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Oxford City - Leicester

FA Cup November 06, 2026 20:45
⚡ Pre-match analysis
60.19%
Win
Oxford City
21.27%
Draw
18.54%
Win
Leicester
1.86
Expected xG
0.92
Most likely outcome
Oxford City
60.19%
Probability
87.5%
1X2 accuracy · 8 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (12.06%)
1X2 Result
1 60%
X 21%
2 19%
Double Chance
1X 82%
X2 40%
12 79%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 86%
Over 2.5 69%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Oxford City a 60% win probability, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Leicester. Expected goals are 1.9 for Oxford City and 0.9 for Leicester (total 2.8), with a 85% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 12.06% probability.

Season Stats

Oxford City
3W 0D 1L
Leicester
1W 0D 1L
Averages per game
2.8
Goals
1.5
1.0
Conceded
1.0
1.0
Shots OT
4.5
0.0
Corners
8.5
39%
Poss.
63%
Percentages
75%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%
50%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ Based on the last 4 matches in FA Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
Oxford City
1W 0D 0L · at home
Leicester
1W 0D 1L · away
6.0
gls/g
1.5
1.0
Conceded
1.0
100%
Win %
50%
100%
Win or Draw
50%
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
50%
100%
O 3.5
0%
100%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
50%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Oxford City Leicester →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.2% 5.7% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% —
1 11.5% 10.6% 4.9% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.7% 9.9% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 6.7% 6.1% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% —
4 3.1% 2.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% —
5 1.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% — —

Recent form

W Torquay 0–1
W Enfield Town 6–1
W Dorchester Town 0–2
L Westbury United 3–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 37%
L Southampton 2–1
W Cheltenham 0–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 33%

Playing profile

Oxford City Oxford City
Attack
55
Defence
88
Form
78
Leicester Leicester
Attack
57
Defence
58
Form
58
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Oxford City vs Leicester?
The model gives Oxford City a 60% win probability, 21% for a draw, and 18% for an Leicester win.
How many goals are expected in Oxford City vs Leicester?
Expected goals: Oxford City 1.9, Leicester 0.9 (total 2.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 85%.
What is the most likely score in Oxford City vs Leicester?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.06%.