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Championship · Regular Season - 40 April 03, 2026 16:00
Oxford United
#22 · 47 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Hull City
#6 · 73 pts
C. Brannagan 13' (pen.)
4' (ast. S. Ajayi) M. Belloumi

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Oxford United a 37% win probability (draw 28%, Hull City 33%). The final result was Oxford United 1–1 Hull City. In 1 previous meetings, Oxford United have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Hull City.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
6
4
Shots on target
2
3.44
Actual xG
0.82
1
Saves
3
34%
Possession
66%
1
Corners
5
17
Tackles
14
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
4'
ast. S. Ajayi · M. Belloumi⚽
12'
Charlie Hughes
⚽C. Brannagan (pen.)
13'
↕ R. Roosken / B. Spencer
46'
46'
J. Egan / C. Hughes ↕
64'
K. Dowell / M. Belloumi ↕
64'
L. Koumas / J. Gelhardt ↕
↕ J. Donley / M. Harris
76'
↕ M. Peart-Harris / Jeon Jin-Woo
76'
↕ Y. E. Konak / W. Vaulks
77'
83'
T. Collyer / J. Lundstram ↕
83'
L. Millar / K. Joseph ↕
↕ W. Lankshear / N. Prelec
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
37.86%
Oxford
28.95%
X ←
33.19%
Hull
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 28.95% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Oxford
1.19
3.44
+2.25
Hull
1.21
0.82
-0.39
Oxford United dominated by xG (3.44 vs 0.82). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Coventry Coventry 46 95
2 Ipswich Ipswich 46 84
3 Millwall Millwall 46 83
4 Southampton Southampton 46 80
5 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 46 80
6 Hull City Hull City 46 73
7 Wrexham Wrexham 46 71
8 Derby Derby 46 69
9 Norwich Norwich 46 65
10 Birmingham Birmingham 46 64
11 Swansea Swansea 46 64
12 Bristol City Bristol City 46 62
13 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 46 60
14 Preston Preston 46 60
15 QPR QPR 46 58
16 Watford Watford 46 57
17 Stoke City Stoke City 46 55
18 Portsmouth Portsmouth 46 55
19 Charlton Charlton 46 53
20 Blackburn Blackburn 46 52
21 West Brom West Brom 46 51
22 Oxford United Oxford United 46 47
23 Leicester Leicester 46 46
24 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 46 0
Lineups
Oxford United Oxford United 4-2-3-1
1
G 6.70
12
R. Roosken 45' D 6.50
3
C. Brown D 7.00
6
M. Helik D 5.90
2
S. Long D 6.70
8
C. Brannagan 1 ⚽ M 7.60
5
Y. E. Konak 77' M 6.90
44
M. Peart-Harris 76' M 6.70
33
J. Donley 77' M 6.60
17
S. Mills M 7.90
27 W. Lankshear W. Lankshear F 6.90
Bench
15
B. Spencer 50' D 7.20
38
J. McDonnell M
9
M. Harris 18' F 6.00
4
W. Vaulks 18' M 6.90
Hull City Hull City 4-2-3-1
12
G 7.30
2 L. Coyle L. Coyle D 6.70
4 Charlie Hughes Charlie Hughes 45' D 6.30
6 Semi Ajayi Semi Ajayi 1 👟 D 7.60
18
C. Drameh D 6.90
25 M. Crooks M. Crooks M 6.50
5 J. Lundstram J. Lundstram 83' M 6.30
22 Kyle Joseph Kyle Joseph 83' M 6.50
21 J. Gelhardt J. Gelhardt 64' M 6.30
10 Mohamed Belloumi Mohamed Belloumi 1 ⚽ 64' M 7.70
9 O. McBurnie O. McBurnie F 6.70
Bench
20
A. Hadziahmetovic M
1 Ivor Pandur Ivor Pandur G
15 John Egan John Egan 50' D 7.00
26 Kieran Dowell Kieran Dowell 31' M 6.30
36 Lewis Koumas Lewis Koumas 31' F 6.50
7 L. Millar L. Millar 12' F 6.30
37 Paddy McNair Paddy McNair D
33
T. Collyer 12' M 6.70
Best on the pitch
S. Mills
M · Oxford
7.90
· 16 pass
Mohamed Belloumi
Mohamed Belloumi
M · Hull
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots · 35 pass
C. Brannagan
M · Oxford
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots · 42 pass
Semi Ajayi
Semi Ajayi
D · Hull
7.60
1 👟
· 72 pass
G · Hull
7.30
· 34 pass
B. Spencer
D · Oxford
7.20
· 10 pass
Oxford United Oxford United — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 95 6.70 — — — 21 7% — — —
R. Roosken D 45 6.50 — — — 9 6% 1 — —
C. Brown D 95 7.00 — — — 37 24% — — —
M. Helik D 95 5.90 — — 1 15 9% — — —
S. Long D 95 6.70 — — — 18 13% — — —
C. Brannagan M 95 7.60 1 — 2 42 32% 2 — —
Y. E. Konak M 77 6.90 — — — 24 17% 4 — —
M. Peart-Harris M 76 6.70 — — 1 18 11% 1 — —
J. Donley M 77 6.60 — — 1 21 13% 2 — —
S. Mills M 95 7.90 — — — 16 6% 3 — —
W. Lankshear F 92 6.90 — — 1 16 8% — — —
B. Spencer D 50 7.20 — — — 10 7% 2 — —
M. Harris F 18 6.00 — — 2 5 4% — — —
W. Vaulks M 18 6.90 — — 1 8 5% 2 — —
Hull City Hull City — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 95 7.30 — — — 34 27% — — —
L. Coyle D 95 6.70 — — — 49 39% 1 — —
Charlie Hughes D 45 6.30 — — — 45 44% — 1 —
Semi Ajayi D 95 7.60 — 1 — 72 59% 1 — —
C. Drameh D 95 6.90 — — — 49 40% 5 — —
M. Crooks M 95 6.50 — — 1 52 46% 1 — —
J. Lundstram M 83 6.30 — — 1 65 49% 2 — —
Kyle Joseph M 83 6.50 — — 1 12 6% — — —
J. Gelhardt M 64 6.30 — — — 24 20% 2 — —
Mohamed Belloumi M 64 7.70 1 — 3 35 23% 1 — —
O. McBurnie F 95 6.70 — — — 15 10% — — —
John Egan D 50 7.00 — — — 26 22% — — —
Kieran Dowell M 31 6.30 — — — 14 12% — — —
Lewis Koumas F 31 6.50 — — — 7 7% 1 — —
L. Millar F 12 6.30 — — — 5 5% — — —
T. Collyer M 12 6.70 — — — 11 10% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Oxford United vs Hull City?
The final score was Oxford United 1–1 Hull City.
What did the model predict before Oxford United vs Hull City?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Oxford United win, 28% to a draw, and 33% to an Hull City win.