Liga MX
· Clausura - Semi-finals
May 15, 2026 03:00
O. Idrissi
(ast. V. Guzman)
37'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave CF Pachuca a 53% win probability (draw 21%, U.N.A.M. - Pumas 25%). The final result was CF Pachuca 1–0 U.N.A.M. - Pumas. In 3 previous meetings, CF Pachuca have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for U.N.A.M. - Pumas.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
4
4
Shots on target
1
1.24
Actual xG
0.19
1
Saves
3
49%
Possession
51%
9
Corners
1
12
Tackles
9
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
⚽O. Idrissi
· ast. V. Guzman
37'
58'
U. Antuna
/
R. Lopez
60'
R. Morales
61'
A. Angulo
70'
J. Carrillo
E. Montiel
/ S. Rondon
76'
76'
C. Garza
/
A. Carrasquilla
E. Valencia
/ A. Dominguez
80'
85'
Juninho
/
R. Morales
Kenedy
/ L. Quinones
86'
O. Idrissi
/ G. Alvarez
86'
Eduardo Bauermann
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
53.15%
CF ←
21.47%
X
25.38%
U.N.A.M.
we assigned to the actual result (CF Pachuca)
53.15%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.30
1.24
-1.06
1.49
0.19
-1.3
CF Pachuca dominated by xG (1.24 vs 0.19).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
25
Carlos Moreno
G
Carlos Moreno
G
12
Brian García
D
Brian García
D
2
Sergio Barreto
D
Sergio Barreto
D
4
Eduardo Bauermann
D
Eduardo Bauermann
D
14
Carlos Sánchez
D
Carlos Sánchez
D
8
Víctor Guzmán
1 👟
M
Víctor Guzmán
1 👟
M
16
Christian Rivera
M
Christian Rivera
M
11
Oussama Idrissi
1 ⚽
86'
M
Oussama Idrissi
1 ⚽
86'
M
28
Elías Montiel
76'
M
Elías Montiel
76'
M
29
Kenedy
86'
M
Kenedy
86'
M
10
Enner Valencia
80'
F
Enner Valencia
80'
F
Bench
26
Alan Bautista
M
Alan Bautista
M
18
Alexei Domínguez
17'
F
Alexei Domínguez
17'
F
187
Gael Álvarez
11'
F
Gael Álvarez
11'
F
13
Jorge Berlanga
D
Jorge Berlanga
D
31
Jose Eulogio
G
Jose Eulogio
G
7
Luis Quiñones
11'
F
Luis Quiñones
11'
F
21
René López
D
René López
D
23
Salomón Rondón
21'
F
Salomón Rondón
21'
F
188
Sergio Rodríguez
M
Sergio Rodríguez
M
1
Keylor Navas
G
Keylor Navas
G
77
Álvaro Angulo
D
Álvaro Angulo
D
5
Rubén Duarte
D
Rubén Duarte
D
6
Nathan Silva
D
Nathan Silva
D
24
Antonio Leone
D
Antonio Leone
D
2
Pablo Bennevendo
D
Pablo Bennevendo
D
33
Jordan Carrillo
M
Jordan Carrillo
M
28
Adalberto Carrasquilla
76'
M
Adalberto Carrasquilla
76'
M
45
Pedro Vite
M
Pedro Vite
M
7
Rodrigo Lopez
58'
M
Rodrigo Lopez
58'
M
31
Robert Morales
85'
F
Robert Morales
85'
F
Bench
215
Angel Azuaje
D
Angel Azuaje
D
26
Ángel Rico
M
Ángel Rico
M
14
Cesar Garza
21'
M
Cesar Garza
21'
M
193
Dennis Ramirez
M
Dennis Ramirez
M
19
Jesús Rivas
D
Jesús Rivas
D
23
Juninho
12'
F
Juninho
12'
F
35
Pablo Lara
G
Pablo Lara
G
20
Santiago Trigos
M
Santiago Trigos
M
15
Ulises Rivas
M
Ulises Rivas
M
21
Uriel Antuna
39'
F
Uriel Antuna
39'
F
Best on the pitch
Oussama Idrissi
M · CF
8.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 36 pass
Carlos Sánchez
D · CF
7.70
· 44 pass
Víctor Guzmán
M · CF
7.30
1 👟
1 shots
· 48 pass
Nathan Silva
D · U.N.A.M.
7.30
· 67 pass
Sergio Barreto
D · CF
7.00
· 41 pass
Kenedy
M · CF
7.00
1 shots
· 18 pass
CF Pachuca — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Moreno | G | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Brian García | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| Sergio Barreto | D | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 41 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Eduardo Bauermann | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 41% | — | — | 1 |
| Carlos Sánchez | D | 97 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 44 | 36% | 3 | — | — |
| Víctor Guzmán | M | 97 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 48 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| Christian Rivera | M | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 35% | — | — | — |
| Oussama Idrissi | M | 86 | 8.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 36 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Elías Montiel | M | 76 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| Kenedy | M | 86 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Enner Valencia | F | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Alexei Domínguez | F | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Gael Álvarez | F | 11 | 6.20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luis Quiñones | F | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Salomón Rondón | F | 21 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
U.N.A.M. - Pumas — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keylor Navas | G | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Álvaro Angulo | D | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Rubén Duarte | D | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 45% | — | — | — |
| Nathan Silva | D | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 67 | 62% | 1 | — | — |
| Antonio Leone | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 70 | 63% | 1 | — | — |
| Pablo Bennevendo | D | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| Jordan Carrillo | M | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Adalberto Carrasquilla | M | 76 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Pedro Vite | M | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 52 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Lopez | M | 58 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Robert Morales | F | 85 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| Cesar Garza | M | 21 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Juninho | F | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Uriel Antuna | F | 39 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of CF Pachuca vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
The final score was CF Pachuca 1–0 U.N.A.M. - Pumas.
What did the model predict before CF Pachuca vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
The model assigned 53% probability to a CF Pachuca win, 21% to a draw, and 25% to an U.N.A.M. - Pumas win.