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Pacos Ferreira - Fafe

Taça de Portugal August 30, 2026 18:00
Pacos Ferreira
vs
Fafe
⚡ Pre-match analysis
34.25%
Win
Pacos Ferreira
34.1%
Draw
31.65%
Win
Fafe
0.84
Expected xG
0.68

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (14.44%)
1X2 Result
1 34%
X 34%
2 32%
Double Chance
1X 68%
X2 66%
12 66%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 57%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Pacos Ferreira a 34% win probability, against 34% for a draw and 31% for Fafe. Expected goals are 0.8 for Pacos Ferreira and 0.7 for Fafe (total 1.5), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 14.44% probability.

Season Stats

Pacos Ferreira
1W 0D 1L
Fafe
5W 1D 1L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
1.1
1.5
Conceded
0.7
Percentages
50%
O 1.5
57%
50%
O 2.5
29%
50%
BTTS
43%
50%
Clean Sht
43%
ℹ Based on the last 7 matches in Taça de Portugal. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
Pacos Ferreira
0W 0D 1L · at home
Fafe
2W 0D 1L · away
2.0
gls/g
0.7
3.0
Conceded
0.7
0%
Win %
67%
0%
Win or Draw
67%
100%
O 1.5
33%
100%
O 2.5
0%
100%
O 3.5
0%
100%
BTTS
0%
0%
Clean Sht
67%
0%
Failed to Score
33%
last 3
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Pacos Ferreira Fafe →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 21.8% 14.9% 5.1% 1.2% 0.2% —
1 18.3% 12.5% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% —
2 7.7% 5.3% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% —
3 2.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% — —
4 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% — — —
5 0.1% 0.1% — — — —

Recent form

Pacos Ferreira Pacos Ferreira
L Sporting CP 2–3
W Nazarenos 0–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 26%
Fafe Fafe
L Torreense 2–0
D Torreense 1–1
W SC Braga 2–1
W Lusitano Évora 1911 0–1
W Arouca 2–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 46%

Playing profile

Pacos Ferreira Pacos Ferreira
Attack
24
Defence
61
Form
44
Fafe Fafe
Attack
23
Defence
62
Form
45
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Pacos Ferreira vs Fafe?
The model gives Pacos Ferreira a 34% win probability, 34% for a draw, and 31% for an Fafe win.
How many goals are expected in Pacos Ferreira vs Fafe?
Expected goals: Pacos Ferreira 0.8, Fafe 0.7 (total 1.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Pacos Ferreira vs Fafe?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 14.44%.