17'
(ast. A. Rebbach)
T. Martinez
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Alaves a 41% win probability (draw 27%, Oviedo 31%). The final result was Oviedo 0–1 Alaves. In 1 previous meetings, Oviedo have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Alaves.
Match statistics
3
Total shots
5
0
Shots on target
1
0.31
Actual xG
1.46
70%
Possession
30%
5
Corners
2
10
Tackles
20
3
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
17'
ast. A. Rebbach ·
T. Martinez⚽
N. Fonseca
/ T. Fernandez
46'
46'
Yusi
/
A. Rebbach
T. Fernandez
48'
F. Vinas
65'
S. Colombatto
/ I. Chaira
66'
69'
A. Manas
/
I. Diabate
69'
P. Ibanez
/
D. Suarez
L. Ahijado
71'
F. Vinas
/ A. Fores
79'
H. Hassan
/ T. Borbas
79'
82'
L. Boye
/
T. Martinez
L. Ahijado
/ N. Vidal
85'
87'
C. Protesoni
/
J. Guridi
90'+4
Yusi
Pre-match prediction
31.11%
Oviedo
27.32%
X
41.57%
Alaves ←
we assigned to the actual result (Alaves)
41.57%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.02
0.31
-0.71
1.17
1.46
+0.29
Alaves dominated by xG (1.46 vs 0.31).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Horațiu Moldovan
G
Horațiu Moldovan
G
25
Javi López
D
Javi López
D
12
Dani Calvo
D
Dani Calvo
D
4
David Costas
D
David Costas
D
24
Lucas Ahijado
85'
D
Lucas Ahijado
85'
D
11
Santiago Colombatto
66'
M
Santiago Colombatto
66'
M
23
N. Fonseca
45'
M
N. Fonseca
45'
M
5
Alberto Reina
M
Alberto Reina
M
8
Santi Cazorla
M
Santi Cazorla
M
10
H. Hassan
79'
M
H. Hassan
79'
M
9
F. Viñas
79'
F
F. Viñas
79'
F
Bench
13
Aarón Escandell
G
Aarón Escandell
G
19
Álex Forés
12'
F
Álex Forés
12'
F
16
David Carmo
D
David Carmo
D
2
E. Bailly
D
E. Bailly
D
7
Ilyas Chaira
25'
F
Ilyas Chaira
25'
F
6
K. Sibo
M
K. Sibo
M
21
Luka Ilić
M
Luka Ilić
M
26
Miguel Narvaez
G
Miguel Narvaez
G
22
Nacho Vidal
6'
D
Nacho Vidal
6'
D
3
R. Alhassane
D
R. Alhassane
D
17
T. Borbas
12'
F
T. Borbas
12'
F
15
T. Fernández
46'
F
T. Fernández
46'
F
1
Sivera
G
Sivera
G
24
Víctor Parada
D
Víctor Parada
D
16
V. Koski
D
V. Koski
D
14
N. Tenaglia
D
N. Tenaglia
D
21
A. Rebbach
1 👟
45'
M
A. Rebbach
1 👟
45'
M
4
Denis Suárez
69'
M
Denis Suárez
69'
M
8
Antonio Blanco
M
Antonio Blanco
M
18
Jon Guridi
87'
M
Jon Guridi
87'
M
7
Angel Pérez
M
Angel Pérez
M
11
Toni Martínez
1 ⚽
82'
F
Toni Martínez
1 ⚽
82'
F
22
Ibrahim Diabaté
68'
F
Ibrahim Diabaté
68'
F
Bench
34
Aitor Mañas
23'
F
Aitor Mañas
23'
F
20
Calebe
M
Calebe
M
10
Carles Aleñá
M
Carles Aleñá
M
23
C. Benavídez
4'
M
C. Benavídez
4'
M
6
Guevara
M
Guevara
M
17
Jonny
D
Jonny
D
5
Jon Pacheco
D
Jon Pacheco
D
15
L. Boyé
9'
F
L. Boyé
9'
F
9
M. Díaz
F
M. Díaz
F
19
Pablo Ibáñez
22'
M
Pablo Ibáñez
22'
M
13
Raúl Fernández
G
Raúl Fernández
G
3
Yusi
46'
D
Yusi
46'
D
Best on the pitch
A. Rebbach
M · Alaves
7.70
1 👟
· 12 pass
Santi Cazorla
M · Oviedo
7.70
· 63 pass
Dani Calvo
D · Oviedo
7.50
· 68 pass
Angel Pérez
M · Alaves
7.00
1 shots
· 11 pass
Jon Guridi
M · Alaves
7.00
1 shots
· 25 pass
Alberto Reina
M · Oviedo
7.00
· 49 pass
Oviedo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Horațiu Moldovan | G | 91 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 34 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Javi López | D | 91 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 55 | 45% | — | — | — |
| Dani Calvo | D | 91 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 68 | 66% | 2 | — | — |
| David Costas | D | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 52% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Ahijado | D | 85 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 44% | — | 1 | — |
| Santiago Colombatto | M | 66 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 51 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Fonseca | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 31 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Alberto Reina | M | 91 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 49 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| Santi Cazorla | M | 91 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 63 | 58% | 3 | — | — |
| H. Hassan | M | 79 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | — | — | — |
| F. Viñas | F | 79 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Álex Forés | F | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Ilyas Chaira | F | 25 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Nacho Vidal | D | 6 | — | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| T. Borbas | F | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| T. Fernández | F | 46 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
Alaves — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sivera | G | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Víctor Parada | D | 91 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | — | — | — |
| V. Koski | D | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Tenaglia | D | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 17% | 4 | — | — |
| A. Rebbach | M | 45 | 7.70 | — | 1 | — | 12 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| Denis Suárez | M | 69 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 19 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Antonio Blanco | M | 91 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Jon Guridi | M | 87 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| Angel Pérez | M | 91 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Toni Martínez | F | 82 | 6.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 14 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Ibrahim Diabaté | F | 68 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Aitor Mañas | F | 23 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| C. Benavídez | M | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Boyé | F | 9 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Pablo Ibáñez | M | 22 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | 4 | — | — |
| Yusi | D | 46 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Oviedo vs Alaves?
The final score was Oviedo 0–1 Alaves.
What did the model predict before Oviedo vs Alaves?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Oviedo win, 27% to a draw, and 41% to an Alaves win.