The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Oxford United a 37% win probability (draw 31%, Bradford 30%). The final result was Oxford United 0–0 Bradford.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
14
2
Shots on target
5
1.72
Actual xG
1.45
5
Saves
1
35%
Possession
65%
6
Corners
8
14
Tackles
20
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
19'
Callumm Connolly
45'+3
George Christopher John Pratt
57'
Nick Powell
/
Will Swan
Tyler Goodrham
/ Mark Harris
62'
Mo Missanga
/ Aidomo Emakhu
62'
Jack Currie
/ Peter Kioso
63'
Gatlin O Donkor
/ Luka Lynch
76'
80'
Adam Phillips
/
Kayden Jackson
81'
Kieran Morgan
/
George Lapslie
Cameron Brannagan
/ Louie Sibley
81'
Pre-match prediction
37.96%
Oxford
31.97%
X ←
30.07%
Bradford
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
31.97%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.99
1.72
+0.73
0.71
1.45
+0.74
xG dominance was balanced (1.72 – 1.45).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
J. Cumming
G
J. Cumming
G
26
J. Currie
63'
D
J. Currie
63'
D
3
C. Brown
D
C. Brown
D
6
M. Helik
D
M. Helik
D
15
B. Spencer
D
B. Spencer
D
8
C. Brannagan
81'
M
C. Brannagan
81'
M
4
Kai Andrews
M
Kai Andrews
M
23
S. Dembélé
M
S. Dembélé
M
11
T. Goodrham
62'
M
T. Goodrham
62'
M
57
M. Missanga
62'
M
M. Missanga
62'
M
19
G. O'Donkor
76'
F
G. O'Donkor
76'
F
Bench
10
A. Emakhu
28'
F
A. Emakhu
28'
F
20
L. Lynch
14'
F
L. Lynch
14'
F
32
L. Sibley
9'
M
L. Sibley
9'
M
9
M. Harris
28'
F
M. Harris
28'
F
30
P. Kioso
27'
D
P. Kioso
27'
D
13
S. Eastwood
G
S. Eastwood
G
2
S. Long
D
S. Long
D
21
J. McCracken
G
J. McCracken
G
16
George Christopher John Pratt
D
George Christopher John Pratt
D
15
A. Baldwin
D
A. Baldwin
D
28
M. Pennington
D
M. Pennington
D
3
I. Touray
M
I. Touray
M
6
C. Connolly
M
C. Connolly
M
10
A. Sarcevic
M
A. Sarcevic
M
27
C. O'Keeffe
M
C. O'Keeffe
M
24
W. Swan
57'
M
W. Swan
57'
M
32
G. Lapslie
81'
M
G. Lapslie
81'
M
19
K. Jackson
80'
F
K. Jackson
80'
F
Bench
8
A. Phillips
10'
M
A. Phillips
10'
M
23
B. Pointon
F
B. Pointon
F
1
C. Dawson
G
C. Dawson
G
9
J. Beesley
F
J. Beesley
F
22
Kieran Morgan
9'
M
Kieran Morgan
9'
M
5
M. Gillesphey
D
M. Gillesphey
D
25
N. Powell
33'
M
N. Powell
33'
M
Best on the pitch
J. Cumming
G · Oxford
7.93
· 32 pass
C. Brown
D · Oxford
7.16
2 shots
· 41 pass
S. Dembélé
M · Oxford
7.06
1 shots
· 20 pass
N. Powell
M · Bradford
6.97
1 shots
· 2 pass
C. O'Keeffe
M · Bradford
6.86
1 shots
· 31 pass
T. Goodrham
M · Oxford
6.85
2 shots
· 26 pass
Oxford United — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Cumming | G | 90 | 7.93 | — | — | 0 | 32 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Currie | D | 63 | 6.06 | — | — | 0 | 32 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Brown | D | 90 | 7.16 | — | — | 2 | 41 | 32% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Helik | D | 90 | 6.37 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Spencer | D | 90 | 6.26 | — | — | 0 | 34 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Brannagan | M | 81 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Kai Andrews | M | 90 | 6.72 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Dembélé | M | 90 | 7.06 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Goodrham | M | 62 | 6.85 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Missanga | M | 62 | 6.22 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| G. O'Donkor | F | 76 | 6.39 | — | — | 4 | 5 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Emakhu | F | 28 | 6.62 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Lynch | F | 14 | 6.74 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Sibley | M | 9 | 6.54 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Harris | F | 28 | 6.47 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| P. Kioso | D | 27 | 6.01 | — | — | 0 | 10 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
Bradford — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. McCracken | G | 90 | 5.92 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| George Christopher John Pratt | D | 90 | 6.15 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 27% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Baldwin | D | 90 | 6.41 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Pennington | D | 90 | 6.69 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 22% | 4 | — | — |
| I. Touray | M | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 0 | 35 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Connolly | M | 90 | 6.61 | — | — | 3 | 46 | 37% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Sarcevic | M | 90 | 6.27 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
| C. O'Keeffe | M | 90 | 6.86 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| W. Swan | M | 57 | 6.53 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Lapslie | M | 81 | 6.26 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Jackson | F | 80 | 6.70 | — | — | 3 | 15 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Phillips | M | 10 | 6.52 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| Kieran Morgan | M | 9 | 6.41 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| N. Powell | M | 33 | 6.97 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Oxford United vs Bradford?
The final score was Oxford United 0–0 Bradford.
What did the model predict before Oxford United vs Bradford?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Oxford United win, 31% to a draw, and 30% to an Bradford win.