Championship
· Regular Season - 45
April 25, 2026 16:00
✓Model correct — prediction Oxford United
W. Lankshear
(ast. S. Mills)
5'
W. Lankshear
(ast. M. Peart-Harris)
27'
W. Vaulks
67'
M. Peart-Harris
(ast. W. Lankshear)
73'
72'
(ast. N. Chalobah)
W. Grainger
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Oxford United a 61% win probability (draw 27%, Sheffield Wednesday 11%). The final result was Oxford United 4–1 Sheffield Wednesday. In 1 previous meetings, Oxford United have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Sheffield Wednesday.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
7
10
Shots on target
3
2.15
Actual xG
1.00
2
Saves
5
50%
Possession
50%
5
Corners
3
17
Tackles
10
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽W. Lankshear
· ast. S. Mills
5'
C. Brannagan
/ M. Peart-Harris
19'
⚽W. Lankshear
· ast. M. Peart-Harris
27'
46'
M. Maltby
/
S. Fusire
H. ter Avest
/ S. Long
63'
J. Donley
/ Y. E. Konak
63'
66'
W. Grainger
/
C. McNeill
⚽W. Vaulks
67'
72'
ast. N. Chalobah ·
W. Grainger⚽
⚽M. Peart-Harris
· ast. W. Lankshear
73'
A. Emakhu
/ M. Harris
77'
S. Mills
/ O. ter Haar Romeny
77'
77'
O. Kobacki
/
J. Yates
77'
J. Thornton
/
N. Chalobah
B. Spencer
82'
90'+1
D. Moses
/
M. Lowe
Pre-match prediction
61.27%
Oxford ←
27.37%
X
11.36%
Sheffield
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Oxford United)
61.27%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.35
2.15
+0.8
0.37
1.00
+0.63
Oxford United dominated by xG (2.15 vs 1.00).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
15
Brodie Spencer
D
Brodie Spencer
D
3
Ciaron Brown
D
Ciaron Brown
D
6
M. Helik
D
4
W. Vaulks
1 ⚽
D
24
H. ter Avest
63'
M
8
C. Brannagan
19'
M
10
A. Emakhu
77'
M
A. Emakhu
77'
M
33
Jamie Donley
63'
M
Jamie Donley
63'
M
17
S. Mills
1 👟
77'
M
27
W. Lankshear
2 ⚽
1 👟
F
W. Lankshear
2 ⚽
1 👟
F
Bench
38
Jamie McDonnell
M
Jamie McDonnell
M
9
M. Harris
14'
F
44
M. Peart-Harris
1 ⚽
1 👟
72'
M
2
S. Long
28'
D
5
Y. E. Konak
28'
M
1
Pierce Charles
G
Pierce Charles
G
3
M. Lowe
D
6
D
2
L. Palmer
D
45
Tayo Adaramola
M
Tayo Adaramola
M
14
N. Chalobah
1 👟
77'
M
24
J. Heskey
M
4
Sean Fusire
45'
M
9
J. Lowe
F
J. Lowe
F
12
J. Yates
77'
F
17
C. McNeill
66'
F
Bench
37
J. Thornton
14'
M
18
Marvelous Nakamba
M
19
O. Kobacki
14'
F
31
W. Grainger
1 ⚽
25'
F
Best on the pitch
W. Lankshear
F · Oxford
9.20
2 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 14 pass
W. Vaulks
D · Oxford
8.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 58 pass
S. Mills
M · Oxford
8.00
1 👟
3 shots
· 24 pass
W. Grainger
F · Sheffield
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 7 pass
M. Peart-Harris
M · Oxford
7.60
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 20 pass
G · Oxford
7.60
· 25 pass
Oxford United — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 91 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| Brodie Spencer | D | 91 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 40 | 31% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Ciaron Brown | D | 91 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 35% | — | — | — |
| M. Helik | D | 91 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| W. Vaulks | D | 91 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 58 | 43% | 4 | — | — |
| H. ter Avest | M | 63 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Brannagan | M | 19 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 8 | 4% | — | — | — |
| A. Emakhu | M | 77 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Jamie Donley | M | 63 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| S. Mills | M | 77 | 8.00 | — | 1 | 3 | 24 | 18% | — | — | — |
| W. Lankshear | F | 91 | 9.20 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
| M. Harris | F | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| M. Peart-Harris | M | 72 | 7.60 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Long | D | 28 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. E. Konak | M | 28 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
Sheffield Wednesday — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierce Charles | G | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | — | — | — |
| M. Lowe | D | 91 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 58 | 47% | — | — | — |
| D | 91 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 30% | — | — | — | |
| L. Palmer | D | 91 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 23% | 4 | — | — |
| Tayo Adaramola | M | 91 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 13% | — | — | — |
| N. Chalobah | M | 77 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 42 | 31% | — | — | — |
| J. Heskey | M | 91 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 32% | 3 | — | — |
| Sean Fusire | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Lowe | F | 91 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Yates | F | 77 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| C. McNeill | F | 66 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Thornton | M | 14 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| O. Kobacki | F | 14 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| W. Grainger | F | 25 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Oxford United vs Sheffield Wednesday?
The final score was Oxford United 4–1 Sheffield Wednesday.
What did the model predict before Oxford United vs Sheffield Wednesday?
The model assigned 61% probability to a Oxford United win, 27% to a draw, and 11% to an Sheffield Wednesday win.