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MLS · Regular Season - 31 October 25, 2026 01:30 Inter&Co Stadium, Orlando, Florida
Orlando City SC
#7 · 42 pts
2 – 2
Final score
New York City FC
#12 · 35 pts
Antoine Griezmann (ast. Martin Ojeda) 32'
Martin Ojeda (ast. Vinicius Nogueira) 49'
18' (ast. Hannes Wolf) Alonso Martinez
90'+9 (ast. James Sands) Jonathan Shore
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Orlando City SC a 52% win probability (draw 19%, New York City FC 27%). The final result was Orlando City SC 2–2 New York City FC. In 1 previous meetings, Orlando City SC have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for New York City FC.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
17
4
Shots on target
7
0.86
Actual xG
1.77
5
Saves
2
34%
Possession
66%
3
Corners
9
13
Tackles
6
4
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
18'
ast. Hannes Wolf · Alonso Martinez⚽
28'
Tomas Romero / Matthew Freese ↕
⚽Antoine Griezmann · ast. Martin Ojeda
32'
Vinicius Nogueira
38'
44'
James Sands
↕ Braian Ojeda / Joran Gerbet
46'
⚽Martin Ojeda · ast. Vinicius Nogueira
49'
↕ Justin Ellis / Marco Pašalić
60'
Iago Teodoro
63'
↕ Vinicius Nogueira / Adrián Marín
71'
71'
Talles Magno / Agustin Ojeda ↕
71'
Jonathan Shore / Aiden O'Neill ↕
↕ Iago Teodoro / Zakaria Taifi
71'
Wilder Cartagena
78'
81'
(missed pen.) Talles Magno⚽
82'
Bénie Adama Traoré / Hannes Wolf ↕
82'
Malachi Jones / Alonso Martinez ↕
↕ Martin Ojeda / Daryl Dike
83'
Eduard Atuesta
86'
90'+9
ast. James Sands · Jonathan Shore⚽
Pre-match prediction
52.97%
Orlando
19.34%
X ←
27.69%
New
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 19.34% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Orlando
2.74
0.86
-1.88
New
1.94
1.77
-0.17
New York City FC dominated by xG (1.77 vs 0.86). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 31 70
2 New England Revolution New England Revolution 31 55
3 Inter Miami Inter Miami 31 55
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 31 51
5 Charlotte Charlotte 31 47
6 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 31 46
7 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 31 42
8 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 31 42
9 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 31 39
10 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 31 38
11 Toronto FC Toronto FC 31 36
12 New York City FC New York City FC 31 35
13 DC United DC United 31 33
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 31 30
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 31 25
Lineups
Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 4-2-3-1
71 M. Crépeau M. Crépeau G 7.79
27 Vinícius Nogueira Vinícius Nogueira 1 👟 71' D 5.93
57 Iago Iago 71' D 6.30
4 D. Brekalo D. Brekalo D 6.60
77 I. Angulo I. Angulo D 7.02
16 W. Cartagena W. Cartagena M 6.45
8 B. Ojeda B. Ojeda 45' M 6.35
10 M. Ojeda M. Ojeda 1 ⚽ 1 👟 83' M 8.88
20 E. Atuesta E. Atuesta M 6.58
22 Justin Ellis Justin Ellis 60' M 6.05
7 A. Griezmann A. Griezmann 1 ⚽ F 8.20
Bench
3 Adrián Marín Adrián Marín 19' D 0.00
44 Bernardo Rhein Goncalves Bernardo Rhein Goncalves F 0.00
9 D. Dike D. Dike 7' F 0.00
