Championship · Regular Season - 45 April 25, 2026 16:00

Oxford United

4 – 1

Final score

Sheffield Wednesday

✓Model correct — prediction Oxford United

W. Lankshear (ast. S. Mills) 5'

W. Lankshear (ast. M. Peart-Harris) 27'

W. Vaulks 67'

M. Peart-Harris (ast. W. Lankshear) 73'

72' (ast. N. Chalobah) W. Grainger

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Oxford United a 61% win probability (draw 27%, Sheffield Wednesday 11%). The final result was Oxford United 4–1 Sheffield Wednesday. In 1 previous meetings, Oxford United have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Sheffield Wednesday.

Match statistics

16

Total shots

7

10

Shots on target

3

2.15

Actual xG

1.00

2

Saves

5

50%

Possession

50%

5

Corners

3

17

Tackles

10

1

🟨 Yellow cards

0

Match Events

⚽W. Lankshear · ast. S. Mills

5'

↕ C. Brannagan / M. Peart-Harris

19'

⚽W. Lankshear · ast. M. Peart-Harris

27'

46'

M. Maltby / S. Fusire ↕

↕ H. ter Avest / S. Long

63'

↕ J. Donley / Y. E. Konak

63'

66'

W. Grainger / C. McNeill ↕

⚽W. Vaulks

67'

72'

ast. N. Chalobah · W. Grainger⚽

⚽M. Peart-Harris · ast. W. Lankshear

73'

↕ A. Emakhu / M. Harris

77'

↕ S. Mills / O. ter Haar Romeny

77'

77'

O. Kobacki / J. Yates ↕

77'

J. Thornton / N. Chalobah ↕

B. Spencer

82'

90'+1

D. Moses / M. Lowe ↕

Pre-match prediction

61.27%

Oxford ←

27.37%

X

11.36%

Sheffield

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Oxford United) 61.27% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Oxford

1.35

2.15

+0.8

Sheffield

0.37

1.00

+0.63

Oxford United dominated by xG (2.15 vs 1.00). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	West Ham	7	14
2	West Brom	7	14
3	QPR	7	12
4	Swansea	6	11
5	Charlton	6	11
6	Middlesbrough	5	10
7	Bristol City	5	10
8	Birmingham	7	10
9	Millwall	5	9
10	Norwich	6	9
11	Sheffield Utd	6	9
12	Wolves	5	8
13	Watford	6	8
14	Southampton	6	7
15	Stoke City	6	7
16	Wrexham	7	7
17	Bolton	7	7
18	Portsmouth	5	6
19	Blackburn	6	5
20	Lincoln	5	5
21	Cardiff	7	4
22	Derby	7	4
23	Burnley	6	3
24	Preston	6	3

Lineups

Oxford United 4-2-3-1

1

G 7.60

15 B. Spencer D 6.70

3 C. Brown D 6.70

6 M. Helik D 6.30

4

W. Vaulks 1 ⚽ D 8.30

24 H. ter Avest 63' M 7.30

8 C. Brannagan 19' M 7.00

10 Aidomo Emakhu 77' M 6.30

33 J. Donley 63' M 7.50

17 S. Mills 1 👟 77' M 8.00

27 W. Lankshear 2 ⚽ 1 👟 F 9.20

Bench

38 Jamie Carson McDonnell M

9 M. Harris 14' F 6.70

44 M. Peart-Harris 1 ⚽ 1 👟 72' M 7.60

2 S. Long 28' D 6.60

5 Y. Konak 28' M 6.90

Sheffield Wednesday 3-4-3

1 P. Charles G 6.90

3 Max Lowe D 5.90

6

D 6.20

2 L. Palmer D 6.30

45 Tayo Adaramola M 6.20

14 N. Chalobah 1 👟 77' M 7.20

24 Jaden Heskey M 7.30

4 Sean Fusire 45' M 6.30

9 J. Lowe F 7.00

12 J. Yates 77' F 6.20

17 Charlie McNeill 66' F 6.90

Bench

37 Jarvis Thornton 14' M 6.50

18 M. Nakamba M

19 O. Kobacki 14' F 6.50

31 W. Grainger 1 ⚽ 25' F 7.90

Best on the pitch

W. Lankshear

F · Oxford

9.20

2 ⚽ 1 👟

3 shots · 14 pass

W. Vaulks

D · Oxford

8.30

1 ⚽

3 shots · 58 pass

S. Mills

M · Oxford

8.00

1 👟

3 shots · 24 pass

W. Grainger

F · Sheffield

7.90

1 ⚽

2 shots · 7 pass

M. Peart-Harris

M · Oxford

7.60

1 ⚽ 1 👟

2 shots · 20 pass

G · Oxford

7.60

· 25 pass

Oxford United — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	91	7.60	—	—	—	25	20%	—	—	—
B. Spencer	D	91	6.70	—	—	2	40	31%	3	1	—
C. Brown	D	91	6.70	—	—	1	38	35%	—	—	—
M. Helik	D	91	6.30	—	—	1	36	30%	1	—	—
W. Vaulks	D	91	8.30	1	—	3	58	43%	4	—	—
H. ter Avest	M	63	7.30	—	—	1	41	36%	2	—	—
C. Brannagan	M	19	7.00	—	—	—	8	4%	—	—	—
Aidomo Emakhu	M	77	6.30	—	—	—	16	10%	2	—	—
J. Donley	M	63	7.50	—	—	—	11	7%	—	—	—
S. Mills	M	77	8.00	—	1	3	24	18%	—	—	—
W. Lankshear	F	91	9.20	2	1	3	14	11%	—	—	—
M. Harris	F	14	6.70	—	—	—	3	3%	—	—	—
M. Peart-Harris	M	72	7.60	1	1	2	20	13%	2	—	—
S. Long	D	28	6.60	—	—	—	6	6%	1	—	—
Y. Konak	M	28	6.90	—	—	—	10	9%	2	—	—

Sheffield Wednesday — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
P. Charles	G	91	6.90	—	—	—	36	31%	—	—	—
Max Lowe	D	91	5.90	—	—	—	58	47%	—	—	—
	D	91	6.20	—	—	—	37	30%	—	—	—
L. Palmer	D	91	6.30	—	—	—	31	23%	4	—	—
Tayo Adaramola	M	91	6.20	—	—	1	18	13%	—	—	—
N. Chalobah	M	77	7.20	—	1	—	42	31%	—	—	—
Jaden Heskey	M	91	7.30	—	—	—	38	32%	3	—	—
Sean Fusire	M	45	6.30	—	—	—	4	4%	1	—	—
J. Lowe	F	91	7.00	—	—	2	23	18%	1	—	—
J. Yates	F	77	6.20	—	—	1	15	12%	—	—	—
Charlie McNeill	F	66	6.90	—	—	1	19	12%	1	—	—
Jarvis Thornton	M	14	6.50	—	—	—	13	11%	—	—	—
O. Kobacki	F	14	6.50	—	—	—	3	3%	—	—	—
W. Grainger	F	25	7.90	1	—	2	7	6%	—	—	—