League One · Regular Season - 1 August 15, 2026 13:30

Oxford United

#11 · 7 pts

2 – 2

Final score

Milton Keynes Dons

#20 · 4 pts

M. Harris 20'

C. Brown (ast. G. O'Donkor) 90'+5

29' (ast. D. Barlaser) C. Goode

34' (ast. R. Wintle) A. Collins

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Oxford United a 35% win probability (draw 32%, Milton Keynes Dons 32%). The final result was Oxford United 2–2 Milton Keynes Dons. In 1 previous meetings, Oxford United have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Milton Keynes Dons.

Match statistics

4

Shots on target

6

1.14

Actual xG

1.76

63%

Possession

37%

8

Corners

9

Match Events

⚽M. Harris

20'

29'

ast. D. Barlaser · C. Goode⚽

34'

ast. R. Wintle · A. Collins⚽

51'

M. Ekpiteta

C. Brannagan

63'

↕ J. McDonnell / G. O'Donkor

64'

69'

N. Mendez-Laing / A. Collins ↕

74'

C. Paterson / S. Nombe ↕

74'

J. Matete / D. Barlaser ↕

76'

C. Goode

↕ B. Spencer / P. Kioso

77'

↕ S. Dembele / M. Missanga

78'

78'

J. Sanders / C. Goode ↕

M. Harris

90'+1

90'+4

J. Matete

⚽C. Brown · ast. G. O'Donkor

90'+5

Pre-match prediction

35.18%

Oxford

32.37%

X ←

32.45%

Milton

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 32.37% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Oxford

1.29

1.14

-0.15

Milton

0.96

1.76

+0.8

Milton Keynes Dons dominated by xG (1.76 vs 1.14). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Sheffield Wednesday	5	12
2	Bradford	6	12
3	Huddersfield	5	11
4	Stockport County	5	9
5	Stevenage	6	9
6	Burton Albion	5	8
7	Cambridge United	5	8
8	Luton	6	8
9	Reading	4	7
10	Leyton Orient	6	7
11	Oxford United	4	7
12	Blackpool	5	7
13	Notts County	6	7
14	Plymouth	5	7
15	Barnsley	5	7
16	AFC Wimbledon	5	7
17	Mansfield Town	5	6
18	Wycombe	6	6
19	Leicester	5	5
20	Milton Keynes Dons	5	4
21	Peterborough	5	4
22	Bromley	5	4
23	Doncaster	5	3
24	Wigan	5	3