F. Vinas
(ast. A. Reina)
32'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Oviedo a 46% win probability (draw 30%, Sevilla 23%). The final result was Oviedo 1–0 Sevilla. In 1 previous meetings, Oviedo have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Sevilla.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
7
4
Shots on target
0
0.61
Actual xG
0.65
0
Saves
3
70%
Possession
30%
5
Corners
9
10
Tackles
13
5
🟨 Yellow cards
3
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
Federico Viñas
13'
⚽F. Vinas
· ast. A. Reina
32'
38'
Tanguy Nianzou
43'
José Ángel Carmona
46'
M. Bueno
/
D. Sow
46'
Castrin
/
J. A. Carmona
Javi López
53'
54'
Kike Salas
K. Sibo
/ S. Colombatto
59'
F. Vinas
/ T. Borbas
59'
69'
Manu Bueno
A. Reina
/ S. Cazorla
72'
T. Fernandez
/ H. Hassan
72'
72'
I. Romero
/
B. Mendy
73'
G. Suazo
/
Oso
80'
C. Ejuke
/
R. Vargas
J. Lopez
/ R. Alhassane
85'
Nicolas Fonseca
89'
Ilyas Chaira
90'+2
Eric Bailly
90'
Pre-match prediction
46.27%
Oviedo ←
30.55%
X
23.17%
Sevilla
we assigned to the actual result (Oviedo)
46.27%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.21
0.61
-0.6
0.71
0.65
-0.06
xG dominance was balanced (0.61 – 0.65).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
Aarón Escandell
G
Aarón Escandell
G
25
Javi López
85'
D
Javi López
85'
D
12
D
2
E. Bailly
D
E. Bailly
D
22
Nacho Vidal
D
Nacho Vidal
D
23
N. Fonseca
M
N. Fonseca
M
6
K. Sibo
59'
M
K. Sibo
59'
M
15
T. Fernández
72'
M
T. Fernández
72'
M
5
Alberto Reina
1 👟
72'
M
Alberto Reina
1 👟
72'
M
7
Ilyas Chaira
M
Ilyas Chaira
M
9
F. Viñas
1 ⚽
59'
F
F. Viñas
1 ⚽
59'
F
Bench
10
H. Hassan
18'
F
H. Hassan
18'
F
3
R. Alhassane
9'
D
R. Alhassane
9'
D
11
Santiago Colombatto
31'
M
Santiago Colombatto
31'
M
1
G
36
Oso
73'
D
Oso
73'
D
4
Kike Salas
D
Kike Salas
D
5
T. Nianzou
38'
D
T. Nianzou
38'
D
2
José Ángel Carmona
45'
D
José Ángel Carmona
45'
D
6
N. Gudelj
M
N. Gudelj
M
19
Batista Mendy
72'
M
Batista Mendy
72'
M
11
R. Vargas
80'
M
R. Vargas
80'
M
20
D. Sow
45'
M
D. Sow
45'
M
16
Juanlu Sánchez
M
Juanlu Sánchez
M
9
A. Adams
F
A. Adams
F
Bench
32
Andrés Castrín
45'
D
Andrés Castrín
45'
D
10
A. Sánchez
F
A. Sánchez
F
21
C. Ejuke
10'
F
C. Ejuke
10'
F
12
G. Suazo
17'
D
G. Suazo
17'
D
7
Isaac
18'
F
Isaac
18'
F
28
Manu Bueno
45'
M
Manu Bueno
45'
M
13
Ø. Nyland
G
Ø. Nyland
G
14
Peque Fernández
F
Peque Fernández
F
Best on the pitch
E. Bailly
D · Oviedo
7.70
· 52 pass
Juanlu Sánchez
M · Sevilla
7.70
· 17 pass
N. Fonseca
M · Oviedo
7.60
1 shots
· 85 pass
Aarón Escandell
G · Oviedo
7.50
· 31 pass
D · Oviedo
7.20
1 shots
· 61 pass
F. Viñas
F · Oviedo
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 16 pass
Oviedo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aarón Escandell | G | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 31 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Javi López | D | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 52 | 50% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 56% | 1 | — | — | |
| E. Bailly | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 52 | 41% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Nacho Vidal | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 45 | 34% | — | — | — |
| N. Fonseca | M | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 85 | 72% | 1 | 1 | — |
| K. Sibo | M | 59 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 38 | 31% | — | — | — |
| T. Fernández | M | 72 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Alberto Reina | M | 72 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 30 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Ilyas Chaira | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
| F. Viñas | F | 59 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 16 | 9% | 1 | 1 | — |
| H. Hassan | F | 18 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Alhassane | D | 9 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Santiago Colombatto | M | 31 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
Sevilla — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 17% | — | — | — | |
| Oso | D | 73 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Kike Salas | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 13% | 2 | 1 | — |
| T. Nianzou | D | 38 | 5.30 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 6% | — | — | 1 |
| José Ángel Carmona | D | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 5% | 3 | 1 | — |
| N. Gudelj | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Batista Mendy | M | 72 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Vargas | M | 80 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 10% | — | — | — |
| D. Sow | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Juanlu Sánchez | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Adams | F | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Andrés Castrín | D | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| C. Ejuke | F | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| G. Suazo | D | 17 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Isaac | F | 18 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Manu Bueno | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | 1 | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Oviedo vs Sevilla?
The final score was Oviedo 1–0 Sevilla.
What did the model predict before Oviedo vs Sevilla?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Oviedo win, 30% to a draw, and 23% to an Sevilla win.