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MLS · Regular Season - 17 July 26, 2026 01:30 Denka Big Swan Stadium, Niigata
Orlando City SC
#6 · 31 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Nashville SC
#1 · 53 pts
T. Spicer (ast. J. Ellis) 72'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Orlando City SC a 49% win probability (draw 24%, Nashville SC 26%). The final result was Orlando City SC 1–0 Nashville SC. In 2 previous meetings, Orlando City SC have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Nashville SC.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
3
3
Shots on target
1
1
Saves
3
52%
Possession
48%
2
Corners
3
7
Tackles
7
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
Tiago
20'
46'
A. Qasem / A. Muyl ↕
↕ Tiago / T. Spicer
53'
65'
E. Tagseth / B. Acosta ↕
65'
J. Knight / S. Mohammed ↕
↕ B. Rhein / A. Marin
70'
↕ D. Brekalo / Iago Teodoro
70'
⚽T. Spicer · ast. J. Ellis
72'
76'
D. Lovitz / A. Najar ↕
↕ Luis Otavio / W. Cartagena
86'
↕ J. Ellis / H. Sarajian
86'
90'+5
W. Pacius / M. Corcoran ↕
Pre-match prediction
49.39%
Orlando ←
24.09%
X
26.53%
Nashville
we assigned to the actual result (Orlando City SC) 49.39% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Orlando
1.74
—
—
Nashville
1.01
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 24 53
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 24 44
3 New England Revolution New England Revolution 24 40
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 23 39
5 Charlotte Charlotte 24 39
6 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 24 31
7 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 23 31
8 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 24 30
9 New York City FC New York City FC 24 29
10 Toronto FC Toronto FC 24 29
11 DC United DC United 23 28
12 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 24 27
13 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 24 23
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 24 22
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 24 21
Lineups
Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 4-4-2
71 M. Crépeau M. Crépeau 62' G 6.53
44 Bernardo Rhein Goncalves Bernardo Rhein Goncalves D
6 R. Jansson R. Jansson 62' D 6.73
4 D. Brekalo D. Brekalo 62' D 6.86
24 G. Dorsey G. Dorsey 62' D 6.64
11 Tiago Tiago 53' M 6.35
8 Braian Ojeda Braian Ojeda 62' M 6.41
5 Luis Otávio Luis Otávio 62' M 6.73
77 I. Angulo I. Angulo 62' M 6.79
22 Justin Ellis Justin Ellis 1 👟 62' F 6.20
7 A. Griezmann A. Griezmann 62' F 7.20
Bench
3 Adrián Marín Adrián Marín D 0.00
65 Gustavo Caraballo Gustavo Caraballo M 0.00
23 Harvey Sarajian Harvey Sarajian F
57 Iago Iago D
12 Javier Otero Javier Otero G 0.00
29 Tahir Reid-Brown Tahir Reid-Brown D 0.00
14 T. Spicer T. Spicer 1 ⚽ 9' F 6.51
16 W. Cartagena W. Cartagena M 0.00
19 Z. Taifi Z. Taifi M 0.00
Nashville SC Nashville SC 4-3-3
99 B. Schwake B. Schwake 62' G 7.43
31 A. Najar A. Najar 62' D 7.14
5 J. Maher J. Maher 62' D 7.24
3 M. Woledzi M. Woledzi 62' D 6.97
22 J. Bauer J. Bauer 62' D 6.63
19 A. Muyl A. Muyl 46' M 6.70
16 M. Corcoran M. Corcoran 62' M 6.75
6 B. Acosta B. Acosta 62' M 6.98
10 H. Mukhtar H. Mukhtar 62' F 6.46
9 S. Surridge S. Surridge 62' F 6.20
14 S. Mohammed S. Mohammed 62' F 6.50
Bench
37 A. Qasem A. Qasem 16' F 6.42
12 Charles-Emile Brunet Charles-Emile Brunet M
2 D. Lovitz D. Lovitz D 0.00
20 E. Tagseth E. Tagseth M 0.00
23 Jordan Knight Jordan Knight D 0.00
4 J. Palacios J. Palacios D 0.00
21 Thomas Williams Thomas Williams D 0.00
17 Woobens Pacius Woobens Pacius F 0.00
13 Xavier Valdez Xavier Valdez G 0.00
Best on the pitch
B. Schwake
B. Schwake
G · Nashville
7.43
· 21 pass
J. Maher
J. Maher
D · Nashville
7.24
· 53 pass
A. Griezmann
A. Griezmann
F · Orlando
7.20
3 shots · 45 pass
A. Najar
A. Najar
D · Nashville
7.14
1 shots · 33 pass
B. Acosta
B. Acosta
M · Nashville
6.98
· 53 pass
M. Woledzi
M. Woledzi
D · Nashville
6.97
· 37 pass
Orlando City SC Orlando City SC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Crépeau G 62 6.53 — — 0 10 10% 0 — —
Bernardo Rhein Goncalves D — — — — — — — — — —
R. Jansson D 62 6.73 — — 0 47 47% 0 — —
D. Brekalo D 62 6.86 — — 0 47 45% 0 — —
G. Dorsey D 62 6.64 — — 0 20 19% 0 — —
Tiago M 53 6.35 — — 0 16 13% 1 1 —
Braian Ojeda M 62 6.41 — — 1 30 26% 1 — —
Luis Otávio M 62 6.73 — — 1 25 22% 3 — —
I. Angulo M 62 6.79 — — 0 34 29% 1 — —
Justin Ellis F 62 6.20 — 1 6 23 19% 0 — —
A. Griezmann F 62 7.20 — — 3 45 42% 0 — —
T. Spicer F 9 6.51 1 — 0 4 3% 1 — —
Nashville SC Nashville SC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
B. Schwake G 62 7.43 — — 0 21 15% 0 — —
A. Najar D 62 7.14 — — 1 33 29% 0 — —
J. Maher D 62 7.24 — — 0 53 52% 1 — —
M. Woledzi D 62 6.97 — — 0 37 36% 2 — —
J. Bauer D 62 6.63 — — 0 27 21% 0 — —
A. Muyl M 46 6.70 — — 1 9 8% 0 — —
M. Corcoran M 62 6.75 — — 0 39 35% 1 — —
B. Acosta M 62 6.98 — — 0 53 49% 0 — —
H. Mukhtar F 62 6.46 — — 1 22 19% 1 — —
S. Surridge F 62 6.20 — — 0 6 6% 1 — —
S. Mohammed F 62 6.50 — — 0 19 17% 1 — —
A. Qasem F 16 6.42 — — 0 3 3% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Orlando City SC vs Nashville SC?
The final score was Orlando City SC 1–0 Nashville SC.
What did the model predict before Orlando City SC vs Nashville SC?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Orlando City SC win, 24% to a draw, and 26% to an Nashville SC win.