8.70
· 80 pass
H. Herrera
M · Houston
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 37 pass
D · Houston
7.60
· 30 pass
D. Samassékou
M · Houston
7.50
1 shots
· 20 pass
Guilherme
F · Houston
7.30
3 shots
· 45 pass
R. Jansson
D · Orlando
7.20
· 74 pass
Orlando City SC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Crépeau | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 8.70 | — | — | — | 80 | 72% | 4 | — | — | |
| R. Jansson | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 74 | 70% | — | — | — |
| Iago | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 66 | 61% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Angulo | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| Braian Ojeda | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 66 | 61% | 1 | 1 | — |
| E. Atuesta | M | 89 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 51 | 45% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Z. Taifi | M | 80 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Ojeda | F | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Tiago | F | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| T. Spicer | F | 58 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Ignacio Gómez | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Justin Ellis | F | 32 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
Houston Dynamo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bond | G | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| F. Negri | D | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Resch | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 30 | 26% | — | — | — | |
| Felipe Andrade | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 15% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Bogusz | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 30 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| H. Herrera | M | 80 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 37 | 32% | — | — | — |
| D. Samassékou | M | 63 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Ennali | M | 89 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 18 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Guilherme | F | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 3 | 45 | 37% | — | — | — |
| E. Ponce | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 18% | — | — | — |
| A. Bouzat | M | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| A. Ibrahim | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Artur | M | 27 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Maurer | G | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| S. Vines | D | 27 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Orlando City SC vs Houston Dynamo?
The final score was Orlando City SC 0–1 Houston Dynamo.
What did the model predict before Orlando City SC vs Houston Dynamo?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Orlando City SC win, 28% to a draw, and 39% to an Houston Dynamo win.