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La Liga · Regular Season - 36 May 12, 2026 21:30
Osasuna
#13 · 42 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Atletico Madrid
#4 · 66 pts
K. Barja (ast. R. Garcia) 90'+1
(pen.) 15' A. Lookman
71' (ast. M. Llorente) A. Sorloth

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Osasuna a 43% win probability (draw 24%, Atletico Madrid 31%). The final result was Osasuna 1–2 Atletico Madrid. In 1 previous meetings, Osasuna have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Atletico Madrid.

Match statistics
19
Total shots
5
5
Shots on target
4
2.16
Actual xG
1.64
2
Saves
4
58%
Possession
42%
8
Corners
4
11
Tackles
15
6
🟨 Yellow cards
5
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
J. Galan
14'
15'
(pen.) A. Lookman⚽
18'
R. Le Normand / R. Mendoza ↕
R. Garcia
30'
↕ R. Moro / K. Barja
37'
A. Budimir
45'+9
46'
A. Sorloth / T. Almada ↕
52'
M. Llorente
57'
Koke
K. Barja
57'
59'
M. Pubill
↕ R. Garcia / R. Garcia
60'
↕ J. Galan / A. Bretones
60'
71'
ast. M. Llorente · A. Sorloth⚽
↕ L. Torro / A. Oroz
72'
↕ M. Gomez / A. Osambela
72'
79'
M. Llorente
79'
M. Llorente
82'
C. Lenglet / A. Lookman ↕
83'
D. Simeone
85'
R. Le Normand
A. Catena
85'
⚽K. Barja · ast. R. Garcia
90'+1
F. Boyomo
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
43.97%
Osasuna
24.1%
X
31.93%
Atletico ←
we assigned to the actual result (Atletico Madrid) 31.93% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Osasuna
1.59
2.16
+0.57
Atletico
1.23
1.64
+0.41
Osasuna dominated by xG (2.16 vs 1.64). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Barcelona Barcelona 36 91
2 Real Madrid Real Madrid 36 80
3 Villarreal Villarreal 36 69
4 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 36 66
5 Real Betis Real Betis 36 57
6 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 36 50
7 Getafe Getafe 36 48
8 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 36 45
9 Athletic Club Athletic Club 36 44
10 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 36 44
11 Valencia Valencia 36 43
12 Sevilla Sevilla 36 43
13 Osasuna Osasuna 36 42
14 Espanyol Espanyol 36 42
15 Girona Girona 36 40
16 Alaves Alaves 36 40
17 Elche Elche 36 39
18 Mallorca Mallorca 36 39
19 Levante Levante 36 39
20 Oviedo Oviedo 36 29
Lineups
Osasuna Osasuna 4-2-3-1
13 Aitor Fernández Aitor Fernández G 6.90
20 Javi Galán Javi Galán 60' D 6.30
22 Enzo Boyomo Enzo Boyomo D 6.50
24 Catena Catena D 6.70
19 Valentin Rosier Valentin Rosier D 7.20
6 Lucas Torró Lucas Torró 72' M 6.70
7 Moncayola Moncayola M 7.00
18 Raúl Moro Raúl Moro 37' M 6.20
16 Moi Gómez Moi Gómez 72' M 7.50
14 Rubén García Rubén García 60' M 6.30
17 A. Budimir A. Budimir F 5.90
Bench
23 Abel Bretones Abel Bretones 30' D 6.50
10 Aimar Oroz Aimar Oroz 18' M 6.50
29 Asier Osambela Asier Osambela 18' M 6.00
31 Dimitrios Stamatakis Dimitrios Stamatakis G
2 Iker Benito Iker Benito F
8 Iker Muñoz Iker Muñoz M
41 Iñigo Arguibide Iñigo Arguibide D
5 Jorge Herrando Jorge Herrando D
3 Juan Cruz Juan Cruz D
