La Liga
· Regular Season - 31
April 12, 2026 14:00
A. Budimir
40'
(pen.)
7'
(ast. H. Bellerin)
A. Ezzalzouli
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Osasuna a 42% win probability (draw 28%, Real Betis 28%). The final result was Osasuna 1–1 Real Betis. In 2 previous meetings, Osasuna have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Real Betis.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
3
4
Shots on target
3
1.32
Actual xG
0.40
2
Saves
3
51%
Possession
49%
6
Corners
3
12
Tackles
15
3
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
7'
ast. H. Bellerin ·
A. Ezzalzouli⚽
24'
Sergi Altimira
29'
Héctor Bellerín
Alejandro Catena
34'
39'
Antony
⚽A. Budimir
(pen.)
40'
Jorge Herrando
44'
J. Herrando
/ J. Cruz
46'
46'
A. Ruibal
/
H. Bellerin
46'
R. Riquelme
/
Antony
Juan Cruz
67'
67'
Cucho Hernández
R. Garcia
/ R. Moro
72'
74'
N. Deossa
/
S. Altimira
74'
G. Lo Celso
/
P. Fornals
A. Budimir
/ R. Garcia
81'
A. Oroz
/ K. Barja
81'
I. Munoz
/ L. Torro
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
42.82%
Osasuna
28.42%
X ←
28.76%
Real
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
28.42%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.25
1.32
+0.07
1.06
0.40
-0.66
Osasuna dominated by xG (1.32 vs 0.40).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Sergio Herrera
G
Sergio Herrera
G
20
Javi Galán
D
Javi Galán
D
5
Jorge Herrando
45'
D
Jorge Herrando
45'
D
24
Catena
D
Catena
D
19
V. Rosier
D
V. Rosier
D
8
Iker Muñoz
89'
M
Iker Muñoz
89'
M
7
Moncayola
M
Moncayola
M
21
Víctor Muñoz
M
Víctor Muñoz
M
10
Aimar Oroz
81'
M
Aimar Oroz
81'
M
14
Rubén García
72'
M
Rubén García
72'
M
17
A. Budimir
1 ⚽
81'
F
A. Budimir
1 ⚽
81'
F
Bench
3
Juan Cruz
45'
D
Juan Cruz
45'
D
11
Kike Barja
9'
F
Kike Barja
9'
F
6
Lucas Torró
1'
M
Lucas Torró
1'
M
16
Moi Gómez
F
Moi Gómez
F
9
Raúl García
9'
F
Raúl García
9'
F
18
Raul Moro
18'
F
Raul Moro
18'
F
1
G
16
D
4
Natan
D
Natan
D
3
D
2
Héctor Bellerín
1 👟
45'
D
Héctor Bellerín
1 👟
45'
D
6
Sergi Altimira
74'
M
Sergi Altimira
74'
M
14
S. Amrabat
M
S. Amrabat
M
10
A. Ezzalzouli
1 ⚽
M
A. Ezzalzouli
1 ⚽
M
8
Pablo Fornals
74'
M
Pablo Fornals
74'
M
7
Antony
45'
M
Antony
45'
M
19
C. Hernández
F
C. Hernández
F
Bench
24
Aitor Ruibal
45'
F
Aitor Ruibal
45'
F
15
Álvaro Fidalgo
M
Álvaro Fidalgo
M
20
G. Lo Celso
16'
M
G. Lo Celso
16'
M
5
Marc Bartra
D
Marc Bartra
D
21
Marc Roca
M
Marc Roca
M
17
Rodrigo Riquelme
45'
M
Rodrigo Riquelme
45'
M
12
R. Rodríguez
D
R. Rodríguez
D
Best on the pitch
A. Ezzalzouli
M · Real
8.00
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 33 pass
Aimar Oroz
M · Osasuna
7.30
· 35 pass
G · Real
7.30
· 32 pass
Juan Cruz
D · Osasuna
7.20
· 19 pass
G. Lo Celso
M · Real
7.00
· 20 pass
Víctor Muñoz
M · Osasuna
7.00
1 shots
· 40 pass
Osasuna — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sergio Herrera | G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Javi Galán | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 44 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| Jorge Herrando | D | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 39 | 34% | — | 1 | — |
| Catena | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 66 | 59% | 2 | 1 | — |
| V. Rosier | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| Iker Muñoz | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| Moncayola | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 37 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Víctor Muñoz | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Aimar Oroz | M | 81 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Rubén García | M | 72 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 29 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Budimir | F | 81 | 6.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Juan Cruz | D | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| Kike Barja | F | 9 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Torró | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Raúl García | F | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Raul Moro | F | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
Real Betis — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 21 | 15% | 1 | — | — | |
| Natan | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 50 | 39% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 53 | 43% | — | — | — | |
| Héctor Bellerín | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | 1 | — | 28 | 26% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Sergi Altimira | M | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 34% | 1 | 1 | — |
| S. Amrabat | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 40% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Ezzalzouli | M | 90 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 3 | 33 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| Pablo Fornals | M | 74 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 38 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| Antony | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 14% | — | 1 | — |
| C. Hernández | F | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Aitor Ruibal | F | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Lo Celso | M | 16 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Riquelme | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Osasuna vs Real Betis?
The final score was Osasuna 1–1 Real Betis.
What did the model predict before Osasuna vs Real Betis?
The model assigned 42% probability to a Osasuna win, 28% to a draw, and 28% to an Real Betis win.