← MLS
MLS · Regular Season - 14 May 14, 2026 01:30
Orlando City SC
#12 · 13 pts
4 – 3
Final score
Philadelphia Union
#15 · 6 pts
M. Ojeda 19' (pen.)
G. Dorsey 27'
D. McGuire (ast. T. Spicer) 72'
M. Ojeda (ast. A. Gomez) 90'
54' (ast. N. Harriel) M. Iloski
75' (ast. B. Damiani) C. Sullivan
79' (ast. S. Korzeniowski) B. Bender

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Orlando City SC a 39% win probability (draw 27%, Philadelphia Union 33%). The final result was Orlando City SC 4–3 Philadelphia Union.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
20
6
Shots on target
7
2.87
Actual xG
1.62
4
Saves
2
55%
Possession
45%
2
Corners
10
20
Tackles
18
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
17'
A. Rick
⚽M. Ojeda (pen.)
19'
⚽G. Dorsey
27'
43'
C. Sullivan / J. Lukic ↕
Tiago
51'
54'
ast. N. Harriel · M. Iloski⚽
58'
D. Jean Jacques
60'
J. Rafanello
↕ E. Atuesta / Luis Otavio
63'
↕ Tiago / T. Spicer
64'
↕ D. Brekalo / A. Gomez
64'
65'
A. Anello / I. Vassilev ↕
↕ J. Ellis / D. McGuire
70'
⚽D. McGuire · ast. T. Spicer
72'
75'
ast. B. Damiani · C. Sullivan⚽
75'
E. Alladoh / M. Iloski ↕
75'
S. Korzeniowski / B. Damiani ↕
79'
ast. S. Korzeniowski · B. Bender⚽
↕ G. Dorsey / M. Pasalic
81'
⚽M. Ojeda · ast. A. Gomez
90'
Pre-match prediction
39.58%
Orlando ←
27.04%
X
33.38%
Philadelphia
we assigned to the actual result (Orlando City SC) 39.58% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Orlando
1.59
2.87
+1.28
Philadelphia
1.33
1.62
+0.29
Orlando City SC dominated by xG (2.87 vs 1.62). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 12 29
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 12 27
2 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 13 29
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 13 25
3 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 11 24
3 New England Revolution New England Revolution 12 22
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 12 20
4 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 12 22
5 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 13 21
5 New York City FC New York City FC 13 18
6 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 13 21
6 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 13 18
7 DC United DC United 13 16
7 FC Dallas FC Dallas 13 19
8 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 12 18
8 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 13 16
9 Charlotte Charlotte 13 15
9 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 13 16
10 San Diego San Diego 13 16
10 Toronto FC Toronto FC 12 14
11 CF Montreal CF Montreal 12 13
11 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 13 16
12 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 13 13
12 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 12 14
13 Austin Austin 13 14
13 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 13 12
14 St. Louis City St. Louis City 12 12
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 12 10
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 12 8
15 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 13 6
Lineups
Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 3-4-3
71 Maxime Crépeau Maxime Crépeau G 6.60
4 David Brekalo David Brekalo 64' D 6.60
6 Robin Jansson Robin Jansson D 6.60
57 Iago Silva Iago Silva D 6.30
77 Iván Angulo Iván Angulo M 7.70
20 Eduard Atuesta Eduard Atuesta 63' M 7.20
8 Braian Ojeda Braian Ojeda M 7.30
24 Griffin Dorsey Griffin Dorsey 1 ⚽ 81' M 7.90
11 Tiago Souza Tiago Souza 64' F 6.20
10 Martín Ojeda Martín Ojeda 2 ⚽ F 8.50
22 Justin Ellis Justin Ellis 70' F 7.50