11 Kike Barja Kike Barja 1 ⚽ 53' F 8.50
32 Rafa Fernandez Rafa Fernandez G
9 Raúl García de Haro Raúl García de Haro 1 👟 30' F 7.00
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 4-4-2
1 Juan Musso Juan Musso G 8.00
3 Matteo Ruggeri Matteo Ruggeri D 6.20
17 Dávid Hancko Dávid Hancko D 6.90
18 Marc Pubill Marc Pubill D 7.00
14 Marcos Llorente Marcos Llorente 1 👟 79' D 7.90
21 Obed Vargas Obed Vargas M 7.20
6 Koke Koke M 6.30
4 Rodrigo Mendoza Rodrigo Mendoza 18' M 6.50
11 T. Almada T. Almada 45' M 6.70
22 Ademola Lookman Ademola Lookman 1 ⚽ 82' F 7.50
7 Antoine Griezmann Antoine Griezmann F 6.60
Bench
40 Aleksa Purić Aleksa Purić D
9 A. Sørloth A. Sørloth 1 ⚽ 45' F 7.00
15 Clément Lenglet Clément Lenglet 8' D 6.50
37 Iker Luque Iker Luque F
13 Jan Oblak Jan Oblak G
32 Javier Boñar Javier Boñar D
47 Javi Morcillo Javi Morcillo M
34 Julio Díaz Julio Díaz M
61 Miguel Llorente Miguel Llorente F
29 Rayane Belaid Rayane Belaid F
24 Robin Le Normand Robin Le Normand 72' D 6.60
31 Salvi Esquivel Salvi Esquivel G
Best on the pitch
Kike Barja
Kike Barja
F · Osasuna
8.50
1 ⚽
3 shots · 16 pass
Juan Musso
Juan Musso
G · Atletico
8.00
· 39 pass
Marcos Llorente
Marcos Llorente
D · Atletico
7.90
1 👟
· 18 pass
Ademola Lookman
Ademola Lookman
F · Atletico
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 28 pass
Moi Gómez
Moi Gómez
M · Osasuna
7.50
· 53 pass
Valentin Rosier
Valentin Rosier
D · Osasuna
7.20
2 shots · 57 pass
Osasuna Osasuna — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Aitor Fernández G 90 6.90 — — — 27 19% — — —
Javi Galán D 60 6.30 — — — 31 29% 1 1 —
Enzo Boyomo D 90 6.50 — — — 53 50% — 1 —
Catena D 90 6.70 — — 1 56 54% 2 1 —
Valentin Rosier D 90 7.20 — — 2 57 51% 1 — —
Lucas Torró M 72 6.70 — — 2 39 31% 2 — —
Moncayola M 90 7.00 — — — 51 44% — — —
Raúl Moro M 37 6.20 — — — 8 7% — — —
Moi Gómez M 72 7.50 — — — 53 47% 3 — —
Rubén García M 60 6.30 — — 1 27 23% 1 1 —
A. Budimir F 90 5.90 — — 7 10 8% — 1 —
Abel Bretones D 30 6.50 — — — 13 13% — — —
Aimar Oroz M 18 6.50 — — 1 11 10% — — —
Asier Osambela M 18 6.00 — — 2 14 8% — — —
Kike Barja F 53 8.50 1 — 3 16 14% — 1 —
Raúl García de Haro F 30 7.00 — 1 — 11 7% 1 — —
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Juan Musso G 90 8.00 — — — 39 25% — — —
Matteo Ruggeri D 90 6.20 — — — 36 32% — — —
Dávid Hancko D 90 6.90 — — — 47 38% — — —
Marc Pubill D 90 7.00 — — 1 22 19% 3 1 —
Marcos Llorente D 79 7.90 — 1 — 18 14% 7 2 1
Obed Vargas M 90 7.20 — — — 28 22% 2 — —
Koke M 90 6.30 — — — 47 42% 1 1 —
Rodrigo Mendoza M 18 6.50 — — 1 4 2% — — —
T. Almada M 45 6.70 — — — 15 13% 1 — —
Ademola Lookman F 82 7.50 1 — 1 28 22% 1 — —
Antoine Griezmann F 90 6.60 — — — 37 31% — — —
A. Sørloth F 45 7.00 1 — 2 14 10% — — —
Clément Lenglet D 8 6.50 — — — 2 1% — — —
Robin Le Normand D 72 6.60 — — — 21 16% — 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid?
The final score was Osasuna 1–2 Atletico Madrid.
What did the model predict before Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Osasuna win, 24% to a draw, and 31% to an Atletico Madrid win.