Liga MX
· Apertura - 4
August 18, 2026 05:06
S. Rondon
(ast. C. Sanchez)
42'
S. Rondon
63'
(pen.)
16'
(ast. E. Mustre)
E. Gomez
(pen.)
33'
K. Velasco
90'+3
(ast. L. Hernandez)
F. Almada
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave CF Pachuca a 39% win probability (draw 31%, Puebla 28%). The final result was CF Pachuca 2–3 Puebla. In 3 previous meetings, CF Pachuca have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Puebla.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
4
1
Shots on target
2
0.69
Actual xG
1.08
60%
Possession
40%
3
Corners
0
7
Tackles
10
Match Events
16'
ast. E. Mustre ·
E. Gomez⚽
33'
(pen.)
K. Velasco⚽
⚽S. Rondon
· ast. C. Sanchez
42'
E. Montiel
/ R. Pizarro
46'
Kenedy
/ N. Vallejo
46'
⚽S. Rondon
(pen.)
63'
65'
A. Ramirez
/
S. Sanabria
O. Idrissi
/ G. Alvarez
77'
83'
O. Villa
/
E. Mustre
83'
L. Hernandez
/
E. Gomez
83'
Lucas Camilo
/
I. Moreno
S. Rondon
/ A. Alcaraz
83'
C. Sanchez
/ A. Mozo
83'
87'
C. Baltazar
/
B. Garnica
90'+3
ast. L. Hernandez ·
F. Almada⚽
Pre-match prediction
39.33%
CF
31.85%
X
28.82%
Puebla ←
we assigned to the actual result (Puebla)
28.82%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.50
0.69
-0.81
0.78
1.08
+0.3
Puebla dominated by xG (1.08 vs 0.69).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
25
C. Moreno
50'
G
C. Moreno
50'
G
6
M. Isaís
50'
D
M. Isaís
50'
D
2
S. Barreto
50'
D
S. Barreto
50'
D
4
Eduardo Bauermann
50'
D
Eduardo Bauermann
50'
D
14
C. Sánchez
1 👟
50'
D
C. Sánchez
1 👟
50'
D
10
E. Montiel
50'
M
E. Montiel
50'
M
30
S. Rodríguez
50'
M
S. Rodríguez
50'
M
11
O. Idrissi
50'
M
O. Idrissi
50'
M
26
Alán Ernesto Bautista Gutiérrez
50'
M
Alán Ernesto Bautista Gutiérrez
50'
M
29
Kenedy
50'
M
Kenedy
50'
M
23
S. Rondón
2 ⚽
50'
F
S. Rondón
2 ⚽
50'
F
Bench
9
Adrián Alcaraz
M
Adrián Alcaraz
M
22
A. Mozo
D
A. Mozo
D
211
Cristóbal Hernández
F
Cristóbal Hernández
F
15
F. Venegas
D
F. Venegas
D
187
G. Ãlvarez
F
G. Ãlvarez
F
31
J. Eulogio
G
J. Eulogio
G
13
Jorge Berlanga
D
Jorge Berlanga
D
21
N. Vallejo
F
N. Vallejo
F
7
R. Pizarro
M
R. Pizarro
M
28
R. Gutiérrez
50'
G
R. Gutiérrez
50'
G
7
F. Monárrez
50'
D
F. Monárrez
50'
D
4
J. Vargas
50'
D
J. Vargas
50'
D
5
F. Almada
1 ⚽
50'
D
F. Almada
1 ⚽
50'
D
12
I. Moreno
50'
D
I. Moreno
50'
D
21
S. Sanabria
50'
M
S. Sanabria
50'
M
24
A. Organista
50'
M
A. Organista
50'
M
11
E. Gómez
1 ⚽
50'
M
E. Gómez
1 ⚽
50'
M
26
K. Velasco
1 ⚽
50'
M
K. Velasco
1 ⚽
50'
M
27
B. Garnica
50'
M
B. Garnica
50'
M
29
E. Mustre
1 👟
50'
F
E. Mustre
1 👟
50'
F
Bench
2
Á. Leyva
D
Á. Leyva
D
16
A. Ramírez
M
A. Ramírez
M
22
C. Baltazar
M
C. Baltazar
M
20
J. Pachuca
D
J. Pachuca
D
34
Lucas Camilo
M
Lucas Camilo
M
9
Luifer Hernández
1 👟
F
Luifer Hernández
1 👟
F
10
M. Tomás
M
M. Tomás
M
8
O. Moreno
F
O. Moreno
F
15
Ó. Villa
D
Ó. Villa
D
182
Yael Ortega
G
Yael Ortega
G
Best on the pitch
E. Gómez
M · Puebla
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 7 pass
S. Rondón
F · CF
7.50
2 ⚽
5 shots
· 12 pass
S. Rodríguez
M · CF
7.20
· 21 pass
C. Sánchez
D · CF
7.00
1 👟
1 shots
· 22 pass
S. Sanabria
M · Puebla
6.90
· 15 pass
Alán Ernesto Bautista Gutiérrez
M · CF
6.90
1 shots
· 13 pass
CF Pachuca — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Moreno | G | 50 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| M. Isaís | D | 50 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Barreto | D | 50 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Eduardo Bauermann | D | 50 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 42 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Sánchez | D | 50 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 22 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Montiel | M | 50 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 21 | 21% | — | — | — |
| S. Rodríguez | M | 50 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| O. Idrissi | M | 50 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Alán Ernesto Bautista Gutiérrez | M | 50 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Kenedy | M | 50 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 19% | — | — | — |
| S. Rondón | F | 50 | 7.50 | 2 | — | 5 | 12 | 7% | — | — | — |
Puebla — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Gutiérrez | G | 50 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 19 | 5% | — | — | — |
| F. Monárrez | D | 50 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| J. Vargas | D | 50 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | — | — | — |
| F. Almada | D | 50 | 6.60 | 1 | — | — | 18 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Moreno | D | 50 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Sanabria | M | 50 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | 4 | — | — |
| A. Organista | M | 50 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| E. Gómez | M | 50 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 7 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Velasco | M | 50 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 14 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Garnica | M | 50 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Mustre | F | 50 | 6.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of CF Pachuca vs Puebla?
The final score was CF Pachuca 2–3 Puebla.
What did the model predict before CF Pachuca vs Puebla?
The model assigned 39% probability to a CF Pachuca win, 31% to a draw, and 28% to an Puebla win.