La Liga
· Regular Season - 30
April 05, 2026 20:30
F. Vinas
(ast. A. Reina)
32'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Oviedo a 46% win probability (draw 30%, Sevilla 23%). The final result was Oviedo 1–0 Sevilla. In 1 previous meetings, Oviedo have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Sevilla.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
7
4
Shots on target
0
0.61
Actual xG
0.65
0
Saves
3
70%
Possession
30%
5
Corners
9
10
Tackles
13
5
🟨 Yellow cards
3
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
Federico Viñas
13'
⚽F. Vinas
· ast. A. Reina
32'
38'
Tanguy Nianzou
43'
José Ángel Carmona
46'
M. Bueno
/
D. Sow
46'
Castrin
/
J. A. Carmona
Javi López
53'
54'
Kike Salas
K. Sibo
/ S. Colombatto
59'
F. Vinas
/ T. Borbas
59'
69'
Manu Bueno
A. Reina
/ S. Cazorla
72'
T. Fernandez
/ H. Hassan
72'
72'
I. Romero
/
B. Mendy
73'
G. Suazo
/
Oso
80'
C. Ejuke
/
R. Vargas
J. Lopez
/ R. Alhassane
85'
Nicolas Fonseca
89'
Ilyas Chaira
90'+2
Eric Bailly
90'
Pre-match prediction
46.27%
Oviedo ←
30.55%
X
23.17%
Sevilla
we assigned to the actual result (Oviedo)
46.27%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.21
0.61
-0.6
0.71
0.65
-0.06
xG dominance was balanced (0.61 – 0.65).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
Aarón Escandell
G
Aarón Escandell
G
25
Javi López
85'
D
Javi López
85'
D
12
D
2
Eric Bailly
D
Eric Bailly
D
22
Nacho Vidal
D
Nacho Vidal
D
23
Nicolas Fonseca
M
Nicolas Fonseca
M
6
Kwasi Sibo
59'
M
Kwasi Sibo
59'
M
15
Thiago Fernández
72'
M
Thiago Fernández
72'
M
5
Alberto Reina
1 👟
72'
M
Alberto Reina
1 👟
72'
M
7
Ilyas Chaira
M
Ilyas Chaira
M
9
Federico Viñas
1 ⚽
59'
F
Federico Viñas
1 ⚽
59'
F
Bench
3
Abdel Rahim
9'
D
Abdel Rahim
9'
D
10
Haissem Hassan
18'
F
Haissem Hassan
18'
F
11
Santiago Colombatto
31'
M
Santiago Colombatto
31'
M
1
G
36
Oso
73'
D
Oso
73'
D
4
Kike Salas
D
Kike Salas
D
5
Tanguy Nianzou
38'
D
Tanguy Nianzou
38'
D
2
José Ángel Carmona
45'
D
José Ángel Carmona
45'
D
6
Nemanja Gudelj
M
Nemanja Gudelj
M
19
Batista Mendy
72'
M
Batista Mendy
72'
M
11
R. Vargas
80'
M
R. Vargas
80'
M
20
Djibril Sow
45'
M
Djibril Sow
45'
M
16
Juanlu Sánchez
M
Juanlu Sánchez
M
9
A. Adams
F
A. Adams
F
Bench
10
Alexis Sánchez
F
Alexis Sánchez
F
32
Andres Castrin
45'
D
Andres Castrin
45'
D
21
C. Ejuke
10'
F
C. Ejuke
10'
F
12
Gabriel Suazo
17'
D
Gabriel Suazo
17'
D
7
I. Romero
18'
F
28
Manu Bueno
45'
M
13
Ørjan Nyland
G
Ørjan Nyland
G
14
Peque Fernández
F
Peque Fernández
F
Best on the pitch
Eric Bailly
D · Oviedo
7.70
· 52 pass
Juanlu Sánchez
M · Sevilla
7.70
· 17 pass
Nicolas Fonseca
M · Oviedo
7.60
1 shots
· 85 pass
Aarón Escandell
G · Oviedo
7.50
· 31 pass
D · Oviedo
7.20
1 shots
· 61 pass
Federico Viñas
F · Oviedo
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 16 pass
Oviedo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aarón Escandell | G | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 31 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Javi López | D | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 52 | 50% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 56% | 1 | — | — | |
| Eric Bailly | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 52 | 41% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Nacho Vidal | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 45 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Nicolas Fonseca | M | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 85 | 72% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Kwasi Sibo | M | 59 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 38 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Thiago Fernández | M | 72 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Alberto Reina | M | 72 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 30 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Ilyas Chaira | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
| Federico Viñas | F | 59 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 16 | 9% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Abdel Rahim | D | 9 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Haissem Hassan | F | 18 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Santiago Colombatto | M | 31 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
Sevilla — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 17% | — | — | — | |
| Oso | D | 73 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Kike Salas | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 13% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Tanguy Nianzou | D | 38 | 5.30 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 6% | — | — | 1 |
| José Ángel Carmona | D | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 5% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Nemanja Gudelj | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Batista Mendy | M | 72 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Vargas | M | 80 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Djibril Sow | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Juanlu Sánchez | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Adams | F | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Andres Castrin | D | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| C. Ejuke | F | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Suazo | D | 17 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Romero | F | 18 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Manu Bueno | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | 1 | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Oviedo vs Sevilla?
The final score was Oviedo 1–0 Sevilla.
What did the model predict before Oviedo vs Sevilla?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Oviedo win, 30% to a draw, and 23% to an Sevilla win.