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Oxford United - Reading

League One September 08, 2026 20:45
Oxford United
#6 · 11 pts
vs
Reading
#8 · 10 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
41.39%
Win
Oxford United
28.65%
Draw
29.97%
Win
Reading
2.93
Expected xG
1.55

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (9.05%)
1X2 Result
1 41%
X 29%
2 30%
Double Chance
1X 70%
X2 59%
12 71%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 77%
Over 2.5 55%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Oxford United a 41% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Reading. Expected goals are 2.9 for Oxford United and 1.6 for Reading (total 4.5), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.05% probability.

Season Stats

Oxford United
2W 1D 1L
Reading
4W 4D 7L
Averages per game
2.2
Goals
1.5
1.5
Conceded
1.3
3.8
Shots OT
3.5
4.3
Corners
4.0
55%
Poss.
50%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
67%
100%
O 2.5
53%
75%
BTTS
53%
25%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in League One. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
55%
O 3.5
80%
BTTS
Oxford United
0W 1D 0L · at home
Reading
3W 4D 3L · away
2.0
gls/g
1.0
2.0
Conceded
1.0
0%
Win %
30%
100%
Win or Draw
70%
100%
O 1.5
60%
100%
O 2.5
30%
100%
O 3.5
10%
100%
BTTS
60%
0%
Clean Sht
10%
0%
Failed to Score
40%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Oxford United Reading →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.1% 1.8% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
1 3.3% 5.2% 4.0% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
2 4.9% 7.6% 5.9% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
3 4.8% 7.4% 5.7% 2.9% 1.1% 0.4%
4 3.5% 5.4% 4.2% 2.2% 0.8% 0.3%
5 2.0% 3.2% 2.4% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%

Recent form

Oxford United Oxford United
D Cambridge United 1–1
W Burton Albion 3–0
W Leicester 0–4
L Huddersfield 3–1
W Stevenage 1–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 29%
Reading Reading
W Notts County 2–0
L Cambridge United 2–1
W Blackpool 3–1
W Mansfield Town 5–0
D AFC Wimbledon 0–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 47%

Playing profile

Oxford United Oxford United
Attack
45
Defence
63
Form
62
Reading Reading
Attack
40
Defence
61
Form
46
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Bradford Bradford 7 15
2 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 7 14
3 Plymouth Plymouth 7 13
4 Huddersfield Huddersfield 7 12
5 Cambridge United Cambridge United 7 12
6 Oxford United Oxford United 6 11
7 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 7 11
8 Reading Reading 6 10
9 Stockport County Stockport County 7 10
10 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 7 10
11 Stevenage Stevenage 7 9
12 Burton Albion Burton Albion 7 9
13 Leicester Leicester 7 9
14 Wycombe Wycombe 7 9
15 Blackpool Blackpool 7 8
16 Luton Luton 7 8
17 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 7 8
18 Barnsley Barnsley 7 8
19 Bromley Bromley 7 8
20 Notts County Notts County 7 7
21 Doncaster Doncaster 7 6
22 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 7 6
23 Peterborough Peterborough 7 5
24 Wigan Wigan 7 4
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Oxford United vs Reading?
The model gives Oxford United a 41% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 29% for an Reading win.
How many goals are expected in Oxford United vs Reading?
Expected goals: Oxford United 2.9, Reading 1.6 (total 4.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Oxford United vs Reading?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.05%.