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Ovarense - Os Marialvas

Taça de Portugal September 20, 2026 16:00
Ovarense
vs
Os Marialvas
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.33%
Win
Ovarense
33.33%
Draw
33.33%
Win
Os Marialvas
4.26
Expected xG
3.81

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (11.49%)
1X2 Result
1 33%
X 33%
2 33%
Double Chance
1X 67%
X2 67%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 52%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Ovarense a 33% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 33% for Os Marialvas. Expected goals are 4.3 for Ovarense and 3.8 for Os Marialvas (total 8.1), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.49% probability.

Season Stats

Ovarense
1W 1D 0L
Os Marialvas
2W 1D 0L
Averages per game
4.5
Goals
1.7
1.5
Conceded
0.0
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
33%
100%
O 2.5
33%
100%
BTTS
0%
0%
Clean Sht
100%
ℹ Based on the last 3 matches in Taça de Portugal. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
67%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
Ovarense
1W 1D 0L · at home
Os Marialvas
2W 1D 0L · away
4.5
gls/g
1.7
1.5
Conceded
0.0
50%
Win %
67%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
33%
100%
O 2.5
33%
100%
O 3.5
33%
100%
BTTS
0%
0%
Clean Sht
100%
0%
Failed to Score
33%
last 3
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Ovarense Os Marialvas →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 — 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
1 0.1% 0.5% 1.0% 1.2% 1.2% 0.9%
2 0.3% 1.1% 2.1% 2.6% 2.5% 1.9%
3 0.4% 1.5% 2.9% 3.7% 3.5% 2.7%
4 0.4% 1.6% 3.1% 4.0% 3.8% 2.9%
5 0.4% 1.4% 2.6% 3.4% 3.2% 2.4%

Recent form

Ovarense Ovarense
D SC Covilha 2–2
W SC Celoricense 7–1
Os Marialvas Os Marialvas
W AD Fornos Algodres 0–4
D Mortágua 0–0
W Academica 0–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 45%

Playing profile

Ovarense Ovarense
Attack
73
Defence
62
Form
67
Os Marialvas Os Marialvas
Attack
52
Defence
100
Form
72
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Ovarense vs Os Marialvas?
The model gives Ovarense a 33% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 33% for an Os Marialvas win.
How many goals are expected in Ovarense vs Os Marialvas?
Expected goals: Ovarense 4.3, Os Marialvas 3.8 (total 8.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Ovarense vs Os Marialvas?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.49%.