Championship · Regular Season - 45 April 25, 2026 16:00

Oxford United

#22 · 47 pts

4 – 1

Final score

Sheffield Wednesday

#24 · 0 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Oxford United

W. Lankshear (ast. S. Mills) 5'

W. Lankshear (ast. M. Peart-Harris) 27'

W. Vaulks 67'

M. Peart-Harris (ast. W. Lankshear) 73'

72' (ast. N. Chalobah) W. Grainger

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Oxford United a 61% win probability (draw 27%, Sheffield Wednesday 11%). The final result was Oxford United 4–1 Sheffield Wednesday. In 1 previous meetings, Oxford United have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Sheffield Wednesday.

Match statistics

16

Total shots

7

10

Shots on target

3

2.15

Actual xG

1.00

2

Saves

5

50%

Possession

50%

5

Corners

3

17

Tackles

10

1

🟨 Yellow cards

0

Match Events

⚽W. Lankshear · ast. S. Mills

5'

↕ C. Brannagan / M. Peart-Harris

19'

⚽W. Lankshear · ast. M. Peart-Harris

27'

46'

M. Maltby / S. Fusire ↕

↕ H. ter Avest / S. Long

63'

↕ J. Donley / Y. E. Konak

63'

66'

W. Grainger / C. McNeill ↕

⚽W. Vaulks

67'

72'

ast. N. Chalobah · W. Grainger⚽

⚽M. Peart-Harris · ast. W. Lankshear

73'

↕ A. Emakhu / M. Harris

77'

↕ S. Mills / O. ter Haar Romeny

77'

77'

O. Kobacki / J. Yates ↕

77'

J. Thornton / N. Chalobah ↕

B. Spencer

82'

90'+1

D. Moses / M. Lowe ↕

Pre-match prediction

61.27%

Oxford ←

27.37%

X

11.36%

Sheffield

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Oxford United) 61.27% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Oxford

1.35

2.15

+0.8

Sheffield

0.37

1.00

+0.63

Oxford United dominated by xG (2.15 vs 1.00). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Coventry	46	95
2	Ipswich	46	84
3	Millwall	46	83
4	Southampton	46	80
5	Middlesbrough	46	80
6	Hull City	46	73
7	Wrexham	46	71
8	Derby	46	69
9	Norwich	46	65
10	Birmingham	46	64
11	Swansea	46	64
12	Bristol City	46	62
13	Sheffield Utd	46	60
14	Preston	46	60
15	QPR	46	58
16	Watford	46	57
17	Stoke City	46	55
18	Portsmouth	46	55
19	Charlton	46	53
20	Blackburn	46	52
21	West Brom	46	51
22	Oxford United	46	47
23	Leicester	46	46
24	Sheffield Wednesday	46	0

Lineups

Oxford United 4-2-3-1

1

G 7.60

15

B. Spencer D 6.70

3

C. Brown D 6.70

6

M. Helik D 6.30

4

W. Vaulks 1 ⚽ D 8.30

24

H. ter Avest 63' M 7.30

8

C. Brannagan 19' M 7.00

10

A. Emakhu 77' M 6.30

33

J. Donley 63' M 7.50

17

S. Mills 1 👟 77' M 8.00

27 W. Lankshear 2 ⚽ 1 👟 F 9.20

Bench

38

J. McDonnell M

9

M. Harris 14' F 6.70

44

M. Peart-Harris 1 ⚽ 1 👟 72' M 7.60

2

S. Long 28' D 6.60

5

Y. E. Konak 28' M 6.90

Sheffield Wednesday 3-4-3

1

P. Charles G 6.90

3

M. Lowe D 5.90

6

D 6.20

2

L. Palmer D 6.30

45

T. Adaramola M 6.20

14

N. Chalobah 1 👟 77' M 7.20

24

J. Heskey M 7.30

4

Sean Fusire 45' M 6.30

9 J. Lowe F 7.00

12

J. Yates 77' F 6.20

17

C. McNeill 66' F 6.90

Bench

37

J. Thornton 14' M 6.50

18

M. Nakamba M

19

O. Kobacki 14' F 6.50

31

W. Grainger 1 ⚽ 25' F 7.90

Best on the pitch

W. Lankshear

F · Oxford

9.20

2 ⚽ 1 👟

3 shots · 14 pass

W. Vaulks

D · Oxford

8.30

1 ⚽

3 shots · 58 pass

S. Mills

M · Oxford

8.00

1 👟

3 shots · 24 pass

W. Grainger

F · Sheffield

7.90

1 ⚽

2 shots · 7 pass

M. Peart-Harris

M · Oxford

7.60

1 ⚽ 1 👟

2 shots · 20 pass

G · Oxford

7.60

· 25 pass

Oxford United — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	91	7.60	—	—	—	25	20%	—	—	—
B. Spencer	D	91	6.70	—	—	2	40	31%	3	1	—
C. Brown	D	91	6.70	—	—	1	38	35%	—	—	—
M. Helik	D	91	6.30	—	—	1	36	30%	1	—	—
W. Vaulks	D	91	8.30	1	—	3	58	43%	4	—	—
H. ter Avest	M	63	7.30	—	—	1	41	36%	2	—	—
C. Brannagan	M	19	7.00	—	—	—	8	4%	—	—	—
A. Emakhu	M	77	6.30	—	—	—	16	10%	2	—	—
J. Donley	M	63	7.50	—	—	—	11	7%	—	—	—
S. Mills	M	77	8.00	—	1	3	24	18%	—	—	—
W. Lankshear	F	91	9.20	2	1	3	14	11%	—	—	—
M. Harris	F	14	6.70	—	—	—	3	3%	—	—	—
M. Peart-Harris	M	72	7.60	1	1	2	20	13%	2	—	—
S. Long	D	28	6.60	—	—	—	6	6%	1	—	—
Y. E. Konak	M	28	6.90	—	—	—	10	9%	2	—	—

Sheffield Wednesday — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
P. Charles	G	91	6.90	—	—	—	36	31%	—	—	—
M. Lowe	D	91	5.90	—	—	—	58	47%	—	—	—
	D	91	6.20	—	—	—	37	30%	—	—	—
L. Palmer	D	91	6.30	—	—	—	31	23%	4	—	—
T. Adaramola	M	91	6.20	—	—	1	18	13%	—	—	—
N. Chalobah	M	77	7.20	—	1	—	42	31%	—	—	—
J. Heskey	M	91	7.30	—	—	—	38	32%	3	—	—
Sean Fusire	M	45	6.30	—	—	—	4	4%	1	—	—
J. Lowe	F	91	7.00	—	—	2	23	18%	1	—	—
J. Yates	F	77	6.20	—	—	1	15	12%	—	—	—
C. McNeill	F	66	6.90	—	—	1	19	12%	1	—	—
J. Thornton	M	14	6.50	—	—	—	13	11%	—	—	—
O. Kobacki	F	14	6.50	—	—	—	3	3%	—	—	—
W. Grainger	F	25	7.90	1	—	2	7	6%	—	—	—