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La Liga · Regular Season - 36 May 12, 2026 21:30
Osasuna
#11 · 7 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Atletico Madrid
#8 · 7 pts
K. Barja (ast. R. Garcia) 90'+1
(pen.) 15' A. Lookman
71' (ast. M. Llorente) A. Sorloth
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Osasuna a 43% win probability (draw 24%, Atletico Madrid 31%). The final result was Osasuna 1–2 Atletico Madrid. In 1 previous meetings, Osasuna have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Atletico Madrid.

Match statistics
19
Total shots
5
5
Shots on target
4
2.16
Actual xG
1.64
2
Saves
4
58%
Possession
42%
8
Corners
4
11
Tackles
15
6
🟨 Yellow cards
5
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
J. Galan
14'
15'
(pen.) A. Lookman⚽
18'
R. Le Normand / R. Mendoza ↕
R. Garcia
30'
↕ R. Moro / K. Barja
37'
A. Budimir
45'+9
46'
A. Sorloth / T. Almada ↕
52'
M. Llorente
57'
Koke
K. Barja
57'
59'
M. Pubill
↕ R. Garcia / R. Garcia
60'
↕ J. Galan / A. Bretones
60'
71'
ast. M. Llorente · A. Sorloth⚽
↕ L. Torro / A. Oroz
72'
↕ M. Gomez / A. Osambela
72'
79'
M. Llorente
79'
M. Llorente
82'
C. Lenglet / A. Lookman ↕
83'
D. Simeone
85'
R. Le Normand
A. Catena
85'
⚽K. Barja · ast. R. Garcia
90'+1
F. Boyomo
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
43.97%
Osasuna
24.1%
X
31.93%
Atletico ←
we assigned to the actual result (Atletico Madrid) 31.93% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Osasuna
1.59
2.16
+0.57
Atletico
1.23
1.64
+0.41
Osasuna dominated by xG (2.16 vs 1.64). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Barcelona Barcelona 4 12
2 Alaves Alaves 5 10
3 Sevilla Sevilla 5 10
4 Real Madrid Real Madrid 4 9
5 Real Betis Real Betis 4 9
6 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 4 8
7 Espanyol Espanyol 5 7
8 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 4 7
9 Racing Santander Racing Santander 5 7
10 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 5 7
11 Osasuna Osasuna 5 7
12 Athletic Club Athletic Club 4 6
13 Levante Levante 4 5
14 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 4 4
15 Getafe Getafe 4 4
16 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 5 3
17 Villarreal Villarreal 4 2
18 Malaga Malaga 4 2
19 Elche Elche 4 1
20 Valencia Valencia 5 1
Lineups
Osasuna Osasuna 4-2-3-1
13 Aitor Fernández Aitor Fernández G 6.90
20 Javi Galán Javi Galán 60' D 6.30
22 F. Boyomo F. Boyomo D 6.50
24 Catena Catena D 6.70
19 Valentin Rosier Valentin Rosier D 7.20
6 Lucas Torró Lucas Torró 72' M 6.70
7 Moncayola Moncayola M 7.00
18 Raul Moro Raul Moro 37' M 6.20
16 Moi Gómez Moi Gómez 72' M 7.50
14 Rubén García Rubén García 60' M 6.30
17 A. Budimir A. Budimir F 5.90
Bench
23 Abel Bretones Abel Bretones 30' D 6.50
10 Aimar Oroz Aimar Oroz 18' M 6.50
29 Asier Osambela Asier Osambela 18' M 6.00
31 Dimitrios Stamatakis Dimitrios Stamatakis G
2 Iker Benito Iker Benito F
8 Iker Muñoz Iker Muñoz M
41 Íñigo Arguibide Íñigo Arguibide D
