I. Chaira
69'
(pen.)
13'
N. Pepe
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Villarreal a 41% win probability (draw 25%, Oviedo 32%). The final result was Oviedo 1–1 Villarreal. In 1 previous meetings, Oviedo have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Villarreal.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
5
4
Shots on target
3
0.88
Actual xG
1.33
2
Saves
3
58%
Possession
42%
7
Corners
0
21
Tackles
20
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
13'
(pen.)
N. Pepe⚽
A. Escandell
37'
46'
G. Mikautadze
/
T. Buchanan
63'
A. Moleiro
/
A. Gonzalez
63'
A. Perez
/
T. Oluwaseyi
⚽I. Chaira
69'
K. Sibo
/ O. Ejaria
71'
T. Fernandez
/ H. Hassan
71'
A. Reina
/ S. Cazorla
72'
78'
T. Partey
/
D. Parejo
78'
A. Freeman
/
S. Mourino
I. Chaira
/ P. Agudin
90'+1
90'+6
A. Moleiro
J. Lopez
/ R. Alhassane
90'
Pre-match prediction
32.93%
Oviedo
25.29%
X ←
41.78%
Villarreal
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
25.29%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.31
0.88
-0.43
1.54
1.33
-0.21
Villarreal dominated by xG (1.33 vs 0.88).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
13
Aarón Escandell
G
Aarón Escandell
G
25
Javi López
89'
D
Javi López
89'
D
12
D
2
Eric Bailly
D
Eric Bailly
D
22
Nacho Vidal
D
Nacho Vidal
D
11
Santiago Colombatto
M
Santiago Colombatto
M
6
Kwasi Sibo
71'
M
Kwasi Sibo
71'
M
15
Thiago Fernández
71'
M
Thiago Fernández
71'
M
5
Alberto Reina
72'
M
Alberto Reina
72'
M
7
Ilyas Chaira
1 ⚽
89'
M
Ilyas Chaira
1 ⚽
89'
M
9
Federico Viñas
F
Federico Viñas
F
Bench
3
Abdel Rahim
8'
D
16
David Carmo
D
10
Haissem Hassan
19'
F
Haissem Hassan
19'
F
25
G
23
Sergi Cardona
D
Sergi Cardona
D
12
Renato Veiga
D
Renato Veiga
D
6
Pau Navarro
D
Pau Navarro
D
15
S. Mouriño
78'
D
S. Mouriño
78'
D
11
Alfon González
63'
M
Alfon González
63'
M
10
Dani Parejo
78'
M
Dani Parejo
78'
M
18
P. Gueye
M
P. Gueye
M
17
T. Buchanan
45'
M
T. Buchanan
45'
M
21
T. Oluwaseyi
63'
F
T. Oluwaseyi
63'
F
19
N. Pépé
1 ⚽
F
N. Pépé
1 ⚽
F
Bench
3
A. Freeman
12'
D
A. Freeman
12'
D
38
Alassane Diatta
M
Alassane Diatta
M
20
Alberto Moleiro
27'
M
Alberto Moleiro
27'
M
24
Alfonso Pedraza
D
Alfonso Pedraza
D
7
Gerard Moreno
F
Gerard Moreno
F
9
G. Mikautadze
45'
F
G. Mikautadze
45'
F
4
Rafa Marín
D
Rafa Marín
D
16
Thomas Partey
12'
M
Thomas Partey
12'
M
Best on the pitch
N. Pépé
F · Villarreal
8.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 33 pass
Ilyas Chaira
M · Oviedo
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 24 pass
S. Mouriño
D · Villarreal
7.30
1 shots
· 32 pass
Santiago Colombatto
M · Oviedo
7.30
1 shots
· 76 pass
Eric Bailly
D · Oviedo
7.20
· 64 pass
Sergi Cardona
D · Villarreal
7.20
· 36 pass
Oviedo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aarón Escandell | G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 29 | 17% | — | 1 | — |
| Javi López | D | 89 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 61 | 53% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 76 | 71% | 1 | — | — | |
| Eric Bailly | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 64 | 58% | 3 | — | — |
| Nacho Vidal | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 44% | 2 | — | — |
| Santiago Colombatto | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 76 | 70% | 5 | — | — |
| Kwasi Sibo | M | 71 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Thiago Fernández | M | 71 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 38 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Alberto Reina | M | 72 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Ilyas Chaira | M | 89 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 24 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Federico Viñas | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 15% | 4 | — | — |
| Abdel Rahim | D | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Haissem Hassan | F | 19 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
Villarreal — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 32 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| Sergi Cardona | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| Renato Veiga | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 48 | 43% | — | — | — |
| Pau Navarro | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Mouriño | D | 78 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 26% | 6 | — | — |
| Alfon González | M | 63 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Dani Parejo | M | 78 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 52 | 48% | 4 | — | — |
| P. Gueye | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Buchanan | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| T. Oluwaseyi | F | 63 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Pépé | F | 90 | 8.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 33 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Freeman | D | 12 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Alberto Moleiro | M | 27 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | 1 | 1 | — |
| G. Mikautadze | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Thomas Partey | M | 12 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Oviedo vs Villarreal?
The final score was Oviedo 1–1 Villarreal.
What did the model predict before Oviedo vs Villarreal?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Oviedo win, 25% to a draw, and 41% to an Villarreal win.