1'
Nicolas Fleuriau Chateau
64'
(ast. Nicolas Fleuriau Chateau)
Ballou Tabla
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atlético Ottawa a 45% win probability (draw 25%, Pacific FC 28%). The final result was Pacific FC 0–2 Atlético Ottawa. In 3 previous meetings, Pacific FC have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for Atlético Ottawa.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
9
4
Shots on target
3
1.55
Actual xG
1.58
1
Saves
3
48%
Possession
52%
1
Corners
8
14
Tackles
6
3
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
1'
Nicolas Fleuriau Chateau⚽
Juan David Quintana Echeverry
6'
7'
17'
Joaquim Coulanges
19'
Aidan Daniels
28'
38'
Tim Arnaud
45'
G. Antinoro
/
Kamron Habibullah
45'
Jean-Aniel Assi
/
Tim Arnaud
Aidan Daniels
/ Marco Bustos
62'
Juan David Quintana Echeverry
/ Christian Greco-Taylor
62'
64'
ast. Nicolas Fleuriau Chateau ·
Ballou Tabla⚽
Roshawn Kadeem Delahaye Juhmi
/ Lukas Browning Lagerfeldt
70'
J. Belluz
/ Marley Edwards
70'
R. Kratt
/ Alejandro Diaz
75'
77'
Diego Gutiérrez
Christian Greco-Taylor
78'
79'
Emiliano·García
79'
Juan Castro
/
Emiliano·García
79'
Ralph Khoury
/
Nicolas Fleuriau Chateau
84'
90'+2
Tyr Walker
/
Ballou Tabla
Pre-match prediction
28.53%
Pacific
25.59%
X
45.88%
Atlético ←
we assigned to the actual result (Atlético Ottawa)
45.88%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.96
1.55
+0.59
1.37
1.58
+0.21
xG dominance was balanced (1.55 – 1.58).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
E. Himaras
G
E. Himaras
G
5
J. Quintana
62'
D
J. Quintana
62'
D
4
D. Konincks
D
D. Konincks
D
12
J. Belluz
70'
D
J. Belluz
70'
D
2
D
66
R. Juhmi
70'
M
R. Juhmi
70'
M
16
T. Gomulka
M
T. Gomulka
M
11
J. Heard
M
J. Heard
M
8
A. Daniels
62'
M
A. Daniels
62'
M
37
M. Vales
M
M. Vales
M
27
R. Kratt
75'
F
R. Kratt
75'
F
Bench
9
A. Díaz
15'
F
A. Díaz
15'
F
15
C. Greco-Taylor
28'
D
C. Greco-Taylor
28'
D
6
L. Browning-Lagerfeldt
20'
M
L. Browning-Lagerfeldt
20'
M
10
M. Bustos
28'
F
M. Bustos
28'
F
44
M. Edwards
20'
M
M. Edwards
20'
M
99
S. Hundal
F
S. Hundal
F
55
S. Melvin
G
S. Melvin
G
31
C. Kalongo
G
C. Kalongo
G
20
Joaquim Coulanges
D
Joaquim Coulanges
D
84
Sergei Kozlovskiy
D
Sergei Kozlovskiy
D
3
J. Dunn-Johnson
D
J. Dunn-Johnson
D
37
T. Arnaud
45'
D
T. Arnaud
45'
D
6
D. Gutiérrez
M
D. Gutiérrez
M
10
M. Aparicio
M
M. Aparicio
M
30
K. Habibullah
45'
M
K. Habibullah
45'
M
13
B. Tabla
1 ⚽
89'
M
B. Tabla
1 ⚽
89'
M
7
E. García
79'
M
E. García
79'
M
21
N. Fleuriau Chateau
1 ⚽
1 👟
79'
F
N. Fleuriau Chateau
1 ⚽
1 👟
79'
F
Bench
11
G. Antinoro
45'
M
G. Antinoro
45'
M
14
J. Assi
45'
F
J. Assi
45'
F
2
J. Castro
11'
M
J. Castro
11'
M
8
J. Villal
M
J. Villal
M
19
R. Khoury
11'
F
R. Khoury
11'
F
1
T. Crampton
G
T. Crampton
G
4
T. Walker
1'
D
T. Walker
1'
D
Best on the pitch
N. Fleuriau Chateau
F · Atlético
8.49
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 8 pass
B. Tabla
M · Atlético
8.02
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 14 pass
C. Kalongo
G · Atlético
7.28
· 20 pass
G. Antinoro
M · Atlético
7.15
· 22 pass
K. Habibullah
M · Atlético
6.85
· 13 pass
J. Assi
F · Atlético
6.79
· 23 pass
Pacific FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Himaras | G | 90 | 5.86 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Quintana | D | 62 | 5.30 | — | — | 0 | 29 | 17% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D. Konincks | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 3 | 47 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Belluz | D | 70 | 6.16 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.41 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 21% | 2 | — | — | |
| R. Juhmi | M | 70 | 6.12 | — | — | 0 | 39 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Gomulka | M | 90 | 5.59 | — | — | 3 | 39 | 27% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Heard | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 18% | 4 | — | — |
| A. Daniels | M | 62 | 6.31 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 7% | 0 | 1 | — |
| M. Vales | M | 90 | 5.36 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Kratt | F | 75 | 6.34 | — | — | 3 | 11 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Díaz | F | 15 | 6.25 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Greco-Taylor | D | 28 | 5.77 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 15% | 1 | 1 | — |
| L. Browning-Lagerfeldt | M | 20 | 6.05 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Bustos | F | 28 | 6.78 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Edwards | M | 20 | 6.01 | — | — | 0 | 10 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
Atlético Ottawa — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Kalongo | G | 90 | 7.28 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| Joaquim Coulanges | D | 90 | 6.47 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 29% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Sergei Kozlovskiy | D | 90 | 6.27 | — | — | 0 | 49 | 27% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Dunn-Johnson | D | 90 | 6.36 | — | — | 2 | 51 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Arnaud | D | 45 | 6.03 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 21% | 0 | 1 | — |
| D. Gutiérrez | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 66 | 54% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Aparicio | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 0 | 42 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Habibullah | M | 45 | 6.85 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Tabla | M | 89 | 8.02 | 1 | — | 4 | 14 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| E. García | M | 79 | 5.99 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 14% | 0 | 1 | — |
| N. Fleuriau Chateau | F | 79 | 8.49 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Antinoro | M | 45 | 7.15 | — | — | 0 | 22 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Assi | F | 45 | 6.79 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 21% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Castro | M | 11 | 6.53 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Khoury | F | 11 | 6.42 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Walker | D | 1 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Pacific FC vs Atlético Ottawa?
The final score was Pacific FC 0–2 Atlético Ottawa.
What did the model predict before Pacific FC vs Atlético Ottawa?
The model assigned 28% probability to a Pacific FC win, 25% to a draw, and 45% to an Atlético Ottawa win.