CF Pachuca 2–3 Puebla — pre-match prediction — Liga MX — August 18, 2026

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Liga MX · Apertura - 4 August 18, 2026 05:06 Estadio Miguel Hidalgo, Pachuca de Soto

CF Pachuca

#13 · 16 pts

2 – 3

Final score

Puebla

#14 · 16 pts

S. Rondon (ast. C. Sanchez) 42'

S. Rondon 63' (pen.)

16' (ast. E. Mustre) E. Gomez

(pen.) 33' K. Velasco

90'+3 (ast. L. Hernandez) F. Almada

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave CF Pachuca a 39% win probability (draw 31%, Puebla 28%). The final result was CF Pachuca 2–3 Puebla. In 3 previous meetings, CF Pachuca have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Puebla.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

0.69

Actual xG

1.08

60%

Possession

40%

Corners

Tackles

Match Events

16'

ast. E. Mustre · E. Gomez⚽

33'

(pen.) K. Velasco⚽

⚽S. Rondon · ast. C. Sanchez

42'

↕ E. Montiel / R. Pizarro

46'

↕ Kenedy / N. Vallejo

46'

⚽S. Rondon (pen.)

63'

65'

A. Ramirez / S. Sanabria ↕

↕ O. Idrissi / G. Alvarez

77'

83'

O. Villa / E. Mustre ↕

83'

L. Hernandez / E. Gomez ↕

83'

Lucas Camilo / I. Moreno ↕

↕ S. Rondon / A. Alcaraz

83'

↕ C. Sanchez / A. Mozo

83'

87'

C. Baltazar / B. Garnica ↕

90'+3

ast. L. Hernandez · F. Almada⚽

Pre-match prediction

39.33%

31.85%

28.82%

Puebla ←

we assigned to the actual result (Puebla) 28.82% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

1.50

0.69

-0.81

Puebla

0.78

1.08

+0.3

Puebla dominated by xG (1.08 vs 0.69). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Club America	13	27
2	Cruz Azul	14	26
3	Guadalajara Chivas	14	26
4	Atlas	14	24
5	Toluca	14	23
6	Leon	14	22
7	Monterrey	13	20
8	Club Tijuana	13	20
9	Club Queretaro	13	20
10	Santos Laguna	14	19
11	Atletico San Luis	14	19
12	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	14	17
13	CF Pachuca	14	16
14	Puebla	14	16
15	Tigres UANL	14	15
16	Atlante FC	14	14
17	Necaxa	14	10
18	FC Juarez	14	5

Lineups

CF Pachuca 4-2-3-1

C. Moreno 50' G 6.20

M. Isaís 50' D 6.20

S. Barreto 50' D 6.50

Eduardo Bauermann 50' D 6.70

C. Sánchez 1 👟 50' D 7.00

E. Montiel 50' M 6.50

S. Rodríguez 50' M 7.20

O. Idrissi 50' M 6.30

Alán Ernesto Bautista Gutiérrez 50' M 6.90

Kenedy 50' M 6.50

S. Rondón 2 ⚽ 50' F 7.50

Bench

Adrián Alcaraz M

A. Mozo D

211

C. Hernandez F

F. Venegas D

187

G. Ãlvarez F

J. Berlanga D

J. Eulogio G

N. Vallejo F

R. Pizarro M

Puebla 4-2-3-1

R. Gutiérrez 50' G 6.00

F. Monárrez 50' D 6.30

J. Vargas 50' D 6.50

F. Almada 1 ⚽ 50' D 6.60

I. Moreno 50' D 6.70

S. Sanabria 50' M 6.90

A. Organista 50' M 6.30

E. Gómez 1 ⚽ 50' M 7.60

K. Velasco 1 ⚽ 50' M 6.90

B. Garnica 50' M 6.30

E. Mustre 1 👟 50' F 6.30

Bench

Á. Leyva D

A. Ramírez M

C. Baltazar M

J. Pachuca D

L. Hernández 1 👟 F

Lucas Camilo M

M. Tomás M

O. Moreno F

Ó. Villa D

182

Yael Ortega G

Best on the pitch

E. Gómez

M · Puebla

7.60

1 ⚽

1 shots · 7 pass

S. Rondón

F · CF

7.50

2 ⚽

5 shots · 12 pass

S. Rodríguez

M · CF

7.20

· 21 pass

C. Sánchez

D · CF

7.00

1 👟

1 shots · 22 pass

S. Sanabria

M · Puebla

6.90

· 15 pass

Alán Ernesto Bautista Gutiérrez

M · CF

6.90

1 shots · 13 pass

CF Pachuca — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
C. Moreno	G	50	6.20	—	—	—	5	4%	—	—	—
M. Isaís	D	50	6.20	—	—	—	18	15%	1	—	—
S. Barreto	D	50	6.50	—	—	—	24	19%	—	—	—
Eduardo Bauermann	D	50	6.70	—	—	—	42	31%	1	—	—
C. Sánchez	D	50	7.00	—	1	1	22	16%	1	—	—
E. Montiel	M	50	6.50	—	—	—	21	21%	—	—	—
S. Rodríguez	M	50	7.20	—	—	—	21	20%	3	—	—
O. Idrissi	M	50	6.30	—	—	2	23	18%	—	—	—
Alán Ernesto Bautista Gutiérrez	M	50	6.90	—	—	1	13	12%	1	—	—
Kenedy	M	50	6.50	—	—	1	23	19%	—	—	—
S. Rondón	F	50	7.50	2	—	5	12	7%	—	—	—

Puebla — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
R. Gutiérrez	G	50	6.00	—	—	—	19	5%	—	—	—
F. Monárrez	D	50	6.30	—	—	—	13	10%	—	—	—
J. Vargas	D	50	6.50	—	—	—	13	12%	—	—	—
F. Almada	D	50	6.60	1	—	—	18	12%	1	—	—
I. Moreno	D	50	6.70	—	—	—	16	14%	1	—	—
S. Sanabria	M	50	6.90	—	—	—	15	14%	4	—	—
A. Organista	M	50	6.30	—	—	—	12	11%	—	—	—
E. Gómez	M	50	7.60	1	—	1	7	7%	2	—	—
K. Velasco	M	50	6.90	1	—	1	14	10%	1	—	—
B. Garnica	M	50	6.30	—	—	1	19	11%	1	—	—
E. Mustre	F	50	6.30	—	1	1	5	5%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of CF Pachuca vs Puebla?

The final score was CF Pachuca 2–3 Puebla.

What did the model predict before CF Pachuca vs Puebla?

The model assigned 39% probability to a CF Pachuca win, 31% to a draw, and 28% to an Puebla win.