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La Liga · Regular Season - 32 April 26, 2026 18:15
Oviedo
#20 · 29 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Elche
#17 · 39 pts
I. Chaira (ast. A. Escandell) 76'
6' (ast. M. Aguado) P. Bigas
16' (ast. A. Rodriguez) G. Villar

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Oviedo a 45% win probability (draw 27%, Elche 26%). The final result was Oviedo 1–2 Elche. In 1 previous meetings, Oviedo have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Elche.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
4
4
Shots on target
4
1.07
Actual xG
0.42
2
Saves
3
60%
Possession
40%
6
Corners
1
19
Tackles
22
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
6'
ast. M. Aguado · P. Bigas⚽
16'
ast. A. Rodriguez · G. Villar⚽
↕ K. Sibo / T. Fernandez
46'
↕ R. Alhassane / S. Cazorla
58'
↕ H. Hassan / T. Borbas
59'
62'
Tete Morente / H. Fort ↕
N. Fonseca
63'
↕ D. Carmo / J. Lopez
65'
69'
J. Donald / M. Aguado ↕
69'
G. Valera / Andre Silva ↕
T. Fernandez
75'
↕ N. Fonseca / S. Colombatto
76'
⚽I. Chaira · ast. A. Escandell
76'
82'
L. Petrot / A. Pedrosa ↕
82'
V. Chust / Buba Sangare ↕
90'+5
G. Valera
Pre-match prediction
45.52%
Oviedo
27.55%
X
26.93%
Elche ←
we assigned to the actual result (Elche) 26.93% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Oviedo
1.35
1.07
-0.28
Elche
0.97
0.42
-0.55
Oviedo dominated by xG (1.07 vs 0.42). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Barcelona Barcelona 36 91
2 Real Madrid Real Madrid 36 80
3 Villarreal Villarreal 36 69
4 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 36 66
5 Real Betis Real Betis 36 57
6 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 36 50
7 Getafe Getafe 36 48
8 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 36 45
9 Athletic Club Athletic Club 36 44
10 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 36 44
11 Valencia Valencia 36 43
12 Sevilla Sevilla 36 43
13 Osasuna Osasuna 36 42
14 Espanyol Espanyol 36 42
15 Girona Girona 36 40
16 Alaves Alaves 36 40
17 Elche Elche 36 39
18 Mallorca Mallorca 36 39
19 Levante Levante 36 39
20 Oviedo Oviedo 36 29
Lineups
Oviedo Oviedo 4-2-3-1
13 Aarón Escandell Aarón Escandell 1 👟 G 7.00
3 Abdel Rahim Abdel Rahim 58' D 6.00
16 David Carmo David Carmo 65' D 5.90
4
D 6.60
22 Nacho Vidal Nacho Vidal D 6.30
23 Nicolas Fonseca Nicolas Fonseca 76' M 7.20
6 Kwasi Sibo Kwasi Sibo 45' M 6.70
7 Ilyas Chaira Ilyas Chaira 1 ⚽ M 7.90
5 Alberto Reina Alberto Reina M 5.90
10 Haissem Hassan Haissem Hassan 58' M 6.60
9 Federico Viñas Federico Viñas F 6.90
Bench
2 Eric Bailly Eric Bailly D
25 Javi López Javi López 30' D 6.70
11 Santiago Colombatto Santiago Colombatto 19' M 6.90
15 Thiago Fernández Thiago Fernández 50' F 6.50
Elche Elche 5-3-2
1
G 8.00
3 Adrià Pedrosa Adrià Pedrosa 82' D 6.30
6 Pedro Bigas Pedro Bigas 1 ⚽ D 8.00
22 David Affengruber David Affengruber D 6.90
42 Buba Sangare Buba Sangare 82' D 6.60
39 Hector Fort Hector Fort 62' D 6.50
14 Aleix Febas Aleix Febas M 6.30
8 Marc Aguado Marc Aguado 1 👟 69' M 7.00
12 Gonzalo Villar Gonzalo Villar 1 ⚽ M 8.30
20 Álvaro Rodriguez Álvaro Rodriguez 1 👟 F 6.60
9 André Silva André Silva 69' F 6.90
Bench
11 Germán Valera Germán Valera 26' F 6.70
19 Grady Diangana Grady Diangana F
18 John Donald John Donald 26' D 6.30
21 Léo Pétrot Léo Pétrot 13' D 6.30
24 Lucas Cepeda Lucas Cepeda F
16 Martim Neto Martim Neto M
10
Rafa Mir F
15 Tete Morente Tete Morente 33' F 6.90
23 Víctor Chust Víctor Chust 13' D 6.30
Best on the pitch
Gonzalo Villar
Gonzalo Villar
M · Elche
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 35 pass
G · Elche
8.00
· 44 pass
Pedro Bigas
Pedro Bigas
D · Elche
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots · 21 pass
Ilyas Chaira
Ilyas Chaira
M · Oviedo
7.90
1 ⚽
6 shots · 25 pass
Nicolas Fonseca
Nicolas Fonseca
M · Oviedo
7.20
· 50 pass
Aarón Escandell
Aarón Escandell
G · Oviedo
7.00
1 👟
· 25 pass
Oviedo Oviedo — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Aarón Escandell G 95 7.00 — 1 — 25 18% — — —
Abdel Rahim D 58 6.00 — — — 22 17% — — —
David Carmo D 65 5.90 — — — 37 28% 2 — —
D 95 6.60 — — — 65 61% — — —
Nacho Vidal D 95 6.30 — — — 56 49% 4 — —
Nicolas Fonseca M 76 7.20 — — — 50 42% 4 1 —
Kwasi Sibo M 45 6.70 — — — 26 22% 1 — —
Ilyas Chaira M 95 7.90 1 — 6 25 18% 1 — —
Alberto Reina M 95 5.90 — — — 29 26% 1 — —
Haissem Hassan M 58 6.60 — — — 19 18% 3 — —
Federico Viñas F 95 6.90 — — 2 25 18% 1 — —
Javi López D 30 6.70 — — — 10 9% 1 — —
Santiago Colombatto M 19 6.90 — — — 15 12% — — —
Thiago Fernández F 50 6.50 — — — 15 14% 1 1 —
Elche Elche — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 95 8.00 — — — 44 28% — — —
Adrià Pedrosa D 82 6.30 — — — 22 17% 2 — —
Pedro Bigas D 95 8.00 1 — 1 21 15% 2 — —
David Affengruber D 95 6.90 — — 1 33 25% 2 — —
Buba Sangare D 82 6.60 — — — 11 9% 4 — —
Hector Fort D 62 6.50 — — — 13 8% 2 — —
Aleix Febas M 95 6.30 — — — 35 32% 3 — —
Marc Aguado M 69 7.00 — 1 — 28 27% 1 — —
Gonzalo Villar M 95 8.30 1 — 1 35 31% 1 — —
Álvaro Rodriguez F 95 6.60 — 1 — 29 18% 1 — —
André Silva F 69 6.90 — — 1 20 17% 1 — —
Germán Valera F 26 6.70 — — — 2 2% 1 — —
John Donald D 26 6.30 — — — 1 1% — — —
Léo Pétrot D 13 6.30 — — — 1 1% — — —
Tete Morente F 33 6.90 — — — 9 6% 2 — —
Víctor Chust D 13 6.30 — — — — — — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Oviedo vs Elche?
The final score was Oviedo 1–2 Elche.
What did the model predict before Oviedo vs Elche?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Oviedo win, 27% to a draw, and 26% to an Elche win.