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#3 · 22 pts
3 – 0
Final score
#12 · 17 pts
Siriki Dembele 76'
Gatlin O Donkor (ast. Tyler Goodrham) 90'+4
Louie Sibley (ast. Siriki Dembele) 90'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Oxford United a 41% win probability (draw 28%, Burton Albion 29%). The final result was Oxford United 3–0 Burton Albion.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
9
5
Shots on target
2
2
Saves
2
65%
Possession
35%
2
Corners
5
22
Tackles
29
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
23'
Joe Cameron Lewis
Jamie McDonnell
38'
45'
H. Araujo / Jack Armer ↕
↕ Brodie Spencer / Jack Currie
61'
↕ Jamie McDonnell / Gatlin O Donkor
61'
62'
Sulyman Krubally / Will Collar ↕
62'
Kain Adom / Caylon Vickers ↕
68'
Jason Sraha / Joe Cameron Lewis ↕
↕ Kai Andrews / Tyler Goodrham
74'
⚽Siriki Dembele
76'
↕ Mark Harris / Louie Sibley
86'
↕ Mo Missanga / L. Snowden
87'
⚽Gatlin O Donkor · ast. Tyler Goodrham
90'+4
⚽Louie Sibley · ast. Siriki Dembele
90'
Pre-match prediction
41.38%
Oxford ←
28.78%
X
29.84%
Burton
we assigned to the actual result (Oxford United) 41.38% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Oxford
2.76
—
—
Burton
1.66
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Huddersfield Huddersfield 12 25
2 Stockport County Stockport County 13 23
3 Oxford United Oxford United 11 22
4 Bradford Bradford 12 22
5 Plymouth Plymouth 13 22
6 Reading Reading 12 21
7 Cambridge United Cambridge United 13 21
8 Luton Luton 12 20
9 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 12 19
10 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 11 18
11 Leicester Leicester 12 18
12 Burton Albion Burton Albion 13 17
13 Stevenage Stevenage 11 15
14 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 12 15
15 Wycombe Wycombe 12 15
16 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 12 14
17 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 12 13
18 Doncaster Doncaster 12 12
19 Notts County Notts County 11 11
20 Blackpool Blackpool 11 11
21 Peterborough Peterborough 12 10
22 Bromley Bromley 12 9
23 Barnsley Barnsley 11 8
24 Wigan Wigan 12 7
Lineups
Oxford United Oxford United 4-2-3-1
13 S. Eastwood S. Eastwood G 6.83
15 B. Spencer B. Spencer 61' D 6.44
3 C. Brown C. Brown D 6.45
6 M. Helik M. Helik D 7.02
30 P. Kioso P. Kioso D 6.93
8 C. Brannagan C. Brannagan M 7.13
18 Jamie Carson McDonnell Jamie Carson McDonnell 61' M 6.07
23 S. Dembélé S. Dembélé 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 7.85
4 Kai Andrews Kai Andrews 74' M 6.66
57 M. Missanga M. Missanga 87' M 6.58
9 M. Harris M. Harris 86' F 6.39
Bench
19 G. O'Donkor G. O'Donkor 1 ⚽ 29' F 7.39
1 J. Cumming J. Cumming G 0.00
26 J. Currie J. Currie 29' D 6.68
32 L. Sibley L. Sibley 1 ⚽ 4' M 7.32
27 L. Snowden L. Snowden 3' F 6.50
2 S. Long S. Long D 0.00
11 T. Goodrham T. Goodrham 1 👟 16' F 6.76
Burton Albion Burton Albion 3-4-2-1
34 C. Addai C. Addai G 5.86
16 C. Tilt C. Tilt D 5.54
31 J. Lewis J. Lewis 68' D 5.25
6 T. Sibbick T. Sibbick D 5.93
3 J. Armer J. Armer 45' M 5.79
4 K. Chauke K. Chauke M 6.26
14 W. Collar W. Collar 62' M 6.20
15 K. Lofthouse K. Lofthouse M 5.39
8 C. Webster C. Webster M 5.65
18
28' M 6.30
17 R. Borges Rodrigues R. Borges Rodrigues F 6.42
Bench
23 Emeka Adeile Emeka Adeile D 0.00
24 Harvey Araujo Harvey Araujo 45' D 6.08
20 J. Sraha J. Sraha 22' D 6.10
27 K. Dudek K. Dudek G 0.00
41 Sulyman Krubally Sulyman Krubally 28' M 6.03
40 Zac Scutt Zac Scutt F 0.00
Best on the pitch
S. Dembélé
S. Dembélé
M · Oxford
7.85
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 22 pass
G. O'Donkor
G. O'Donkor
F · Oxford
7.39
1 ⚽
2 shots · 2 pass
L. Sibley
L. Sibley
M · Oxford
7.32
1 ⚽
1 shots · 3 pass
C. Brannagan
C. Brannagan
M · Oxford
7.13
2 shots · 65 pass
M. Helik
M. Helik
D · Oxford
7.02
· 66 pass
P. Kioso
P. Kioso
D · Oxford
6.93
1 shots · 53 pass
Oxford United Oxford United — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Eastwood G 90 6.83 — — 0 41 26% 0 — —
B. Spencer D 61 6.44 — — 0 22 16% 3 — —
C. Brown D 90 6.45 — — 0 68 56% 0 — —
M. Helik D 90 7.02 — — 0 66 59% 0 — —
P. Kioso D 90 6.93 — — 1 53 38% 1 — —
C. Brannagan M 90 7.13 — — 2 65 54% 3 — —
Jamie Carson McDonnell M 61 6.07 — — 0 24 17% 3 1 —
S. Dembélé M 90 7.85 1 1 3 22 15% 7 — —
Kai Andrews M 74 6.66 — — 1 21 19% 0 — —
M. Missanga M 87 6.58 — — 1 18 14% 1 — —
M. Harris F 86 6.39 — — 0 13 11% 0 — —
G. O'Donkor F 29 7.39 1 — 2 2 2% 1 — —
J. Currie D 29 6.68 — — 0 10 8% 3 — —
L. Sibley M 4 7.32 1 — 1 3 1% 0 — —
L. Snowden F 3 6.50 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
T. Goodrham F 16 6.76 — 1 0 12 11% 0 — —
Burton Albion Burton Albion — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
C. Addai G 90 5.86 — — 0 26 7% 0 — —
C. Tilt D 90 5.54 — — 0 23 16% 2 — —
J. Lewis D 68 5.25 — — 0 16 5% 1 1 —
T. Sibbick D 90 5.93 — — 0 16 13% 7 — —
J. Armer M 45 5.79 — — 0 6 2% 2 — —
K. Chauke M 90 6.26 — — 0 21 19% 1 — —
W. Collar M 62 6.20 — — 1 17 14% 3 — —
K. Lofthouse M 90 5.39 — — 1 22 10% 4 — —
C. Webster M 90 5.65 — — 3 31 21% 0 — —
M 28 6.30 — — 1 2 1% 1 — —
R. Borges Rodrigues F 90 6.42 — — 3 13 10% 1 — —
Harvey Araujo D 45 6.08 — — 0 10 5% 4 — —
J. Sraha D 22 6.10 — — 0 4 4% 1 — —
Sulyman Krubally M 28 6.03 — — 0 8 5% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Oxford United vs Burton Albion?
The final score was Oxford United 3–0 Burton Albion.
What did the model predict before Oxford United vs Burton Albion?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Oxford United win, 28% to a draw, and 29% to an Burton Albion win.