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Championship · Regular Season - 40 April 03, 2026 16:00
Oxford United
1 – 1
Final score
Hull City
C. Brannagan 13' (pen.)
4' (ast. S. Ajayi) M. Belloumi
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Oxford United a 37% win probability (draw 28%, Hull City 33%). The final result was Oxford United 1–1 Hull City. In 1 previous meetings, Oxford United have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Hull City.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
6
4
Shots on target
2
3.44
Actual xG
0.82
1
Saves
3
34%
Possession
66%
1
Corners
5
17
Tackles
14
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
4'
ast. S. Ajayi · M. Belloumi⚽
12'
Charlie Hughes
⚽C. Brannagan (pen.)
13'
↕ R. Roosken / B. Spencer
46'
46'
J. Egan / C. Hughes ↕
64'
K. Dowell / M. Belloumi ↕
64'
L. Koumas / J. Gelhardt ↕
↕ J. Donley / M. Harris
76'
↕ M. Peart-Harris / Jeon Jin-Woo
76'
↕ Y. E. Konak / W. Vaulks
77'
83'
T. Collyer / J. Lundstram ↕
83'
L. Millar / K. Joseph ↕
↕ W. Lankshear / N. Prelec
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
37.86%
Oxford
28.95%
X ←
33.19%
Hull
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 28.95% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Oxford
1.19
3.44
+2.25
Hull
1.21
0.82
-0.39
Oxford United dominated by xG (3.44 vs 0.82). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Swansea Swansea 8 17
2 West Ham West Ham 8 15
3 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 8 15
4 Wolves Wolves 7 14
5 West Brom West Brom 8 14
6 QPR QPR 8 13
7 Stoke City Stoke City 8 13
8 Bristol City Bristol City 8 13
9 Charlton Charlton 8 12
10 Birmingham Birmingham 8 11
11 Millwall Millwall 8 11
12 Lincoln Lincoln 8 11
13 Southampton Southampton 8 10
14 Wrexham Wrexham 8 10
15 Bolton Bolton 8 10
16 Blackburn Blackburn 8 9
17 Norwich Norwich 8 9
18 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 8 9
19 Portsmouth Portsmouth 7 8
20 Watford Watford 8 8
21 Cardiff Cardiff 8 7
22 Derby Derby 8 5
23 Preston Preston 8 4
24 Burnley Burnley 8 4
Lineups
Oxford United Oxford United 4-2-3-1
1
G 6.70
12
R. Roosken 45' D 6.50
3 C. Brown C. Brown D 7.00
6 M. Helik M. Helik D 5.90
2 S. Long S. Long D 6.70
8 C. Brannagan C. Brannagan 1 ⚽ M 7.60
5 Y. Konak Y. Konak 77' M 6.90
44 M. Peart-Harris M. Peart-Harris 76' M 6.70
33 J. Donley J. Donley 77' M 6.60
17 S. Mills S. Mills M 7.90
27 W. Lankshear W. Lankshear F 6.90
Bench
15 B. Spencer B. Spencer 50' D 7.20
38 Jamie Carson McDonnell Jamie Carson McDonnell M
9 M. Harris M. Harris 18' F 6.00
4
W. Vaulks 18' M 6.90
Hull City Hull City 4-2-3-1
12
G 7.30
2 L. Coyle L. Coyle D 6.70
4 C. Hughes C. Hughes 45' D 6.30
6 S. Ajayi S. Ajayi 1 👟 D 7.60
18 Cody Drameh Cody Drameh D 6.90
25 M. Crooks M. Crooks M 6.50
5 J. Lundstram J. Lundstram 83' M 6.30
22 K. Joseph K. Joseph 83' M 6.50
21 J. Gelhardt J. Gelhardt 64' M 6.30
10 M. Belloumi M. Belloumi 1 ⚽ 64' M 7.70
9 O. McBurnie O. McBurnie F 6.70
Bench
20
Amir Hadžiahmetović M
1 I. Pandur I. Pandur G
15 J. Egan J. Egan 50' D 7.00
26 K. Dowell K. Dowell 31' M 6.30
36 L. Koumas L. Koumas 31' F 6.50
7 L. Millar L. Millar 12' F 6.30
37 P. McNair P. McNair D
33 Tobias Christopher Collyer Tobias Christopher Collyer 12' M 6.70
Best on the pitch
S. Mills
S. Mills
M · Oxford
7.90
· 16 pass
M. Belloumi
M. Belloumi
M · Hull
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots · 35 pass
C. Brannagan
C. Brannagan
M · Oxford
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots · 42 pass
S. Ajayi
S. Ajayi
D · Hull
7.60
1 👟
· 72 pass
G · Hull
7.30
· 34 pass
B. Spencer
B. Spencer
D · Oxford
7.20
· 10 pass
Oxford United Oxford United — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 95 6.70 — — — 21 7% — — —
R. Roosken D 45 6.50 — — — 9 6% 1 — —
C. Brown D 95 7.00 — — — 37 24% — — —
M. Helik D 95 5.90 — — 1 15 9% — — —
S. Long D 95 6.70 — — — 18 13% — — —
C. Brannagan M 95 7.60 1 — 2 42 32% 2 — —
Y. Konak M 77 6.90 — — — 24 17% 4 — —
M. Peart-Harris M 76 6.70 — — 1 18 11% 1 — —
J. Donley M 77 6.60 — — 1 21 13% 2 — —
S. Mills M 95 7.90 — — — 16 6% 3 — —
W. Lankshear F 92 6.90 — — 1 16 8% — — —
B. Spencer D 50 7.20 — — — 10 7% 2 — —
M. Harris F 18 6.00 — — 2 5 4% — — —
W. Vaulks M 18 6.90 — — 1 8 5% 2 — —
Hull City Hull City — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 95 7.30 — — — 34 27% — — —
L. Coyle D 95 6.70 — — — 49 39% 1 — —
C. Hughes D 45 6.30 — — — 45 44% — 1 —
S. Ajayi D 95 7.60 — 1 — 72 59% 1 — —
Cody Drameh D 95 6.90 — — — 49 40% 5 — —
M. Crooks M 95 6.50 — — 1 52 46% 1 — —
J. Lundstram M 83 6.30 — — 1 65 49% 2 — —
K. Joseph M 83 6.50 — — 1 12 6% — — —
J. Gelhardt M 64 6.30 — — — 24 20% 2 — —
M. Belloumi M 64 7.70 1 — 3 35 23% 1 — —
O. McBurnie F 95 6.70 — — — 15 10% — — —
J. Egan D 50 7.00 — — — 26 22% — — —
K. Dowell M 31 6.30 — — — 14 12% — — —
L. Koumas F 31 6.50 — — — 7 7% 1 — —
L. Millar F 12 6.30 — — — 5 5% — — —
Tobias Christopher Collyer M 12 6.70 — — — 11 10% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Oxford United vs Hull City?
The final score was Oxford United 1–1 Hull City.
What did the model predict before Oxford United vs Hull City?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Oxford United win, 28% to a draw, and 33% to an Hull City win.