Michał Helik
44'
Kai Andrews
(ast. Siriki Dembele)
76'
69'
(ast. Jon Mellish)
Christian Saydee
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Oxford United a 46% win probability (draw 29%, Wigan 24%). The final result was Oxford United 2–1 Wigan.
Match statistics
24
Total shots
7
7
Shots on target
1
1.99
Actual xG
0.54
0
Saves
4
62%
Possession
38%
9
Corners
1
13
Tackles
23
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
26'
Jensen Weir
31'
Charlie Gray
⚽Michał Helik
44'
52'
Christian Saydee
/
Connor Barrett
52'
Reggie Walsh
/
Charlie Gray
Tyler Goodrham
/ Aidomo Emakhu
64'
Mo Missanga
/ Luka Lynch
64'
67'
Jon Mellish
/
Scott Hogan
Cameron Brannagan
68'
69'
ast. Jon Mellish ·
Christian Saydee⚽
72'
Fraser Murray
75'
Gary Caldwell
⚽Kai Andrews
· ast. Siriki Dembele
76'
Siriki Dembele
79'
83'
K'Marni Miller
/
Archie Harris
83'
Chris Sze
/
Bradley Burrowes
Siriki Dembele
/ Louie Sibley
84'
85'
Finley Burns
Mark Harris
89'
Mark Harris
/ L. Snowden
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
46.15%
Oxford ←
29.8%
X
24.05%
Wigan
we assigned to the actual result (Oxford United)
46.15%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.31
1.99
+0.68
0.52
0.54
+0.02
Oxford United dominated by xG (1.99 vs 0.54).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
J. Cumming
G
J. Cumming
G
26
J. Currie
D
J. Currie
D
3
C. Brown
D
C. Brown
D
6
M. Helik
1 ⚽
D
M. Helik
1 ⚽
D
15
B. Spencer
D
B. Spencer
D
4
Kai Andrews
1 ⚽
M
Kai Andrews
1 ⚽
M
8
C. Brannagan
M
C. Brannagan
M
23
S. Dembélé
1 👟
84'
M
S. Dembélé
1 👟
84'
M
11
T. Goodrham
64'
M
T. Goodrham
64'
M
57
M. Missanga
64'
M
M. Missanga
64'
M
9
M. Harris
89'
F
M. Harris
89'
F
Bench
10
A. Emakhu
26'
F
A. Emakhu
26'
F
22
G. Leigh
D
G. Leigh
D
20
L. Lynch
26'
F
L. Lynch
26'
F
32
L. Sibley
6'
M
L. Sibley
6'
M
27
L. Snowden
1'
F
L. Snowden
1'
F
13
S. Eastwood
G
S. Eastwood
G
2
S. Long
D
S. Long
D
41
J. Whitworth
G
J. Whitworth
G
16
Archie Harris
83'
D
3
M. Fox
D
M. Fox
D
5
F. Burns
D
F. Burns
D
4
J. Chilokoa-Mullen
D
J. Chilokoa-Mullen
D
6
J. Weir
M
J. Weir
M
18
Charlie Gray
52'
M
Charlie Gray
52'
M
7
F. Murray
72'
M
F. Murray
72'
M
27
B. Burrows
83'
M
B. Burrows
83'
M
2
C. Barrett
52'
M
C. Barrett
52'
M
25
S. Hogan
67'
F
S. Hogan
67'
F
Bench
38
C. Saydee
1 ⚽
38'
F
C. Saydee
1 ⚽
38'
F
19
C. Sze
7'
F
C. Sze
7'
F
22
J. Mellish
1 👟
23'
D
J. Mellish
1 👟
23'
D
1
J. Walsh
G
J. Walsh
G
21
K'Marni Miller
7'
D
K'Marni Miller
7'
D
10
R. Walsh
38'
M
R. Walsh
38'
M
9
S. Perkins
F
S. Perkins
F
Best on the pitch
M. Helik
D · Oxford
7.95
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 96 pass
C. Saydee
F · Wigan
7.81
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 4 pass
S. Dembélé
M · Oxford
7.70
1 👟
4 shots
· 27 pass
Kai Andrews
M · Oxford
7.57
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 35 pass
C. Brannagan
M · Oxford
6.90
5 shots
· 72 pass
A. Emakhu
F · Oxford
6.87
5 shots
· 9 pass
Oxford United — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Cumming | G | 90 | 6.39 | — | — | 0 | 41 | 36% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Currie | D | 90 | 6.68 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Brown | D | 90 | 6.85 | — | — | 0 | 85 | 78% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Helik | D | 90 | 7.95 | 1 | — | 3 | 96 | 83% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Spencer | D | 90 | 6.28 | — | — | 2 | 47 | 37% | 4 | — | — |
| Kai Andrews | M | 90 | 7.57 | 1 | — | 1 | 35 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Brannagan | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 5 | 72 | 68% | 0 | 1 | — |
| S. Dembélé | M | 84 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 4 | 27 | 24% | 1 | 1 | — |
| T. Goodrham | M | 64 | 6.38 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Missanga | M | 64 | 6.23 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Harris | F | 89 | 6.07 | — | — | 3 | 8 | 7% | 0 | 1 | — |
| A. Emakhu | F | 26 | 6.87 | — | — | 5 | 9 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Lynch | F | 26 | 6.55 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Sibley | M | 6 | 6.73 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Snowden | F | 1 | 6.50 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
Wigan — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Whitworth | G | 90 | 6.58 | — | — | 0 | 41 | 28% | 0 | — | — |
| Archie Harris | D | 83 | 6.07 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Fox | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 0 | 52 | 41% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Burns | D | 90 | 6.42 | — | — | 0 | 45 | 39% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Chilokoa-Mullen | D | 90 | 5.99 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Weir | M | 90 | 6.01 | — | — | 0 | 36 | 27% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Charlie Gray | M | 52 | 5.63 | — | — | 0 | 29 | 24% | 0 | 1 | — |
| F. Murray | M | 72 | 5.19 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 13% | 1 | — | 1 |
| B. Burrows | M | 83 | 5.92 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Barrett | M | 52 | 6.17 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Hogan | F | 67 | 6.13 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Saydee | F | 38 | 7.81 | 1 | — | 1 | 4 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Sze | F | 7 | 6.45 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 1% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Mellish | D | 23 | 6.21 | — | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| K'Marni Miller | D | 7 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Walsh | M | 38 | 6.28 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 9% | 5 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Oxford United vs Wigan?
The final score was Oxford United 2–1 Wigan.
What did the model predict before Oxford United vs Wigan?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Oxford United win, 29% to a draw, and 24% to an Wigan win.