23 Harvey Sarajian Harvey Sarajian F 0.00
12 Javier Otero Javier Otero G 0.00
35 Joran Gerbet Joran Gerbet 44' M 0.00
87 Marco Pasalic Marco Pasalic 30' F 0.00
21 N. Miller N. Miller D 0.00
19 Z. Taifi Z. Taifi 19' M 0.00
New York City FC New York City FC 4-2-3-1
49 M. Freese M. Freese 28' G 5.69
22 K. O'Toole K. O'Toole D 6.29
6 J. Sands J. Sands 1 👟 D 6.29
13 Thiago Martins Thiago Martins D 6.66
24 T. Gray T. Gray D 7.19
8 A. Perea A. Perea M 6.74
21 A. O'Neill A. O'Neill 71' M 6.13
17 H. Wolf H. Wolf 1 👟 82' M 7.39
7 N. Fernández Mercau N. Fernández Mercau M 7.20
26 A. Ojeda A. Ojeda 71' M 6.45
16 A. Martínez A. Martínez 1 ⚽ 82' F 7.57
Bench
9 B. Traoré B. Traoré 8' F 0.00
32 J. Shore J. Shore 1 ⚽ 19' M 0.00
20 Luighi Hanri Luighi Hanri F 0.00
88 M. Jones M. Jones 8' F 0.00
3 M. Miazga M. Miazga D 0.00
2 Nico Cavallo Nico Cavallo D 0.00
34 Raul Gustavo Raul Gustavo D 0.00
11 Talles Magno Talles Magno 19' F 0.00
30 T. Romero T. Romero 62' G 5.68
Best on the pitch
M. Ojeda
M. Ojeda
M · Orlando
8.88
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 29 pass
A. Griezmann
A. Griezmann
F · Orlando
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 22 pass
M. Crépeau
M. Crépeau
G · Orlando
7.79
· 35 pass
A. Martínez
A. Martínez
F · New
7.57
1 ⚽
4 shots · 16 pass
H. Wolf
H. Wolf
M · New
7.39
1 👟
1 shots · 25 pass
N. Fernández Mercau
N. Fernández Mercau
M · New
7.20
· 39 pass
Orlando City SC Orlando City SC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Crépeau G 90 7.79 — — 0 35 23% 0 — —
Vinícius Nogueira D 71 5.93 — 1 1 21 16% 0 1 —
Iago D 71 6.30 — — 0 41 39% 0 1 —
D. Brekalo D 90 6.60 — — 0 52 45% 0 — —
I. Angulo D 90 7.02 — — 0 38 34% 5 — —
W. Cartagena M 90 6.45 — — 0 41 36% 1 1 —
B. Ojeda M 45 6.35 — — 1 18 18% 0 — —
M. Ojeda M 83 8.88 1 1 2 29 25% 0 — —
E. Atuesta M 90 6.58 — — 2 47 40% 2 1 —
Justin Ellis M 60 6.05 — — 2 19 18% 0 — —
A. Griezmann F 90 8.20 1 — 2 22 16% 2 — —
Adrián Marín D 19 0.00 — — 0 4 2% 0 — —
D. Dike F 7 0.00 — — 0 3 1% 0 — —
Joran Gerbet M 44 0.00 — — 0 19 19% 1 — —
Marco Pasalic F 30 0.00 — — 0 5 4% 0 — —
Z. Taifi M 19 0.00 — — 0 3 3% 2 — —
New York City FC New York City FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Freese G 28 5.69 — — 0 3 2% 0 — —
K. O'Toole D 90 6.29 — — 0 49 45% 0 — —
J. Sands D 90 6.29 — 1 0 97 93% 0 1 —
Thiago Martins D 90 6.66 — — 1 63 61% 0 — —
T. Gray D 90 7.19 — — 0 60 54% 0 — —
A. Perea M 90 6.74 — — 3 35 30% 0 — —
A. O'Neill M 71 6.13 — — 0 40 32% 2 — —
H. Wolf M 82 7.39 — 1 1 25 23% 1 — —
N. Fernández Mercau M 90 7.20 — — 0 39 35% 1 — —
A. Ojeda M 71 6.45 — — 3 16 14% 2 — —
A. Martínez F 82 7.57 1 — 4 16 14% 0 — —
B. Traoré F 8 0.00 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
J. Shore M 19 0.00 1 — 1 24 23% 0 — —
M. Jones F 8 0.00 — — 0 6 4% 0 — —
Talles Magno F 19 0.00 — — 4 8 6% 0 — —
T. Romero G 62 5.68 — — 0 9 6% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Orlando City SC vs New York City FC?
The final score was Orlando City SC 2–2 New York City FC.
What did the model predict before Orlando City SC vs New York City FC?
The model assigned 52% probability to a Orlando City SC win, 19% to a draw, and 27% to an New York City FC win.