National League North · National League North - 14 October 27, 2026 20:45

Oxford City

#1 · 27 pts

3 – 0

Final score

Merthyr Town

#20 · 15 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Oxford City

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Oxford City a 62% win probability (draw 21%, Merthyr Town 16%). The final result was Oxford City 3–0 Merthyr Town. In 2 previous meetings, Oxford City have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Merthyr Town.

Match statistics

Pre-match prediction

62.64%

Oxford ←

21.21%

X

16.15%

Merthyr

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Oxford City) 62.64% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Oxford

2.09

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—

Merthyr

0.58

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League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Oxford City	13	27
2	Hereford	13	26
3	South Shields	13	26
4	Macclesfield	12	24
5	Chester	13	23
6	Buxton	14	23
7	Bedford Town	13	22
8	Hednesford Town	14	21
9	King's Lynn Town	14	21
10	Morecambe	13	20
11	Chorley	13	20
12	Worksop Town	14	20
13	Hebburn Town	13	19
14	Spalding United	13	18
15	Marine	13	16
16	Harborough Town	13	16
17	AFC Telford United	14	16
18	Brackley Town	14	16
19	Scarborough Athletic	13	15
20	Merthyr Town	14	15
21	Radcliffe	14	15
22	Darlington 1883	14	11
23	Southport	13	10
24	Spennymoor Town	13	7