Championship · Regular Season - 45 April 25, 2026 16:00

Oxford United

4 – 1

Final score

Sheffield Wednesday

✓Model correct — prediction Oxford United

W. Lankshear (ast. S. Mills) 5'

W. Lankshear (ast. M. Peart-Harris) 27'

W. Vaulks 67'

M. Peart-Harris (ast. W. Lankshear) 73'

72' (ast. N. Chalobah) W. Grainger

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Oxford United a 61% win probability (draw 27%, Sheffield Wednesday 11%). The final result was Oxford United 4–1 Sheffield Wednesday. In 1 previous meetings, Oxford United have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Sheffield Wednesday.

Match statistics

16

Total shots

7

10

Shots on target

3

2.15

Actual xG

1.00

2

Saves

5

50%

Possession

50%

5

Corners

3

17

Tackles

10

1

🟨 Yellow cards

0

Match Events

⚽W. Lankshear · ast. S. Mills

5'

↕ C. Brannagan / M. Peart-Harris

19'

⚽W. Lankshear · ast. M. Peart-Harris

27'

46'

M. Maltby / S. Fusire ↕

↕ H. ter Avest / S. Long

63'

↕ J. Donley / Y. E. Konak

63'

66'

W. Grainger / C. McNeill ↕

⚽W. Vaulks

67'

72'

ast. N. Chalobah · W. Grainger⚽

⚽M. Peart-Harris · ast. W. Lankshear

73'

↕ A. Emakhu / M. Harris

77'

↕ S. Mills / O. ter Haar Romeny

77'

77'

O. Kobacki / J. Yates ↕

77'

J. Thornton / N. Chalobah ↕

B. Spencer

82'

90'+1

D. Moses / M. Lowe ↕

Pre-match prediction

61.27%

Oxford ←

27.37%

X

11.36%

Sheffield

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Oxford United) 61.27% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Oxford

1.35

2.15

+0.8

Sheffield

0.37

1.00

+0.63

Oxford United dominated by xG (2.15 vs 1.00). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Middlesbrough	12	25
2	Swansea	12	23
3	West Ham	12	22
4	Wolves	12	21
5	West Brom	12	21
6	Southampton	12	20
7	Birmingham	12	20
8	QPR	12	20
9	Stoke City	12	20
10	Blackburn	12	18
11	Portsmouth	12	18
12	Sheffield Utd	12	16
13	Millwall	12	15
14	Bristol City	12	15
15	Lincoln	12	15
16	Cardiff	12	14
17	Wrexham	12	14
18	Bolton	12	14
19	Charlton	12	14
20	Norwich	12	12
21	Watford	12	11
22	Burnley	12	8
23	Derby	12	7
24	Preston	12	5

Lineups

Oxford United 4-2-3-1

1

G 7.60

15 B. Spencer D 6.70

3 C. Brown D 6.70

6 M. Helik D 6.30

4 W. Vaulks 1 ⚽ D 8.30

24 Hidde ter Avest 63' M 7.30

8 C. Brannagan 19' M 7.00

10 A. Emakhu 77' M 6.30

33 J. Donley 63' M 7.50

17 S. Mills 1 👟 77' M 8.00

27 W. Lankshear 2 ⚽ 1 👟 F 9.20

Bench

38 Jamie Carson McDonnell M

9 M. Harris 14' F 6.70

44 M. Peart-Harris 1 ⚽ 1 👟 72' M 7.60

2 S. Long 28' D 6.60

5 Y. Konak 28' M 6.90

Sheffield Wednesday 3-4-3

1 P. Charles G 6.90

3 M. Lowe D 5.90

6

D 6.20

2 L. Palmer D 6.30

45 Tayo Adaramola M 6.20

14 N. Chalobah 1 👟 77' M 7.20

24 Jaden Heskey M 7.30

4 S. Fusire 45' M 6.30

9 J. Lowe F 7.00

12 J. Yates 77' F 6.20

17 Charlie McNeill 66' F 6.90

Bench

37 Jarvis Thornton 14' M 6.50

18 M. Nakamba M

19 O. Kobacki 14' F 6.50

31 W. Grainger 1 ⚽ 25' F 7.90

Best on the pitch

W. Lankshear

F · Oxford

9.20

2 ⚽ 1 👟

3 shots · 14 pass

W. Vaulks

D · Oxford

8.30

1 ⚽

3 shots · 58 pass

S. Mills

M · Oxford

8.00

1 👟

3 shots · 24 pass

W. Grainger

F · Sheffield

7.90

1 ⚽

2 shots · 7 pass

M. Peart-Harris

M · Oxford

7.60

1 ⚽ 1 👟

2 shots · 20 pass

G · Oxford

7.60

· 25 pass

Oxford United — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	91	7.60	—	—	—	25	20%	—	—	—
B. Spencer	D	91	6.70	—	—	2	40	31%	3	1	—
C. Brown	D	91	6.70	—	—	1	38	35%	—	—	—
M. Helik	D	91	6.30	—	—	1	36	30%	1	—	—
W. Vaulks	D	91	8.30	1	—	3	58	43%	4	—	—
Hidde ter Avest	M	63	7.30	—	—	1	41	36%	2	—	—
C. Brannagan	M	19	7.00	—	—	—	8	4%	—	—	—
A. Emakhu	M	77	6.30	—	—	—	16	10%	2	—	—
J. Donley	M	63	7.50	—	—	—	11	7%	—	—	—
S. Mills	M	77	8.00	—	1	3	24	18%	—	—	—
W. Lankshear	F	91	9.20	2	1	3	14	11%	—	—	—
M. Harris	F	14	6.70	—	—	—	3	3%	—	—	—
M. Peart-Harris	M	72	7.60	1	1	2	20	13%	2	—	—
S. Long	D	28	6.60	—	—	—	6	6%	1	—	—
Y. Konak	M	28	6.90	—	—	—	10	9%	2	—	—

Sheffield Wednesday — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
P. Charles	G	91	6.90	—	—	—	36	31%	—	—	—
M. Lowe	D	91	5.90	—	—	—	58	47%	—	—	—
	D	91	6.20	—	—	—	37	30%	—	—	—
L. Palmer	D	91	6.30	—	—	—	31	23%	4	—	—
Tayo Adaramola	M	91	6.20	—	—	1	18	13%	—	—	—
N. Chalobah	M	77	7.20	—	1	—	42	31%	—	—	—
Jaden Heskey	M	91	7.30	—	—	—	38	32%	3	—	—
S. Fusire	M	45	6.30	—	—	—	4	4%	1	—	—
J. Lowe	F	91	7.00	—	—	2	23	18%	1	—	—
J. Yates	F	77	6.20	—	—	1	15	12%	—	—	—
Charlie McNeill	F	66	6.90	—	—	1	19	12%	1	—	—
Jarvis Thornton	M	14	6.50	—	—	—	13	11%	—	—	—
O. Kobacki	F	14	6.50	—	—	—	3	3%	—	—	—
W. Grainger	F	25	7.90	1	—	2	7	6%	—	—	—