17'
(ast. A. Rebbach)
T. Martinez
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Alaves a 41% win probability (draw 27%, Oviedo 31%). The final result was Oviedo 0–1 Alaves. In 1 previous meetings, Oviedo have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Alaves.
Match statistics
3
Total shots
5
0
Shots on target
1
0.31
Actual xG
1.46
70%
Possession
30%
5
Corners
2
10
Tackles
20
3
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
17'
ast. A. Rebbach ·
T. Martinez⚽
N. Fonseca
/ T. Fernandez
46'
46'
Yusi
/
A. Rebbach
T. Fernandez
48'
F. Vinas
65'
S. Colombatto
/ I. Chaira
66'
69'
A. Manas
/
I. Diabate
69'
P. Ibanez
/
D. Suarez
L. Ahijado
71'
F. Vinas
/ A. Fores
79'
H. Hassan
/ T. Borbas
79'
82'
L. Boye
/
T. Martinez
L. Ahijado
/ N. Vidal
85'
87'
C. Protesoni
/
J. Guridi
90'+4
Yusi
Pre-match prediction
31.11%
Oviedo
27.32%
X
41.57%
Alaves ←
we assigned to the actual result (Alaves)
41.57%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.02
0.31
-0.71
1.17
1.46
+0.29
Alaves dominated by xG (1.46 vs 0.31).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Horațiu Moldovan
G
Horațiu Moldovan
G
25
Javi López
D
Javi López
D
12
Dani Calvo
D
Dani Calvo
D
4
David Costas
D
David Costas
D
24
Lucas Ahijado
85'
D
Lucas Ahijado
85'
D
11
Santiago Colombatto
66'
M
Santiago Colombatto
66'
M
23
Nicolas Fonseca
45'
M
Nicolas Fonseca
45'
M
5
Alberto Reina
M
Alberto Reina
M
8
Santi Cazorla
M
Santi Cazorla
M
10
Haissem Hassan
79'
M
Haissem Hassan
79'
M
9
Federico Viñas
79'
F
Federico Viñas
79'
F
Bench
13
Aarón Escandell
G
Aarón Escandell
G
3
Abdel Rahim
D
19
Álex Forés
12'
F
Álex Forés
12'
F
16
David Carmo
D
2
Eric Bailly
D
Eric Bailly
D
7
Ilyas Chaira
25'
F
Ilyas Chaira
25'
F
6
Kwasi Sibo
M
Kwasi Sibo
M
21
Luka Ilić
M
Luka Ilić
M
26
Miguel Narvaez
G
Miguel Narvaez
G
22
Nacho Vidal
6'
D
Nacho Vidal
6'
D
17
Thiago Borbas
12'
F
Thiago Borbas
12'
F
15
Thiago Fernández
46'
F
Thiago Fernández
46'
F
1
Antonio Sivera
G
Antonio Sivera
G
24
Victor Parada
D
Victor Parada
D
16
Ville Koski
D
Ville Koski
D
14
Nahuel Tenaglia
D
Nahuel Tenaglia
D
21
Abderrahman Rebbach
1 👟
45'
M
Abderrahman Rebbach
1 👟
45'
M
4
Denis Suárez
69'
M
Denis Suárez
69'
M
8
Antonio Blanco
M
Antonio Blanco
M
18
Jon Guridi
87'
M
Jon Guridi
87'
M
7
Ángel Pérez
M
Ángel Pérez
M
11
Toni Martínez
1 ⚽
82'
F
Toni Martínez
1 ⚽
82'
F
22
Ibrahim Diabaté
68'
F
Ibrahim Diabaté
68'
F
Bench
34
Aitor Mañas
23'
F
Aitor Mañas
23'
F
20
Calebe Gonçalves
M
Calebe Gonçalves
M
10
Carles Aleñá
M
Carles Aleñá
M
23
Carlos Benavídez
4'
M
Carlos Benavídez
4'
M
6
Guevara
M
Guevara
M
17
Jonny Otto
D
Jonny Otto
D
5
Jon Pacheco
D
Jon Pacheco
D
15
L. Boyé
9'
F
L. Boyé
9'
F
9
Mariano Díaz
F
19
Pablo Ibáñez
22'
M
Pablo Ibáñez
22'
M
13
Raúl Fernández
G
Raúl Fernández
G
3
Yusi
46'
D
Yusi
46'
D
Best on the pitch
Abderrahman Rebbach
M · Alaves
7.70
1 👟
· 12 pass
Santi Cazorla
M · Oviedo
7.70
· 63 pass
Dani Calvo
D · Oviedo
7.50
· 68 pass
Ángel Pérez
M · Alaves
7.00
1 shots
· 11 pass
Jon Guridi
M · Alaves
7.00
1 shots
· 25 pass
Alberto Reina
M · Oviedo
7.00
· 49 pass
Oviedo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Horațiu Moldovan | G | 91 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 34 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Javi López | D | 91 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 55 | 45% | — | — | — |
| Dani Calvo | D | 91 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 68 | 66% | 2 | — | — |
| David Costas | D | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 52% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Ahijado | D | 85 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 44% | — | 1 | — |
| Santiago Colombatto | M | 66 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 51 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| Nicolas Fonseca | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 31 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Alberto Reina | M | 91 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 49 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| Santi Cazorla | M | 91 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 63 | 58% | 3 | — | — |
| Haissem Hassan | M | 79 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Federico Viñas | F | 79 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Álex Forés | F | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Ilyas Chaira | F | 25 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Nacho Vidal | D | 6 | — | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Thiago Borbas | F | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Thiago Fernández | F | 46 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
Alaves — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Sivera | G | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Victor Parada | D | 91 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Ville Koski | D | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Nahuel Tenaglia | D | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 17% | 4 | — | — |
| Abderrahman Rebbach | M | 45 | 7.70 | — | 1 | — | 12 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| Denis Suárez | M | 69 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 19 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Antonio Blanco | M | 91 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Jon Guridi | M | 87 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| Ángel Pérez | M | 91 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Toni Martínez | F | 82 | 6.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 14 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Ibrahim Diabaté | F | 68 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Aitor Mañas | F | 23 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Carlos Benavídez | M | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Boyé | F | 9 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Pablo Ibáñez | M | 22 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | 4 | — | — |
| Yusi | D | 46 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Oviedo vs Alaves?
The final score was Oviedo 0–1 Alaves.
What did the model predict before Oviedo vs Alaves?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Oviedo win, 27% to a draw, and 41% to an Alaves win.