La Liga
· Regular Season - 34
May 02, 2026 21:00
R. Garcia
(ast. A. Bretones)
88'
81'
(ast. M. Rashford)
R. Lewandowski
86'
(ast. Fermin)
F. Torres
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Barcelona a 53% win probability (draw 21%, Osasuna 24%). The final result was Osasuna 1–2 Barcelona. In 1 previous meetings, Osasuna have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Barcelona.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
10
4
Shots on target
4
0.91
Actual xG
1.20
2
Saves
3
30%
Possession
70%
3
Corners
7
13
Tackles
22
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
24'
Gavi
60'
E. Garcia
62'
F. Torres
/
D. Olmo
62'
F. de Jong
/
Gavi
62'
M. Rashford
/
R. Bardghji
A. Budimir
/ R. Garcia
70'
M. Gomez
/ A. Oroz
70'
J. Moncayola
74'
81'
ast. M. Rashford ·
R. Lewandowski⚽
82'
R. Araujo
/
E. Garcia
L. Torro
/ K. Barja
85'
J. Moncayola
/ A. Osambela
85'
R. Garcia
/ A. Bretones
86'
86'
ast. Fermin ·
F. Torres⚽
88'
M. Bernal
/
Pedri
⚽R. Garcia
· ast. A. Bretones
88'
K. Barja
90'+9
Pre-match prediction
24.9%
Osasuna
21.81%
X
53.28%
Barcelona ←
we assigned to the actual result (Barcelona)
53.28%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.26
0.91
-0.35
1.90
1.20
-0.7
xG dominance was balanced (0.91 – 1.20).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Sergio Herrera
G
Sergio Herrera
G
20
Javi Galán
D
Javi Galán
D
22
F. Boyomo
D
F. Boyomo
D
24
Catena
D
Catena
D
19
V. Rosier
D
V. Rosier
D
7
Moncayola
85'
M
Moncayola
85'
M
6
Lucas Torró
85'
M
Lucas Torró
85'
M
18
Raul Moro
M
Raul Moro
M
16
Moi Gómez
70'
M
Moi Gómez
70'
M
14
Rubén García
86'
M
Rubén García
86'
M
17
A. Budimir
70'
F
A. Budimir
70'
F
Bench
10
Aimar Oroz
20'
M
Aimar Oroz
20'
M
29
Asier Osambela
13'
M
Asier Osambela
13'
M
8
Iker Muñoz
M
Iker Muñoz
M
5
Jorge Herrando
D
Jorge Herrando
D
3
Juan Cruz
D
Juan Cruz
D
11
Kike Barja
13'
F
Kike Barja
13'
F
9
Raúl García
1 ⚽
20'
F
Raúl García
1 ⚽
20'
F
13
G
2
João Cancelo
D
João Cancelo
D
18
Gerard Martín
D
Gerard Martín
D
5
Pau Cubarsí Paredes
D
Pau Cubarsí Paredes
D
24
Eric García
82'
D
Eric García
82'
D
8
Pedri
88'
M
Pedri
88'
M
6
Gavi
62'
M
Gavi
62'
M
16
Fermín
1 👟
M
Fermín
1 👟
M
20
Dani Olmo
62'
M
Dani Olmo
62'
M
19
R. Bardghji
62'
M
R. Bardghji
62'
M
9
R. Lewandowski
1 ⚽
F
R. Lewandowski
1 ⚽
F
Bench
3
Alejandro Balde
D
Alejandro Balde
D
21
F. de Jong
28'
M
F. de Jong
28'
M
7
Ferran Torres
1 ⚽
28'
F
Ferran Torres
1 ⚽
28'
F
17
Marc Casadó
M
Marc Casadó
M
14
M. Rashford
1 👟
28'
F
M. Rashford
1 👟
28'
F
11
Raphinha
F
Raphinha
F
4
R. Araújo
8'
D
R. Araújo
8'
D
Best on the pitch
Fermín
M · Barcelona
7.70
1 👟
3 shots
· 34 pass
Pedri
M · Barcelona
7.70
· 87 pass
Ferran Torres
F · Barcelona
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 20 pass
Catena
D · Osasuna
7.30
· 31 pass
Raúl García
F · Osasuna
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 6 pass
João Cancelo
D · Barcelona
7.30
· 61 pass
Osasuna — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sergio Herrera | G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 34 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Javi Galán | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Boyomo | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Catena | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| V. Rosier | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Moncayola | M | 85 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 21% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Lucas Torró | M | 85 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Raul Moro | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Moi Gómez | M | 70 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| Rubén García | M | 86 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Budimir | F | 70 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Aimar Oroz | M | 20 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Asier Osambela | M | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Kike Barja | F | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Raúl García | F | 20 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
Barcelona — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | — | — | — | |
| João Cancelo | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 61 | 53% | 4 | — | — |
| Gerard Martín | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 79 | 71% | 1 | — | — |
| Pau Cubarsí Paredes | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 82 | 78% | 3 | — | — |
| Eric García | D | 82 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 77 | 67% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Pedri | M | 88 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 87 | 84% | 1 | — | — |
| Gavi | M | 62 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 57 | 55% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Fermín | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 3 | 34 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| Dani Olmo | M | 62 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 27% | — | — | — |
| R. Bardghji | M | 62 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Lewandowski | F | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 20 | 17% | — | — | — |
| F. de Jong | M | 28 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 29 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| Ferran Torres | F | 28 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 20 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Rashford | F | 28 | 6.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| R. Araújo | D | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Osasuna vs Barcelona?
The final score was Osasuna 1–2 Barcelona.
What did the model predict before Osasuna vs Barcelona?
The model assigned 24% probability to a Osasuna win, 21% to a draw, and 53% to an Barcelona win.