Francisco Venegas
(ast. Rodolfo Pizarro)
20'
13'
(ast. Alan Mozo)
Gabriel Fernández
(pen.)
79'
Andrés Montaño
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cruz Azul a 50% win probability (draw 22%, CF Pachuca 27%). The final result was CF Pachuca 1–2 Cruz Azul. In 2 previous meetings, CF Pachuca have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Cruz Azul.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
11
5
Shots on target
5
1.16
Actual xG
1.86
2
Saves
5
44%
Possession
56%
0
Corners
8
13
Tackles
13
5
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
Eduardo Dos Santos
11'
13'
ast. Alan Mozo ·
Gabriel Fernández⚽
⚽Francisco Venegas
· ast. Rodolfo Pizarro
20'
39'
Carlos Rodriguez
Oussama Idrissi
45'
Francisco Venegas
48'
61'
Luka Romero
/
Ángel Márquez
61'
Rogelio Gonzalez
/
Omar Campos
Rodolfo Pizarro
63'
Rodolfo Pizarro
/ Adrián Alcaraz
67'
Oussama Idrissi
/ Gael Álvarez
67'
70'
Carlos Rotondi
/
Alan Mozo
70'
Andrés Montaño
/
Agustín Palavecino
Pedro Budib
75'
79'
(pen.)
Andrés Montaño⚽
Jorge Berlanga
/ Cristóbal Hernández
79'
Javier Vallejo
/ Robert Nunes
79'
82'
Jesús Orozco
/
Carlos Rodriguez
85'
Amaury García
Francisco Venegas
/ Mauricio Isais
85'
87'
90'+4
Luka Romero
Pre-match prediction
27.94%
CF
22.04%
X
50.02%
Cruz ←
we assigned to the actual result (Cruz Azul)
50.02%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.80
1.16
-0.64
2.86
1.86
-1.0
Cruz Azul dominated by xG (1.86 vs 1.16).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
25
C. Moreno
G
C. Moreno
G
15
F. Venegas
1 ⚽
85'
D
F. Venegas
1 ⚽
85'
D
32
P. Budib
D
P. Budib
D
4
Eduardo Bauermann
D
Eduardo Bauermann
D
13
J. Berlanga
79'
D
J. Berlanga
79'
D
26
Alán Ernesto Bautista Gutiérrez
M
Alán Ernesto Bautista Gutiérrez
M
16
C. Rivera
M
C. Rivera
M
11
O. Idrissi
67'
M
O. Idrissi
67'
M
7
R. Pizarro
1 👟
67'
M
R. Pizarro
1 👟
67'
M
21
N. Vallejo
79'
M
N. Vallejo
79'
M
23
S. Rondón
F
S. Rondón
F
Bench
9
A. Alcaraz
23'
F
A. Alcaraz
23'
F
211
C. Hernandez
11'
F
C. Hernandez
11'
F
187
G. Ãlvarez
23'
F
G. Ãlvarez
23'
F
31
J. Eulogio
G
J. Eulogio
G
29
Kenedy
11'
M
Kenedy
11'
M
6
M. Isaís
5'
D
M. Isaís
5'
D
30
S. Rodríguez
M
S. Rodríguez
M
12
S. Santos
M
S. Santos
M
1
A. Gudiño
G
A. Gudiño
G
33
G. Piovi
D
G. Piovi
D
12
A. Montes
D
A. Montes
D
17
A. García
D
A. García
D
3
O. Campos
61'
M
O. Campos
61'
M
16
J. Márquez
61'
M
J. Márquez
61'
M
6
É. Lira
M
É. Lira
M
2
A. Mozo
1 👟
70'
M
A. Mozo
1 👟
70'
M
19
C. Rodríguez
82'
M
C. Rodríguez
82'
M
8
A. Palavecino
70'
M
A. Palavecino
70'
M
21
G. Fernández
1 ⚽
F
G. Fernández
1 ⚽
F
Bench
10
A. Montaño
1 ⚽
20'
M
A. Montaño
1 ⚽
20'
M
60
Ariel Castro Sevilla
M
Ariel Castro Sevilla
M
11
C. Ebere
F
C. Ebere
F
29
C. Rotondi
20'
F
C. Rotondi
20'
F
14
J. Calero
F
J. Calero
F
5
J. Orozco
8'
D
J. Orozco
8'
D
23
K. Mier
G
K. Mier
G
18
L. Romero
29'
F
L. Romero
29'
F
7
N. Ibáñez
F
N. Ibáñez
F
55
R. Gonzalez
29'
M
R. Gonzalez
29'
M
Best on the pitch
G. Fernández
F · Cruz
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 17 pass
A. Montaño
M · Cruz
7.63
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 14 pass
A. Gudiño
G · Cruz
7.24
· 31 pass
J. Márquez
M · Cruz
7.07
1 shots
· 40 pass
G. Piovi
D · Cruz
7.04
· 74 pass
F. Venegas
D · CF
6.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 30 pass
CF Pachuca — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Moreno | G | 90 | 6.11 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 22% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Venegas | D | 85 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 30 | 22% | 2 | 1 | — |
| P. Budib | D | 90 | 5.78 | — | — | 0 | 35 | 28% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Eduardo Bauermann | D | 90 | 5.93 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 25% | 3 | 1 | — |
| J. Berlanga | D | 79 | 6.11 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Alán Ernesto Bautista Gutiérrez | M | 90 | 5.87 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Rivera | M | 90 | 6.24 | — | — | 0 | 51 | 45% | 2 | — | — |
| O. Idrissi | M | 67 | 6.23 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 19% | 1 | 1 | — |
| R. Pizarro | M | 67 | 5.97 | — | 1 | 1 | 28 | 19% | 1 | 1 | — |
| N. Vallejo | M | 79 | 6.32 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Rondón | F | 90 | 6.41 | — | — | 6 | 17 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Alcaraz | F | 23 | 6.56 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Hernandez | F | 11 | 6.33 | — | — | 0 | 10 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Ãlvarez | F | 23 | 6.32 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| Kenedy | M | 11 | 5.69 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Isaís | D | 5 | 6.50 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
Cruz Azul — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Gudiño | G | 90 | 7.24 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Piovi | D | 90 | 7.04 | — | — | 0 | 74 | 61% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Montes | D | 90 | 6.85 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| A. García | D | 90 | 6.14 | — | — | 0 | 39 | 36% | 2 | 1 | — |
| O. Campos | M | 61 | 5.86 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 22% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Márquez | M | 61 | 7.07 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 36% | 0 | — | — |
| É. Lira | M | 90 | 6.38 | — | — | 0 | 53 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Mozo | M | 70 | 6.34 | — | 1 | 1 | 27 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Rodríguez | M | 82 | 6.25 | — | — | 0 | 29 | 25% | 0 | 1 | — |
| A. Palavecino | M | 70 | 6.48 | — | — | 2 | 44 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Fernández | F | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 17 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Montaño | M | 20 | 7.63 | 1 | — | 2 | 14 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Rotondi | F | 20 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Orozco | D | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Romero | F | 29 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 8% | 2 | 1 | — |
| R. Gonzalez | M | 29 | 6.22 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of CF Pachuca vs Cruz Azul?
The final score was CF Pachuca 1–2 Cruz Azul.
What did the model predict before CF Pachuca vs Cruz Azul?
The model assigned 27% probability to a CF Pachuca win, 22% to a draw, and 50% to an Cruz Azul win.