M. Ojeda
19'
(pen.)
G. Dorsey
27'
D. McGuire
(ast. T. Spicer)
72'
M. Ojeda
(ast. A. Gomez)
90'
54'
(ast. N. Harriel)
M. Iloski
75'
(ast. B. Damiani)
C. Sullivan
79'
(ast. S. Korzeniowski)
B. Bender
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Orlando City SC a 39% win probability (draw 27%, Philadelphia Union 33%). The final result was Orlando City SC 4–3 Philadelphia Union.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
20
6
Shots on target
7
2.87
Actual xG
1.62
4
Saves
2
55%
Possession
45%
2
Corners
10
20
Tackles
18
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
17'
A. Rick
⚽M. Ojeda
(pen.)
19'
⚽G. Dorsey
27'
43'
C. Sullivan
/
J. Lukic
Tiago
51'
54'
ast. N. Harriel ·
M. Iloski⚽
58'
D. Jean Jacques
60'
J. Rafanello
E. Atuesta
/ Luis Otavio
63'
Tiago
/ T. Spicer
64'
D. Brekalo
/ A. Gomez
64'
65'
A. Anello
/
I. Vassilev
J. Ellis
/ D. McGuire
70'
⚽D. McGuire
· ast. T. Spicer
72'
75'
ast. B. Damiani ·
C. Sullivan⚽
75'
E. Alladoh
/
M. Iloski
75'
S. Korzeniowski
/
B. Damiani
79'
ast. S. Korzeniowski ·
B. Bender⚽
G. Dorsey
/ M. Pasalic
81'
⚽M. Ojeda
· ast. A. Gomez
90'
Pre-match prediction
39.58%
Orlando ←
27.04%
X
33.38%
Philadelphia
we assigned to the actual result (Orlando City SC)
39.58%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.59
2.87
+1.28
1.33
1.62
+0.29
Orlando City SC dominated by xG (2.87 vs 1.62).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
71
Maxime Crépeau
G
Maxime Crépeau
G
4
David Brekalo
64'
D
David Brekalo
64'
D
6
Robin Jansson
D
Robin Jansson
D
57
Iago Silva
D
Iago Silva
D
77
Iván Angulo
M
Iván Angulo
M
20
Eduard Atuesta
63'
M
Eduard Atuesta
63'
M
8
B. Ojeda
M
B. Ojeda
M
24
Griffin Dorsey
1 ⚽
81'
M
Griffin Dorsey
1 ⚽
81'
M
11
Tiago Souza
64'
F
Tiago Souza
64'
F
10
M. Ojeda
2 ⚽
F
M. Ojeda
2 ⚽
F
22
Justin Ellis
70'
F
Justin Ellis
70'
F
Bench
3
Adrián Marín
35'
D
Adrián Marín
35'
D
13
Duncan McGuire
1 ⚽
29'
F
Duncan McGuire
1 ⚽
29'
F
12
Javier Otero
G
5
Luis Otávio
36'
M
Luis Otávio
36'
M
87
Marco Pašalić
18'
F
Marco Pašalić
18'
F
29
Tahir Reid-Brown
D
Tahir Reid-Brown
D
14
Tyrese Spicer
1 👟
35'
F
Tyrese Spicer
1 👟
35'
F
16
W. Cartagena
M
W. Cartagena
M
19
Zakaria Taifi
M
Zakaria Taifi
M
76
Andrew Rick
G
Andrew Rick
G
16
Ben Bender
1 ⚽
D
Ben Bender
1 ⚽
D
29
Olwethu Makhanya
D
Olwethu Makhanya
D
2
Geiner Martínez
D
Geiner Martínez
D
26
Nathan Harriel
1 👟
D
Nathan Harriel
1 👟
D
19
Indiana Vassilev
65'
M
Indiana Vassilev
65'
M
14
Jeremy Rafanello
M
Jeremy Rafanello
M
4
Jovan Lukić
43'
M
Jovan Lukić
43'
M
21
D. Jean-Jacques
M
D. Jean-Jacques
M
9
Bruno Damiani
1 👟
75'
F
Bruno Damiani
1 👟
75'
F
10
Milan Iloski
1 ⚽
75'
F
Milan Iloski
1 ⚽
75'
F
Bench
28
Agustin Anello
34'
F
Agustin Anello
34'
F
11
Alejandro Bedoya
M
Alejandro Bedoya
M
6
Cavan Sullivan
1 ⚽
56'
M
Cavan Sullivan
1 ⚽
56'
M
23
E. Alladoh
24'
F
E. Alladoh
24'
F
66
Finn Sundstrom
D
Finn Sundstrom
D
31
George Marks
G
George Marks
G
15
Olivier Mbaizo
D
Olivier Mbaizo
D
20
Philippe Ndinga
D
Philippe Ndinga
D
37
Stas Kornzeniowski
1 👟
24'
F
Stas Kornzeniowski
1 👟
24'
F
Best on the pitch
M. Ojeda
F · Orlando
8.50
2 ⚽
5 shots
· 32 pass
Griffin Dorsey
M · Orlando
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 24 pass
Cavan Sullivan
M · Philadelphia
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 20 pass
Iván Angulo
M · Orlando
7.70
1 shots
· 31 pass
Milan Iloski
F · Philadelphia
7.60
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 32 pass
Justin Ellis
F · Orlando
7.50
1 shots
· 31 pass
Orlando City SC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxime Crépeau | G | 99 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | — | — | — |
| David Brekalo | D | 64 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 45 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| Robin Jansson | D | 99 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 88 | 82% | — | — | — |
| Iago Silva | D | 99 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 82 | 78% | — | — | — |
| Iván Angulo | M | 99 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| Eduard Atuesta | M | 63 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 44 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Ojeda | M | 99 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 37% | 4 | — | — |
| Griffin Dorsey | M | 81 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 24 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Tiago Souza | F | 64 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 7% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Ojeda | F | 99 | 8.50 | 2 | — | 5 | 32 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| Justin Ellis | F | 70 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| Adrián Marín | D | 35 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Duncan McGuire | F | 29 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Luis Otávio | M | 36 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Marco Pašalić | F | 18 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Tyrese Spicer | F | 35 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
Philadelphia Union — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Rick | G | 99 | 4.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
| Ben Bender | D | 99 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 48 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| Olwethu Makhanya | D | 99 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 38% | 4 | — | — |
| Geiner Martínez | D | 99 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 25% | 4 | — | — |
| Nathan Harriel | D | 99 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 37 | 32% | 3 | — | — |
| Indiana Vassilev | M | 65 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Jeremy Rafanello | M | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 47% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Jovan Lukić | M | 43 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| D. Jean-Jacques | M | 99 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 49 | 45% | — | 1 | — |
| Bruno Damiani | F | 75 | 5.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Milan Iloski | F | 75 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 5 | 32 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Agustin Anello | F | 34 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Cavan Sullivan | M | 56 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 3 | 20 | 13% | — | — | — |
| E. Alladoh | F | 24 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Stas Kornzeniowski | F | 24 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Orlando City SC vs Philadelphia Union?
The final score was Orlando City SC 4–3 Philadelphia Union.
What did the model predict before Orlando City SC vs Philadelphia Union?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Orlando City SC win, 27% to a draw, and 33% to an Philadelphia Union win.