5 Jorge Herrando Jorge Herrando D
3 Juan Cruz Juan Cruz D
11 Kike Barja Kike Barja 1 ⚽ 53' F 8.50
32 Rafa Fernandez Rafa Fernandez G
9 Raúl García Raúl García 1 👟 30' F 7.00
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 4-4-2
1 J. Musso J. Musso G 8.00
3 M. Ruggeri M. Ruggeri D 6.20
17 D. Hancko D. Hancko D 6.90
18 Marc Pubill Marc Pubill D 7.00
14 Marcos Llorente Marcos Llorente 1 👟 79' D 7.90
21 O. Vargas O. Vargas M 7.20
6 Koke Koke M 6.30
4 Rodrigo Mendoza Rodrigo Mendoza 18' M 6.50
11 T. Almada T. Almada 45' M 6.70
22 A. Lookman A. Lookman 1 ⚽ 82' F 7.50
7 A. Griezmann A. Griezmann F 6.60
Bench
40 Aleksa Purić Aleksa Purić D
9 A. Sørloth A. Sørloth 1 ⚽ 45' F 7.00
15 C. Lenglet C. Lenglet 8' D 6.50
37 Iker Luque Iker Luque F
32 Javier Boñar Javier Boñar D
47 J. Morcillo J. Morcillo M
13 J. Oblak J. Oblak G
34 Julio Díaz del Romo Julio Díaz del Romo M
61 Miguel Cubo Miguel Cubo F
29 Rayane Belid Rayane Belid F
24 Robin Le Normand Robin Le Normand 72' D 6.60
31 Salvi Esquivel Salvi Esquivel G
Best on the pitch
Kike Barja
Kike Barja
F · Osasuna
8.50
1 ⚽
3 shots · 16 pass
J. Musso
J. Musso
G · Atletico
8.00
· 39 pass
Marcos Llorente
Marcos Llorente
D · Atletico
7.90
1 👟
· 18 pass
A. Lookman
A. Lookman
F · Atletico
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 28 pass
Moi Gómez
Moi Gómez
M · Osasuna
7.50
· 53 pass
Valentin Rosier
Valentin Rosier
D · Osasuna
7.20
2 shots · 57 pass
Osasuna Osasuna — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Aitor Fernández G 90 6.90 — — — 27 19% — — —
Javi Galán D 60 6.30 — — — 31 29% 1 1 —
F. Boyomo D 90 6.50 — — — 53 50% — 1 —
Catena D 90 6.70 — — 1 56 54% 2 1 —
Valentin Rosier D 90 7.20 — — 2 57 51% 1 — —
Lucas Torró M 72 6.70 — — 2 39 31% 2 — —
Moncayola M 90 7.00 — — — 51 44% — — —
Raul Moro M 37 6.20 — — — 8 7% — — —
Moi Gómez M 72 7.50 — — — 53 47% 3 — —
Rubén García M 60 6.30 — — 1 27 23% 1 1 —
A. Budimir F 90 5.90 — — 7 10 8% — 1 —
Abel Bretones D 30 6.50 — — — 13 13% — — —
Aimar Oroz M 18 6.50 — — 1 11 10% — — —
Asier Osambela M 18 6.00 — — 2 14 8% — — —
Kike Barja F 53 8.50 1 — 3 16 14% — 1 —
Raúl García F 30 7.00 — 1 — 11 7% 1 — —
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Musso G 90 8.00 — — — 39 25% — — —
M. Ruggeri D 90 6.20 — — — 36 32% — — —
D. Hancko D 90 6.90 — — — 47 38% — — —
Marc Pubill D 90 7.00 — — 1 22 19% 3 1 —
Marcos Llorente D 79 7.90 — 1 — 18 14% 7 2 1
O. Vargas M 90 7.20 — — — 28 22% 2 — —
Koke M 90 6.30 — — — 47 42% 1 1 —
Rodrigo Mendoza M 18 6.50 — — 1 4 2% — — —
T. Almada M 45 6.70 — — — 15 13% 1 — —
A. Lookman F 82 7.50 1 — 1 28 22% 1 — —
A. Griezmann F 90 6.60 — — — 37 31% — — —
A. Sørloth F 45 7.00 1 — 2 14 10% — — —
C. Lenglet D 8 6.50 — — — 2 1% — — —
Robin Le Normand D 72 6.60 — — — 21 16% — 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid?
The final score was Osasuna 1–2 Atletico Madrid.
What did the model predict before Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Osasuna win, 24% to a draw, and 31% to an Atletico Madrid win.