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Championship · Regular Season - 40 April 03, 2026 16:00
Oxford United
1 – 1
Final score
Hull City
C. Brannagan 13' (pen.)
4' (ast. S. Ajayi) M. Belloumi
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Oxford United a 37% win probability (draw 28%, Hull City 33%). The final result was Oxford United 1–1 Hull City. In 1 previous meetings, Oxford United have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Hull City.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
6
4
Shots on target
2
3.44
Actual xG
0.82
1
Saves
3
34%
Possession
66%
1
Corners
5
17
Tackles
14
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
4'
ast. S. Ajayi · M. Belloumi⚽
12'
Charlie Hughes
⚽C. Brannagan (pen.)
13'
↕ R. Roosken / B. Spencer
46'
46'
J. Egan / C. Hughes ↕
64'
K. Dowell / M. Belloumi ↕
64'
L. Koumas / J. Gelhardt ↕
↕ J. Donley / M. Harris
76'
↕ M. Peart-Harris / Jeon Jin-Woo
76'
↕ Y. E. Konak / W. Vaulks
77'
83'
T. Collyer / J. Lundstram ↕
83'
L. Millar / K. Joseph ↕
↕ W. Lankshear / N. Prelec
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
37.86%
Oxford
28.95%
X ←
33.19%
Hull
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 28.95% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Oxford
1.19
3.44
+2.25
Hull
1.21
0.82
-0.39
Oxford United dominated by xG (3.44 vs 0.82). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Birmingham Birmingham 0 0
2 Blackburn Blackburn 0 0
3 Bolton Bolton 0 0
4 Derby Derby 0 0
5 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 0 0
6 Portsmouth Portsmouth 0 0
7 West Ham West Ham 0 0
8 Bristol City Bristol City 0 0
9 Burnley Burnley 0 0
10 Cardiff Cardiff 0 0
11 Charlton Charlton 0 0
12 Norwich Norwich 0 0
13 Preston Preston 0 0
14 QPR QPR 0 0
15 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 0 0
16 Stoke City Stoke City 0 0
17 Watford Watford 0 0
18 West Brom West Brom 0 0
19 Wolves Wolves 0 0
20 Millwall Millwall 0 0
21 Swansea Swansea 0 0
22 Lincoln Lincoln 0 0
23 Wrexham Wrexham 0 0
24 Southampton Southampton 0 0
Lineups
Oxford United Oxford United 4-2-3-1
1
G 6.70
12
R. Roosken 45' D 6.50
3 Ciaron Brown Ciaron Brown D 7.00
6
M. Helik D 5.90
2
S. Long D 6.70
8
C. Brannagan 1 ⚽ M 7.60
5
Y. E. Konak 77' M 6.90
44
M. Peart-Harris 76' M 6.70
33 Jamie Donley Jamie Donley 77' M 6.60
17
S. Mills M 7.90
27 W. Lankshear W. Lankshear F 6.90
Bench
15 Brodie Spencer Brodie Spencer 50' D 7.20
38 Jamie McDonnell Jamie McDonnell M
9
M. Harris 18' F 6.00
4
W. Vaulks 18' M 6.90
Hull City Hull City 4-2-3-1
12
G 7.30
2 L. Coyle L. Coyle D 6.70
4 C. Hughes C. Hughes 45' D 6.30
6 Semi Ajayi Semi Ajayi 1 👟 D 7.60
18 Cody Drameh Cody Drameh D 6.90
25 M. Crooks M. Crooks M 6.50
5 J. Lundstram J. Lundstram 83' M 6.30
22 Kyle Joseph Kyle Joseph 83' M 6.50
21 J. Gelhardt J. Gelhardt 64' M 6.30
10 Mohamed Belloumi Mohamed Belloumi 1 ⚽ 64' M 7.70
9 O. McBurnie O. McBurnie F 6.70
Bench
20 Amir Hadžiahmetović Amir Hadžiahmetović M
1 Ivor Pandur Ivor Pandur G
15 John Egan John Egan 50' D 7.00
26 Kieran Dowell Kieran Dowell 31' M 6.30
36 Lewis Koumas Lewis Koumas 31' F 6.50
7 Liam Millar Liam Millar 12' F 6.30
37 Paddy McNair Paddy McNair D
33
T. Collyer 12' M 6.70
Best on the pitch
S. Mills
M · Oxford
7.90
· 16 pass
Mohamed Belloumi
Mohamed Belloumi
M · Hull
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots · 35 pass
C. Brannagan
M · Oxford
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots · 42 pass
Semi Ajayi
Semi Ajayi
D · Hull
7.60
1 👟
· 72 pass
G · Hull
7.30
· 34 pass
Brodie Spencer
Brodie Spencer
D · Oxford
7.20
· 10 pass
Oxford United Oxford United — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 95 6.70 — — — 21 7% — — —
R. Roosken D 45 6.50 — — — 9 6% 1 — —
Ciaron Brown D 95 7.00 — — — 37 24% — — —
M. Helik D 95 5.90 — — 1 15 9% — — —
S. Long D 95 6.70 — — — 18 13% — — —
C. Brannagan M 95 7.60 1 — 2 42 32% 2 — —
Y. E. Konak M 77 6.90 — — — 24 17% 4 — —
M. Peart-Harris M 76 6.70 — — 1 18 11% 1 — —
Jamie Donley M 77 6.60 — — 1 21 13% 2 — —
S. Mills M 95 7.90 — — — 16 6% 3 — —
W. Lankshear F 92 6.90 — — 1 16 8% — — —
Brodie Spencer D 50 7.20 — — — 10 7% 2 — —
M. Harris F 18 6.00 — — 2 5 4% — — —
W. Vaulks M 18 6.90 — — 1 8 5% 2 — —
Hull City Hull City — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 95 7.30 — — — 34 27% — — —
L. Coyle D 95 6.70 — — — 49 39% 1 — —
C. Hughes D 45 6.30 — — — 45 44% — 1 —
Semi Ajayi D 95 7.60 — 1 — 72 59% 1 — —
Cody Drameh D 95 6.90 — — — 49 40% 5 — —
M. Crooks M 95 6.50 — — 1 52 46% 1 — —
J. Lundstram M 83 6.30 — — 1 65 49% 2 — —
Kyle Joseph M 83 6.50 — — 1 12 6% — — —
J. Gelhardt M 64 6.30 — — — 24 20% 2 — —
Mohamed Belloumi M 64 7.70 1 — 3 35 23% 1 — —
O. McBurnie F 95 6.70 — — — 15 10% — — —
John Egan D 50 7.00 — — — 26 22% — — —
Kieran Dowell M 31 6.30 — — — 14 12% — — —
Lewis Koumas F 31 6.50 — — — 7 7% 1 — —
Liam Millar F 12 6.30 — — — 5 5% — — —
T. Collyer M 12 6.70 — — — 11 10% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Oxford United vs Hull City?
The final score was Oxford United 1–1 Hull City.
What did the model predict before Oxford United vs Hull City?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Oxford United win, 28% to a draw, and 33% to an Hull City win.