League One · Regular Season - 1 August 15, 2026 13:30 Kassam Stadium, Oxford

Oxford United

#3 · 22 pts

2 – 2

Final score

Milton Keynes Dons

#14 · 15 pts

M. Harris 20'

C. Brown (ast. G. O'Donkor) 90'+5

29' (ast. D. Barlaser) C. Goode

34' (ast. R. Wintle) A. Collins

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Oxford United a 35% win probability (draw 32%, Milton Keynes Dons 32%). The final result was Oxford United 2–2 Milton Keynes Dons. In 1 previous meetings, Oxford United have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Milton Keynes Dons.

Match statistics

4

Shots on target

6

1.14

Actual xG

1.76

63%

Possession

37%

8

Corners

9

Match Events

⚽M. Harris

20'

29'

ast. D. Barlaser · C. Goode⚽

34'

ast. R. Wintle · A. Collins⚽

51'

M. Ekpiteta

C. Brannagan

63'

↕ J. McDonnell / G. O'Donkor

64'

69'

N. Mendez-Laing / A. Collins ↕

74'

C. Paterson / S. Nombe ↕

74'

J. Matete / D. Barlaser ↕

76'

C. Goode

↕ B. Spencer / P. Kioso

77'

↕ S. Dembele / M. Missanga

78'

78'

J. Sanders / C. Goode ↕

M. Harris

90'+1

90'+4

J. Matete

⚽C. Brown · ast. G. O'Donkor

90'+5

Pre-match prediction

35.18%

Oxford

32.37%

X ←

32.45%

Milton

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 32.37% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Oxford

1.29

1.14

-0.15

Milton

0.96

1.76

+0.8

Milton Keynes Dons dominated by xG (1.76 vs 1.14). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Huddersfield	12	25
2	Stockport County	13	23
3	Oxford United	11	22
4	Bradford	12	22
5	Plymouth	13	22
6	Reading	12	21
7	Cambridge United	13	21
8	Luton	12	20
9	Sheffield Wednesday	12	19
10	Mansfield Town	11	18
11	Leicester	12	18
12	Burton Albion	13	17
13	Stevenage	11	15
14	Milton Keynes Dons	12	15
15	Wycombe	12	15
16	Leyton Orient	12	14
17	AFC Wimbledon	12	13
18	Doncaster	12	12
19	Notts County	11	11
20	Blackpool	11	11
21	Peterborough	12	10
22	Bromley	12	9
23	Barnsley	11	8
24	Wigan	12	7