Bench
3 Adrián Marín Adrián Marín 35' D 6.70
13 Duncan McGuire Duncan McGuire 1 ⚽ 29' F 7.50
12 Javier Otero Javier Otero G
5 Luis Otávio Luis Otávio 36' M 6.30
87 Marco Pašalić Marco Pašalić 18' F 6.60
29 Tahir Reid-Brown Tahir Reid-Brown D
14 Tyrese Spicer Tyrese Spicer 1 👟 35' F 7.30
16 Wilder Cartagena Wilder Cartagena M
19 Zakaria Taifi Zakaria Taifi M
Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 4-4-2
76 Andrew Rick Andrew Rick G 4.90
16 Ben Bender Ben Bender 1 ⚽ D 7.30
29 Olwethu Makhanya Olwethu Makhanya D 5.90
2 Geiner Martínez Geiner Martínez D 6.50
26 Nathan Harriel Nathan Harriel 1 👟 D 7.20
19 Indiana Vassilev Indiana Vassilev 65' M 5.90
14 Jeremy Rafanello Jeremy Rafanello M 6.90
4 Jovan Lukić Jovan Lukić 43' M 6.20
21 Danley Jean Jacques Danley Jean Jacques M 6.30
9 Bruno Damiani Bruno Damiani 1 👟 75' F 5.90
10 Milan Iloski Milan Iloski 1 ⚽ 75' F 7.60
Bench
28 Agustin Anello Agustin Anello 34' F 6.30
11 Alejandro Bedoya Alejandro Bedoya M
6 Cavan Sullivan Cavan Sullivan 1 ⚽ 56' M 7.70
23 Ezekiel Alladoh Ezekiel Alladoh 24' F 6.70
66 Finn Sundstrom Finn Sundstrom D
31 George Marks George Marks G
15 Olivier Mbaizo Olivier Mbaizo D
20 Philippe Ndinga Philippe Ndinga D
37 Stas Kornzeniowski Stas Kornzeniowski 1 👟 24' F 6.60
Best on the pitch
Martín Ojeda
Martín Ojeda
F · Orlando
8.50
2 ⚽
5 shots · 32 pass
Griffin Dorsey
Griffin Dorsey
M · Orlando
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 24 pass
Cavan Sullivan
Cavan Sullivan
M · Philadelphia
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots · 20 pass
Iván Angulo
Iván Angulo
M · Orlando
7.70
1 shots · 31 pass
Milan Iloski
Milan Iloski
F · Philadelphia
7.60
1 ⚽
5 shots · 32 pass
Justin Ellis
Justin Ellis
F · Orlando
7.50
1 shots · 31 pass
Orlando City SC Orlando City SC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Maxime Crépeau G 99 6.60 — — — 22 17% — — —
David Brekalo D 64 6.60 — — — 45 41% 1 — —
Robin Jansson D 99 6.60 — — — 88 82% — — —
Iago Silva D 99 6.30 — — — 82 78% — — —
Iván Angulo M 99 7.70 — — 1 31 27% 2 — —
Eduard Atuesta M 63 7.20 — — — 44 36% 2 — —
Braian Ojeda M 99 7.30 — — — 41 37% 4 — —
Griffin Dorsey M 81 7.90 1 — 2 24 22% 2 — —
Tiago Souza F 64 6.20 — — — 12 7% 1 1 —
Martín Ojeda F 99 8.50 2 — 5 32 20% 2 — —
Justin Ellis F 70 7.50 — — 1 31 22% 3 — —
Adrián Marín D 35 6.70 — — — 16 11% — — —
Duncan McGuire F 29 7.50 1 — 1 6 4% — — —
Luis Otávio M 36 6.30 — — — 15 10% 2 — —
Marco Pašalić F 18 6.60 — — — 2 2% — — —
Tyrese Spicer F 35 7.30 — 1 1 6 4% 1 — —
Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Andrew Rick G 99 4.90 — — — 21 15% — 1 —
Ben Bender D 99 7.30 1 — 1 48 36% 2 — —
Olwethu Makhanya D 99 5.90 — — 1 43 38% 4 — —
Geiner Martínez D 99 6.50 — — 2 28 25% 4 — —
Nathan Harriel D 99 7.20 — 1 2 37 32% 3 — —
Indiana Vassilev M 65 5.90 — — — 26 23% 1 — —
Jeremy Rafanello M 99 6.90 — — 1 55 47% 2 1 —
Jovan Lukić M 43 6.20 — — — 17 14% — — —
Danley Jean Jacques M 99 6.30 — — 2 49 45% — 1 —
Bruno Damiani F 75 5.90 — 1 1 8 5% 1 — —
Milan Iloski F 75 7.60 1 — 5 32 25% — — —
Agustin Anello F 34 6.30 — — — 3 2% — — —
Cavan Sullivan M 56 7.70 1 — 3 20 13% — — —
Ezekiel Alladoh F 24 6.70 — — — 2 2% 1 — —
Stas Kornzeniowski F 24 6.60 — 1 2 6 4% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Orlando City SC vs Philadelphia Union?
The final score was Orlando City SC 4–3 Philadelphia Union.
What did the model predict before Orlando City SC vs Philadelphia Union?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Orlando City SC win, 27% to a draw, and 33% to an Philadelphia Union win.