Orlando City SC - Leon
Leagues Cup
August 09, 2026 00:30
⚡ Pre-match analysis
42.22%
Win
Orlando City SC
28.15%
Draw
29.63%
Win
Leon
4.05
2.26
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–1
(8.65%)
1X2 Result
1
42%
X
28%
2
30%
Double Chance
1X
70%
X2
58%
12
72%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
54%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Orlando City SC a 42% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Leon. Expected goals are 4.1 for Orlando City SC and 2.3 for Leon (total 6.3), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.65% probability.
Season Stats
8W
2D
5L
6W
0D
9L
Averages per game
2.1
Goals
1.3
2.1
Conceded
2.0
5.1
Shots OT
5.2
3.8
Corners
5.8
49%
Poss.
55%
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
80%
60%
O 2.5
67%
60%
BTTS
53%
20%
Clean Sht
13%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
37%
O 3.5
64%
BTTS
5W
1D
3L
· at home
2W
1D
7L
· away
2.1
gls/g
0.8
1.6
Conceded
2.1
56%
Win %
20%
67%
Win or Draw
30%
78%
O 1.5
70%
67%
O 2.5
50%
44%
O 3.5
30%
78%
BTTS
50%
11%
Clean Sht
10%
11%
Failed to Score
40%
last 10
ℹ
Home/away records across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.
Score Matrix
↕ Orlando City SC
Leon →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| 2 | 1.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| 3 | 2.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| 4 | 2.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| 5 | 1.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Orlando City SC
Attack
57
Defence
53
Form
68
Leon
Attack
57
Defence
46
Form
52
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Orlando City SC vs Leon?
The model gives Orlando City SC a 42% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 29% for an Leon win.
How many goals are expected in Orlando City SC vs Leon?
Expected goals: Orlando City SC 4.1, Leon 2.3 (total 6.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Orlando City SC vs Leon?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.65%.